2017 High Performance Cartridge Sales Will Be $4.6 Billion

Total sales of cartridges for liquid filtration in 2017 will be $17 billion.  High performance cartridge sales will be $4.6 billion, whereas sales of general purpose cartridges will be $12.4 billion.  All of the $5 billion of cartridge sales for residential use will be general purpose.  All of the $3.5 billion of commercial cartridges will be general purpose.  By contrast, high performance cartridge sales in the pharmaceutical industry will exceed $1.6 billion.  High performance cartridge sales for healthcare will exceed $1 billion.  These are the latest forecasts in N024 Cartridge Filters: World Market.

There is a big difference in price and sales approach between high performance and general purpose cartridges. McIlvaine is using its own definition of high performance to include:

·       Unique service

·       Severe service

·       Critical service 

Unique service is defined as a cartridge which is custom engineered for an application.  The media, size and/or materials for the vessel are varied to meet a customer’s need.  The extent to which a cartridge is unique can be measured by how much more a customer is willing to pay for the custom design rather than be content with an off the shelf alternative.  A paint manufacturer may want a cartridge that is not too efficient on small particles but does remove the large ones.  The reason is that the small particles are the ones providing the color. So, while with standard cartridges the higher the efficiency the better, this will not be acceptable in paint filtration.

Severe service is defined as an application where particle adhesion, particle size, corrosion, erosion, pressure, or temperature is a concern. Purchasers are willing to pay more for better severe service cartridges because the alternative is high replacement rates, high maintenance cost and potential disruption to processes. The refining, chemical and power industries have many severe service applications.

Critical service is defined by the importance of the cartridge performance.  If safety, health, or quality of the goods manufactured are impacted by cartridge performance, then it would be critical service.  An example would be cartridges in the semiconductor industry which must remove any particles which would otherwise cause damage to a computer chip.  By contrast, the carbon cartridge in a refrigerator may deteriorate to where taste is impacted but failure would not be critical. The food, pharmaceutical and chemical industries utilize cartridges for food processing and, therefore, performance of the cartridge is critical.

Identification of the high performance cartridge segment is important to cartridge suppliers.  High performance cartridges offer the opportunity for higher profit margins.  They are also sold based on determining the lowest total cost of ownership.  Therefore, the route to market is different than for general purpose cartridges.

For more information on N024 Cartridge Filters: World Market, click on:   http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/117-n024

Desalination System Investment to Exceed $14 Billon/yr. over the Next Five Years

In the next five years, suppliers of thermal and membrane desalination systems will sell systems valued at $73.5 billion of which $21 billion will be spent on brackish water systems and $52.5 billion for seawater systems.  This is the conclusion reached by the McIlvaine Company by aggregating forecasts appearing in its cross-flow membrane, pump, valve and filtration reports.

The brackish water forecast is less precise than the seawater forecast due to the definition of the term “brackish.”  This can include total dissolved solids content as low as 500 ppm to as high as 2000 ppm. 

The potential for desalination is very high.  In 2015 desalination equaled only 2.3 percent of water delivered by municipalities.  This percentage will climb to 3 percent in 2020.  However, since desalination is utilized by industry and commerce, the desalination capacity should be compared to all freshwater withdrawal.  Power plants withdraw ten times more water than municipal drinking water plants.  Power plants desalinate only a minuscule fraction of their total withdrawal. So the growth potential in power and other industries is very large.  China has issued regulations requiring power plants with seawater access to desalinate rather than extract fresh water. 

A significant portion of the seawater desalination investment will be for thermal plants but membrane technology will continue to gain market share.  There are promising new technologies such as electrochemical desalination and forward osmosis which promise higher energy efficiency, greater liquid recovery and lower costs of ownership.

The future of desalination depends on the sustainability criteria which will be used to justify the investment.  The fact that the harm is global but the value local creates different evaluations.  The cost of CO₂ according to some EPA analyses is $50 ton. However, CO₂ emitted in San Diego does not harm local residents any more than it does citizens of the EU.  On the other hand, desalinated water in San Diego benefits local residents exclusively.  The residents in the Colorado River Delta will be more enthusiastic about a San Diego desalination investment than any other group.  McIlvaine has developed Sustainability Universal Rating System to rationalize these different perspectives.

A free webinar to discuss the market will be held on Thursday, July 14, 2016.

Click here to Register for the Webinars

For more information on a customized desalination market study contact Bob McIlvaine at 847-784-0012 ext. 112 rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

For more information on the various relevant multi client market reports click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets

Gas Turbine Owners Will Spend $1.3 Billion for Ultrapure Water Systems at New Gas Turbine Combined Cycle Power Plants

Ultrapure water (UPW) systems are critical to the steam cycle in gas turbine combined cycle (GTCC) plants.  In 2017 more than $1.3 billion will be spent on UPW systems for new GTCC generators. NAFTA will lead the way with 35 percent of the purchases.  These forecasts were reached through McIlvaine research for N029 Ultrapure Water: World Market and 59EI Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program.

UPW components for GTCC plants are challenged by the rapid cycling which is required.  Wind and solar are playing an increasing role in power generation but their operations are not constant.  As a result, the GTCC plants are operated to balance the fluctuating contribution from the other sources. Flow accelerated corrosion and other problems are being addressed.  Operators are being assisted in dealing with these problems in another McIlvaine service 59D Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Decisions.

For more information on the reports and databases contact Bob McIlvaine at 847-784-0012 ext. 112 rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

Granular Media Filter Sales to Exceed $2.4 Billion in 2021

Granular media filters will account for 29 percent of the world liquid macrofiltration market in 2021.  This is the latest forecast in N006 Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets published by the McIlvaine Company.

Granular media filter functions can be divided into particulate and dissolved segments.  The market for particulate removal in drinking water plants will expand slower than the total market due to market share loss to cross-flow membranes. On the other hand, the market for removing dissolved contaminants is booming.

Perfluorinated compounds, or PFCs, are manmade, fully fluorinated compounds that are not naturally found in the environment and are used in a range of products such as fire-fighting foams and coating additives. PFOS and PFOA are the most commonly produced PFCs.

PFOA and PFOS are persistent and itinerant in the atmosphere and aqueous environments due to their high chemical stability and low volatility. In their anionic form, PFCs are water soluble and can easily travel from soil to groundwater, carrying the contaminants long distances. Toxicological reports indicate potential developmental, reproductive and systemic effects after oral exposure, as PFCs accumulate and absorb in the serum, kidney and liver. Because PFCs are resistant to direct oxidation, photolytic degradation, biodegradation and air stripping/vapor extraction, their removal is very difficult.

AdEdge, Cabot, Calgon Carbon, Carbon Activated Corp. , CEI Carbon, Evoqua, Jacobi Carbon, Ovivo, Oxbow and VAF filters are offering PFC removal solutions.  Calgon Carbon demonstrated that granular activated carbon (GAC) is an effective way to remove PFCs from sources of drinking water.  GAC is successful in removal of harmful compounds in groundwater, including PFOA as well as perfluorobutanoic acid (PFBA), perfluoropentanoic acid (PFOA), perfluorohexanoic acid (PFHxA) and perfluorodecanoic acid (PFDA). The spent activated carbon, containing adsorbed PFCs, can be thermally reactivated, thereby destroying the contaminants and allowing the activated carbon to be recycled and reused in groundwater treatment applications. Lab testing and field trials have led to activated carbon systems being successfully employed to treat groundwater for PFC removal throughout North America.

For more information on Liquid Filtration and Media: World Market click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n006

Gas Turbine Owners Will Spend $300 Million for Pumps at New Gas Turbine Combined Cycle Power Plants

Pumps are critical to the steam cycle in gas turbine combined cycle (GTCC) plants.  In 2017 more than $300 million will be spent on pumps for new GTCC generators.  NAFTA will lead the way with 35 percent of the purchases.  These forecasts were reached through McIlvaine research for N019 Pumps World Market  and 59EI Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program

Boiler feedwater pumps for GTCC plants are challenged by the rapid cycling which is required.  Wind and solar are playing an increasing role in power generation but their operations are not constant.  As a result, the GTCC plants are operated to balance the fluctuating contribution from other sources. Flow accelerated corrosion and other problems are being addressed.  Operators are being assisted in dealing with these problems in another McIlvaine service 59D Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Decisions.

For more information on the reports and databases contact Bob McIlvaine at 847-784-0012 ext. 112 rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

 HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE

Click here to Register for the Webinars

Details on Webinars

McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.

Format:  50-90-minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.

Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and services.

Markets HTH
General overviews of the market including size and major variables will be discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and non-subscribers are encouraged.

Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since 1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric filter, scrubber etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the issues and options relative to specific applications. Coal-fired power, cement, steel, and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.

The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable Decision System.  It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of the session and be prepared with questions and views.

Value to purchasers and specifiers:  Your questions and interests will be prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future along with a networking directory of suppliers.

Value to Suppliers:  You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the slide deck.  If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.

44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions  includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial focus on power will find this combination most cost effective. 

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Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com