March 2016 - Water Market Insights 183

Market For Industrial Cross-flow Membrane Products Will Exceed $10 Billion Next Year

Municipalities and industrial facilities will spend over $10 billion in 2017 for reverse osmosis (RO), nanofiltration, ultrafiltration and microfiltration. This includes the equipment and the replacement membranes. This does not include the residential or commercial market for the small filters.

The largest investment will be for desalinating seawater. The fastest growing geographical market will be China which is embarked on a massive program to provide desalinated drinking water to arid areas from coastal treatment facilities.

Microfiltration is taking market share away from granular media filters in the purification of drinking water due to the reduction in waterborne illnesses with this technology.

The pharmaceutical market continues to grow at a pace exceeding GDP. Cross-flow filtration is used to separate product from broth as well as for provision of ultrapure water for injection in products which will be injected into humans.

Billions of dollars of flow control and treatment equipment will be purchased by the oil, gas and refining industries in the next 12 months. These projects are identified in N049 Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining Markets and Projects.

The low oil prices have greatly reduced capital spending. However, there are still major segments of the market which are as active as ever. In some cases, the slowdown has created new markets. The reduction in drilling means that producers no longer have a route for returning produced water. This has caused an uptick in orders for zero liquid discharge (ZLD) systems.

Producers are looking for ways to stay competitive at these lower prices. Linde has one solution. Its new mobile gas cleanup unit (MGCU) uses a novel membrane technology to remove up to 98 percent of the CO₂ in the production stream. It was designed to improve well economics, with an emphasis on the 3 E's: Enhanced productivity or Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR), Environmental footprint reduction, and improved Economics of the field.

While deep sea and tar sand investment will be negligible, Chinese coal-to-chemicals and fuels is booming. Air Products just received an order for its membrane separators for the Shenhua Ningxia coal-to-liquids project. A $20 billion pipeline is now being built to move gasified coal from northern China to cities throughout the country.

The Chinese have successfully converted coal-to-olefins at a cost of $20 to $25 per ton. China has 10.1 billion pounds of coal-to-olefins plants in operation, 15.3 billion pounds under construction to be completed over the next two years and a further 33.1 billion pounds in planning. Forty percent of olefin production in China could come from unconventional feedstocks like methanol, coal and propane dehydrogenation by 2020.

Petrochemicals expansion in the U.S. is continuing and may even accelerate with the recent FERC decision not to authorize the Jordan Cove pipeline which would have provided an export route. Shell Chemical just broke ground on a $717 million expansion of its linear alpha olefins manufacturing plant in Geismar, LA. The project will make Shell Chemical’s Geismar location the largest single-site producer of alpha olefins in the world. The three-year project will culminate with Shell Chemical beginning operation of the new manufacturing plant in early 2018.

$7 Billion Will Be Spent For Liquid Macrofiltration Products and Media In 2017

In 2017 sales of liquid macrofiltration products including equipment and media will be just under $7 billion. The biggest investment will be for granular media filters. They are used to purify drinking water by municipalities. The second largest segment includes filter presses and media. This equipment is used in processing food and chemicals. Bag filters are used to clean up wastewater as well as separate products from liquids.

Belt filter presses dewater sludge. Municipalities use belt filter presses or centrifuges to dewater sewage sludge. Robust expansion of municipal wastewater treatment in Asia will drive this market next year.

The automatic backwash filter competes with cartridges and is growing faster than other segments even though the base was lower.

Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a Weekly Basis

§ Proposed 1,320 MW Astoria Ceyhan Power Station for Adana Province, Turkey

§ Proposed Adana Klikya 815 MW Supercritical Coal-fired Unit near Sugözü Village, Yumurtalık district, Adana Province, Turkey

The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects, regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.

McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.

Format: 50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.

Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and services.

Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and non-subscribers are encouraged.

Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since 1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the issues and options relative to a specific applications. Coal-fired power, cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.

The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision system. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of the session and be prepared with questions and views.

Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future along with a networking directory of suppliers.

Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.

44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial focus on power will find this combination most cost effective.

Applicable Services for Hot Topic Hours**
Pollutant	Industry	Fabric Filter (1ABC)	Scrubber (2ABC)	Precipitator (4ABC)	FGD & DeNOx (3ABC)	Air Pollution Monitoring (9ABC)	Gas Turbine Decisions
Mercury February 11, 2016	Coal				X	X
	WTE	X	X			X
	Sewage		X	X		X
	Cement	X				X
	Natural Gas*
DeNOx March 24, 2016	Coal				X	X
	Incineration				X	X
	Steel				X	X
	Cement				X	X
	Diesel*
	Gas Turbine				X		X
Hot Gas Filtration	Coal	X	X	X		X
	WTE	X	X	X		X
	Cement	X	X	X		X
	Steel	X	X	X		X
	Incineration	X	X	X		X
	Coal Gas	X	X			X
	GT Intake						X
FGD and Acid Gas June 16, 2016	Coal				X	X
	Sewage		X			X
	WTE		X			X
	Cement		X			X
	Steel		X			X

Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at approximately two week intervals. Unforeseen developments could dictate the insertion of new subjects.

DATE	SUBJECT
March 24, 2016 *Decisions*	NO_x Control - Review of the issues and options for NOx control in coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste to energy plants as well as mobile diesel vehicles. Click Here to Register
April 7, 2016 *Markets*	Power Generation Technologies - Future of USC coal in India, Vietnam and Indonesia; natural gas prices; GHG regulations; nuclear costs; penetration for wind and solar. Click Here to Register
April 21, 2016 *Decisions*	Hot Gas Filtration - Issue and Option for particulate capture. in coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration. Click Here to Register
June 16, 2016 *Decisions*	FGD and Acid Gas Separation - Issue and options for SO2 and other acid gas separation from coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration plants. Click Here to Register
TBA *Markets*	Desalination - Thermal vs. Membrane; energy recovery, pump, valve, compressor and chemicals options; power/desalination combinations.
TBA *Markets*	Oil, Gas, Refining - Supply and demand; impact on flow control and treatment products; regional impacts e.g. subsea in North Atlantic vs. shale in the US vs. Oil Sands in Canada.
TBA *Markets*	Food - Analysis of 12 separate applications within food and beverage with analysis of valve, pump, compressor, filter, analyzer and chemical options; impact of new technologies such as forward osmosis.
TBA *Markets*	Municipal Wastewater - Quality of pumps, valves, filters, and analyzers in Chinese and Asian plants; new pollutant challenges; water purification for reuse.
TBA *Markets*	Mobile Emissions - Reduction in CO, VOCs, and particulate in fuels, oils, and air used in on and off road vehicles; impact of RDE and failure of NO_x traps and the crisis in Europe created by the focus on diesels.