Severe Service Valve Sales to the Chemical Industry will be just under $4 Billion in 2017

Severe service valves are required for 56 percent of all the valve applications in the chemical industry.  The definition of severe service includes valves which are subject to abrasion, corrosion, unusual pressures, or must be designed to meet stringent safety, sanitation, or contamination requirements.

Severe service valves are required for 75 percent of the process applications.  Since the process segment accounts for 63 percent of all the valves sold to the chemical industry, the process severe service valves account for 42 percent of all the valves sold to the industry.

 

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Water used for cooling requires virtually no use of severe service valves.  Only 30 percent of the water intake valves are in the severe service category.  About half the wastewater valves are designed for severe service.  These are valves handling the slurry.

In 2017, the sales of severe service valves for processes will be just under $3 billion with the balance of $1 billion in the other three categories.

The percentages are based on revenues rather than amount of flow or the number of valve units.  While severe service valves will account for 56 percent of the revenue, they will account for less than 30 percent of the flow and 20 percent of the unit sales.

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Details on these forecasts are included in  N028 Industrial Valves: World Market  

Decision Guides on severe service valve options are already available for coal-fired power, gas turbine combined cycle power plants, nuclear plants and molecular sieve switching in gas treatment.

For more information contact Bob McIlvaine 847-784-0012 ext. 112 rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.

Large Individual Projects and Multiple Small Projects by Large Treatment Plants make Sales easier for Suppliers to North American Municipal Wastewater Plants

Ten percent of North America’s 20,000 wastewater plants buy the majority of the flow control and treatment equipment purchased by wastewater treatment plants in North America.  Their large expansions and upgrades account for a majority of capital expenditures.  This allows the supplier to identify his prospects months or years in advance of the actual sale.  If the supplier is relying on quality rather than price to sell his product, then the opportunity to shape the final decision well in advance is critical.

An example of a large project is The Lions Gate Wastewater Treatment Plant in Vancouver.  It has been told by the federal government it must upgrade to secondary treatment by December 31, 2020. The plant is one of two remaining primary treatment plants in the region. New federal regulations require all primary treatment plants be upgraded to secondary treatment.  The cost will exceed $2 billion.  So this is a project which will involve contacts with the city and A/E over the next two years in order to maximize order potential.

Some smaller projects are predictable long in advance due to new regulations or outdated technology.  Plants with lagoons for sludge dewatering are likely to be considering changes.  The City of Alliance, Ohio plans to build a dewatering system.  Its lagoons are full. Over the 20 year life of a new plant there is economic justification for this investment.  It is good to be alerted to specific projects but, if you are selling dewatering equipment, you should be calling on every plant with lagoons and every plant with 20 year old dewatering equipment.

One way to make sure that you thoroughly pursue the large opportunities is to single out the largest prospects in each state.  Here is a sample for Colorado:

 

Numeric by Flow Rate (MGD)

Plant Name

40

Aqua Nueva Wastewater Treatment Plant

30

Pima County Wastewater Treatment Plant

17.5

Tolleson, City Of

14.74

Nogales International Wastewater Treatment Plant

102.24

Total

You can determine the market share for these plants as follows:

 

           Wastewater Industry - Percent of U. S. Market by State

 

 

STATE

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Alaska

0.24

0.24

0.25

0.25

0.25

0.26

California

12.20

12.42

12.65

12.87

13.11

13.34

Hawaii

0.43

0.44

0.44

0.44

0.44

0.45

Oregon

1.26

1.28

1.30

1.33

1.35

1.38

Washington

2.21

2.25

2.29

2.34

2.38

2.42

TOTAL Pacific States

16.35

16.64

16.93

17.23

17.53

17.84

Arizona

2.13

2.16

2.20

2.24

2.28

2.32

Colorado

1.71

1.74

1.77

1.80

1.83

1.87

Idaho

 

In 2017, Colorado’s secondary municipal wastewater capacity will be 1.77 percent of the total 40,000 mgd for the U.S.  The top four plants have a total of over 100 mgd capacity which is 14.7 percent of the 680 mgd for the entire state.

 

For more information on a system to identify all plants and projects, click on: 62EI North American Municipal Wastewater Treatment Facilities and People Database

For more information on the program to reach these prospects, click on:

Detailed Forecasting of Markets, Prospects and Projects

Air and Water Monitoring Market to grow to $28 Billion Next Year

In 2017 sales of water monitoring equipment and services will be $17 billion and air monitoring services will be $11 billion.  This is the latest forecast in N031 Air and Water Monitoring: World Market.

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Asia will be the leading region followed by the Americas. Chinese sales will be over $4 billion representing one-third of the entire Asian market.

Thermo Fisher has been in the Chinese air pollution monitoring business for decades. By one definition it is said to have a 70 percent market share of ambient air monitors used in Chinese cities.  It sold its first mercury monitor in China more than ten years ago.  The Thermo decision to locate its air pollution research center in China is testimony to confidence in its ability to protect intellectual property in the country.

The monitoring business is a small part of the total Thermo business but has contributed to the 10 percent annual increase in revenue over the last five years.   The EPS CAGR is an impressive 17 percent. Revenue growth has been 28 percent per year in China with sales of $1.4 billion last year.

The ambient market is growing fastest in developing countries where governments are investing in networks.  However, in the U.S. there is a significant market for ambient networks purchased by power plants and industrial facilities which have to address new federal standards as well as embryonic standards in various states.

For more information on N031 Air and Water Monitoring: World Market, click on:  http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/106-n031.

Asian Purchasers will drive the $5.6 Billion Cleanroom Hardware Market

In 2017, suppliers of cleanroom hardware will be paid over $5.6 billion by semiconductor, pharmaceutical and other operators of cleanrooms around the world.  Over 2.3 million people will be working in cleanrooms. This is the latest forecast in N6F World Cleanroom Markets.

cid:image006.png@01D1ACDF.A13821F0

East Asia will be the regional leader with three times the revenue in NAFTA.  This is due to the concentration of semiconductor, memory and flat panel display manufacturing in the region.  The NAFTA market share is mostly due to its leading position in pharmaceutical manufacturing.

As of December 2015, Taiwan led all regions/countries in wafer capacity with nearly 22 percent of worldwide IC capacity installed in the country. Taiwan surpassed South Korea in 2015 to become the largest capacity holder after having passed Japan in 2011. China became a larger wafer capacity holder than Europe for the first time in 2010.

Mobile devices and wearable electronics are accounting for much of the cleanroom growth. Gartner, Inc. forecasts that 274.6 million wearable electronic devices will be sold worldwide in 2016, an increase of 18.4 percent from 232.0 million units in 2015.  Sales of wearable electronic devices will generate revenue of $28.7 billion in 2016.  Of that, $11.5 billion will be from smart watches.

For more information on N6F World Cleanroom Markets click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/474-n6f-world-cleanroom-markets

Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a Weekly Basis

Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.

UTILITY E-ALERT

#1271 – May 6, 2016

Table of Contents

POWDER BULK SOLIDS SHOW

·       More Focus on Products for Coal-fired Power

·       The importance of FIFO vs. LIFO in Dust Cake

·       Valve Displays were Impressive

 

COAL – US

·       OG&E receives approval for Dry Scrubber at Sooner Coal-fired Power Plant

·       Dynegy to shut down Multiple Central and Southern Illinois Coal-Fueled Units

 

COAL – WORLD

·       Malaysia Commissions 1-GW Ultra-supercritical Coal-fired Power Plant

·       Chinese firm to restart Myanmar’s Tigyit Coal-fired Power Plant

·       Turkey to introduce Incentives, Environmental Exemptions for Coal-fired Power Plants

The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects, regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.

 McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours (HTH) and Recordings

     Explanation          Applicable Services         Schedule & Registration       Sponsored Webinars 

McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.

Format:  50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.

Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and services.

Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers.  The presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and non-subscribers are encouraged.

Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since 1974.  Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on any application.  The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the issues and options relative to a specific applications.  Coal-fired power, cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.

The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision system.  It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of the session and be prepared with questions and views.

Value to purchasers and specifiers:  Your questions and interests will be prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future along with a networking directory of suppliers.

Value to Suppliers:  You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the slide deck.  If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.

44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions  includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial focus on power will find this combination most cost effective.

Applicable Services for Hot Topic Hours**

 

Pollutant

 

Industry

Fabric Filter

(1ABC)

Scrubber

(2ABC)

Precipitator

(4ABC)

FGD & DeNOx

(3ABC)

Air Pollution 
Monitoring

(9ABC)

Gas
Turbine
Decisions

Mercury

February
11, 2016

Coal

 

 

 

X

X

 

WTE

X

X

 

 

X

 

Sewage

 

X

X

 

X

 

Cement

X

 

 

 

X

 

Natural Gas*

 

 

 

 

 

 

DeNOx

March 24, 2016

Coal

 

 

 

X

X

 

Incineration

 

 

 

X

X

 

Steel

 

 

 

X

X

 

Cement

 

 

 

X

X

 

Diesel*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas Turbine

 

 

 

X

 

X

Hot Gas
Filtration

Coal

X

X

X

 

X

 

WTE

X

X

X

 

X

 

Cement

X

X

X

 

X

 

Steel

X

X

X

 

X

 

Incineration

X

X

X

 

X

 

Coal Gas

X

X

 

 

X

 

GT Intake

 

 

 

 

 

X

FGD  and Acid Gas

June 16, 2016

Coal

 

 

 

X

X

 

Sewage

 

X

 

 

X

 

WTE

 

X

 

 

X

 

Cement

 

X

 

 

X

 

Steel

 

X

 

 

X

 

 

*Included in custom system
 ** Many of the decision guides also are displayed in the relevant market reports.  Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC

HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE

Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at approximately two week intervals.  Unforeseen developments could dictate the insertion of new subjects.

 DATE

SUBJECT

 June 16, 2016

Decisions

FGD and Acid Gas SeparationIssue and options for SO2 and other acid gas separation from coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration plants.     Click Here to Register

 TBA

Markets

Desalination - Thermal vs. Membrane; energy recovery, pump, valve, compressor and chemicals options; power/desalination combinations.

 TBA

Markets

Oil, Gas, Refining - Supply and demand; impact on flow control and treatment products; regional impacts e.g. subsea in North Atlantic vs. shale in the US vs. Oil Sands in Canada.

 TBA

Markets

FoodAnalysis of 12 separate applications within food and beverage with analysis of valve, pump, compressor, filter, analyzer and chemical options; impact of new technologies such as forward osmosis.

 TBA

Markets

Municipal Wastewater - Quality of pumps, valves, filters, and analyzers in Chinese and Asian plants; new pollutant challenges; water purification for reuse.

 TBA

Markets

 

Mobile Emissions - Reduction in CO, VOCs, and particulate in fuels, oils, and air used in on and off road vehicles; impact of  RDE and failure of NOx traps and the crisis in Europe created by the focus on diesels.

 

Click here to Register for the Webinars

Sponsored Webinars allow suppliers to take advantage of all the valuable information on their power point presentations. Click here for details

Hot Topic Hour Recordings
See and hear recordings of past   Hot Topic Hours (Free for subscribers, $95.00 for non-subscribers)

·        Chronological

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Free Sponsored Webinars

·        Albemarle - Cement MACT

·        AMC Power

·        Aquatech

·        GE -   Mercury Capture

·        Honeywell

·        NVISTA

·        Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance Analyzer

·        Neundorfer

·        Pavilion

·        Sick Maihak - Cement MACT

·        Tekran Instruments - Cement   MACT

----------

You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5

 

Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com