Many Variables Impact the Market for Industrial Pumps

Global, national, technology and regulatory factors are all shaping the future of the industrial pump industry.  The best forecast today may not be the best forecast tomorrow based on some singular event.  A case in point would be the surprise decision by the U.S. Supreme Court to vacate the Clean Power Plan.  Because China accounts for more than 30 percent of pump purchases, any economic change in that country will potentially have measureable impact on global market forecasts.  Pumps World Markets is updated continually to take into account new developments.

At one time extraction of oil from onshore and offshore oil platforms was the leading sector of the market.  This application has seen substantial but temporary decline.  By 2018 this sector will rebound with likely double-digit growth.   Markets in municipal wastewater treatment, desalination, pharmaceuticals and aquaculture are growing nicely.

The market for pumps in desalination has expanded faster than the overall industry due to the gain in market share for membrane separation as opposed to thermal desalination.  The use of pumps for energy recovery provides another big boost.  The aquaculture market is booming as the technology is replacing wild fish harvesting.

The biggest opportunity for pump suppliers is a pro-active strategy to boost after-market sales.  In many applications, it is better to buy more expensive pumps and repair them as needed than to buy inexpensive pumps and replace them frequently.  This necessitates a program to prove the lower total cost of ownership for this approach.  The pump company has to understand the application as well as the customer does in order to make a convincing case for the more expensive initial purchase.

For more information on Pumps World Markets, click on:  
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=75

Fossil Fuel-fired Power Plants can be a Positive rather than A Negative Contributor to Water Quality

Operators of coal-fired power plants and gas turbine combined cycle power plants can utilize municipal wastewater for cooling and other needs. When they also eliminate discharges through zero liquid discharge (ZLD) technology they become positive rather than negative contributors to water quality.  Water lost through evaporation can be greatly reduced by heat extraction from the flue gas before it reaches the scrubber.  This also reduces total CO2/MW and makes the plant greener in every sense.

The markets and technology for this approach will be discussed in a free webinar on February 25th at 10:00 a.m. CST.

The various geographical markets will be analyzed.  China is embracing ZLD in its power plants as well as its coal-to-chemical facilities.  Gas turbine combined cycle power plant developers in the U.S. are selecting ZLD not only in arid areas but generally to avoid the need to obtain water discharge permits.  ZLD is the preferred option in Saudi Arabia and surrounding countries.

The availability and cost of treated municipal wastewater will be reviewed.  In general, power plants are near enough to municipal treatment plants to make the use practical.

Technologies to minimize evaporation losses will also be discussed.  The potential is being increased by new developments such as catalytic filtration at 850oF.

China is making the largest investment in ZLD.  Huaneng Group, China’s largest power producer, has constructed a 1.3 GW state-of-the-art ultra-supercritical coal-fired power plant at the Changxing Power Station in Zhejiang Province.

•The plant uses Oasys’ technology to treat the wastewater from flue gas desulfurization (FGD).

•The system treats up to 650 cubic meters of wastewater a day. Startup was early 2015. The system uses forward osmosis separation technology.

Aquatech has supplied ZLD systems for a number of power plants and coal-to-chemicals plants.  Enel has purchased several systems from Aquatech for its Italian coal-fired power plants. Aquatech has a Zero Liquid Discharge (ZLD) plant in a coal-to-chemicals facility in Inner Mongolia. The ZLD plant incorporates HERO™ (High Efficiency Reverse Osmosis) and a Thermal Brine Concentrator. The plant will treat 2400 m3/day of wastewater and reuse 92.5 percent of it, producing 2000 m3/day of process water and 220 m3/day of distilled water for various end user applications.

China has some ZLD systems using evaporators but is leaning toward the cheaper route of using flue gas to evaporate liquid in the sludge. The spray drier approach is being offered by Mitsubishi, URS and other international companies.

The various approaches for evaporation of water from slurries will be analyzed.  One option is a falling film evaporator (inside the brine concentrator vessel) that is seeded with calcium sulfate to minimize scale formation.

Mechanical vapor recompression (MVR) is the method by which a blower, compressor or jet ejector is used to compress, and thus, increase the temperature of the vapor produced.  In this way, the vapor can serve as the heating medium for the ZLD solution being concentrated. The efficiency and feasibility of this process lies in the efficiency of the blower or compressor and the heat transfer co-efficient attained in the heat exchanger contacting the condensing vapor and the boiling ZLD liquid.  Several different blower and compressor options will be reviewed.

The discussion will also include the co-combustion of sewage sludge and the use of gasified sludges as reburn fuels in coal-fired boilers.

Click Here to Register

A full review of the options for coal-fired power plants is provided in 44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions.  A full review of options for gas turbines is part of  Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Decisions.  Both of these services are free of charge to power plants and by subscription for others.

Gas Turbine after Market is both Substantial and Concentrated

As the U.S. switches from coal to gas a very large after market is developing for intake filters, valves, pumps, turbine and HRSG components.  McIlvaine quantifies and tracks all the activity in Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program.

Of the 440 GW of gas turbine-generated power operating in the U.S. as of the end of 2015, 170 GW or over one-third is produced by the top ten producers.

Largest Gas-Turbine Power Producers in the U.S.

Based on Capacity as of the end of 2015

 

Rank

Power Producer

Gas-Turbine Power Production

Total Capacity (MW)

Number of Facilities

Total Number of Units

1

Calpine

27,894

63

190

2

Duke Energy

25,061

42

242

3

NextEra Energy

20.735

18

132

4

Southern Co

19,919

30

138

5

NRG Energy

18,946

57

238

6

Dynegy

14,022

23

96

7

TVA

12,201

15

118

8

Berkshire Hathaway

11,812

24

107

9

Engie

10,260

19

57

10

LS Power

9,492

17

70

 

Note:  “Total Number of Units” includes both combustion and steam turbines.

Most of these producers are large, U.S.-based energy companies.  However, Engie (known as GDF Suez until April 2015) is a France-based multinational energy company and one of the largest independent power producers in the world.  In 2011 and 2012, Engie doubled its U.S. power generation capacity through acquisitions.  Berkshire Hathaway is essentially a holding company with an energy division which includes MidAmerican Energy (acquired in 1999), PacifiCorp (2005) and NV Energy (2013). 

Identifying key decision makers has become particularly difficult over the last decade due to electricity restructuring in the U.S. The distinction between regulated and deregulated companies has become blurred.  Power plants are bought and sold frequently as companies and utilities seek to make a profit in the new market-oriented environment.

McIlvaine has been tracking ownership changes and reports on them regularly along with identifying every new and existing power plant and project worldwide.  For more information on 59EI Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program click on:  http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/610-59ei.

Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a Weekly Basis

Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.

UTILITY E-ALERT

#1259 – February 12, 2016

Table of Contents

COAL – US

 

·       TVA completes Scrubber installation at Gallatin, TN Power Plant

·       B&W awarded $18 Million Contract for Reheater Replacement at Coal-fired Pawnee Generating Station 

·       Regulator fines Duke Energy nearly $7 Million for Coal Ash Spill

 

COAL – WORLD

 

·       ICVL launches Tender for 200 MW Pit-head Power Project in Mozambique 

·       SSE may close Three Units at Fiddler’s Ferry Coal-fired Power Plant

·       Coal-fired Power Station expansion in Jerada, Morocco

·       Safi 1,386 MW Coal-fired Power Station under Construction in Cap Ghir Safi, Morocco

·       Dr. Narla Tata Rao 800 MW Power Plant Expansion in Andhra Pradesh, India

·       Proposed 552 MW Coal-fired Power Station in Lanao del Norte Province, Philippines

·       Adani's Coal Mine clears Australia Environmental hurdle

The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects, regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.

 McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours (HTH) and Recordings

     Explanation          Applicable Services         Schedule & Registration       Sponsored Webinars 

McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.

Format:  50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.

Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and services.

Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers.  The presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and non-subscribers are encouraged.

Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since 1974.  Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on any application.  The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the issues and options relative to a specific applications.  Coal-fired power, cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.

The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision system.  It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of the session and be prepared with questions and views.

Value to purchasers and specifiers:  Your questions and interests will be prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future along with a networking directory of suppliers.

Value to Suppliers:  You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the slide deck.  If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.

44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions  includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial focus on power will find this combination most cost effective.

Applicable Services for Hot Topic Hours**

 

Pollutant

 

Industry

Fabric Filter

(1ABC)

Scrubber

(2ABC)

Precipitator

(4ABC)

FGD & DeNOx

(3ABC)

Air Pollution 
Monitoring

(9ABC)

Gas
Turbine
Decisions

Mercury

February
11, 2016

Coal

 

 

 

X

X

 

WTE

X

X

 

 

X

 

Sewage

 

X

X

 

X

 

Cement

X

 

 

 

X

 

Natural Gas*

 

 

 

 

 

 

DeNOx

March 24, 2016

Coal

 

 

 

X

X

 

Incineration

 

 

 

X

X

 

Steel

 

 

 

X

X

 

Cement

 

 

 

X

X

 

Diesel*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas Turbine

 

 

 

X

 

X

Hot Gas
Filtration

Coal

X

X

X

 

X

 

WTE

X

X

X

 

X

 

Cement

X

X

X

 

X

 

Steel

X

X

X

 

X

 

Incineration

X

X

X

 

X

 

Coal Gas

X

X

 

 

X

 

GT Intake

 

 

 

 

 

X

FGD  and Acid Gas

June 16, 2016

Coal

 

 

 

X

X

 

Sewage

 

X

 

 

X

 

WTE

 

X

 

 

X

 

Cement

 

X

 

 

X

 

Steel

 

X

 

 

X

 

 

*Included in custom system
 ** Many of the decision guides also are displayed in the relevant market reports.  Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC

 

HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE

Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at approximately two week intervals.  Unforeseen developments could dictate the insertion of new subjects.

 DATE

SUBJECT

February 25, 2016

Markets

Zero Liquid Discharge - Regulatory status in US and ROW; spray drier vs.. evaporation for Chinese power plants; difference in various system designs; total cost of ownership; valve, pump, evaporator, centrifuge, instrumentation, materials and compressor options.     Click Here to Register

 March 10, 2016

Markets

Gas Turbine - Intake filter, SCR, NH3, HRSG, valve, pump, instrumentation and cooling options (dry vs. wet); treatment chemicals; challenges with FAC due to extensive cycling.     Click Here to Register

 March 24, 2016

Decisions

NOx Control - Review of the issues and options for NOx control in coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste to energy plants as well as mobile diesel vehicles.     Click Here to Register

 April 7, 2016

Markets

Power Generation Technologies - Future of USC coal in India, Vietnam and Indonesia;   natural gas prices; GHG regulations; nuclear costs; penetration for wind and solar.     Click Here to Register

April 21, 2016

Decisions

Hot Gas Filtration - Issue and Option for particulate capture. in coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration.     Click Here to Register

 June 16, 2016

Decisions

FGD and Acid Gas SeparationIssue and options for SO2 and other acid gas separation from coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration plants.     Click Here to Register

 TBA

Markets

Desalination - Thermal vs. Membrane; energy recovery, pump, valve, compressor and chemicals options; power/desalination combinations.

 TBA

Markets

Oil, Gas, Refining - Supply and demand; impact on flow control and treatment products; regional impacts e.g. subsea in North Atlantic vs. shale in the US vs. Oil Sands in Canada.

 TBA

Markets

FoodAnalysis of 12 separate applications within food and beverage with analysis of valve, pump, compressor, filter, analyzer and chemical options; impact of new technologies such as forward osmosis.

 TBA

Markets

Municipal Wastewater - Quality of pumps, valves, filters, and analyzers in Chinese and Asian plants; new pollutant challenges; water purification for reuse.

 TBA

Markets

Mobile Emissions - Reduction in CO, VOCs, and particulate in fuels, oils, and air used in on and off road vehicles; impact of  RDE and failure of NOx traps and the crisis in Europe created by the focus on diesels.

Click here to Register for the Webinars

Sponsored Webinars allow suppliers to take advantage of all the valuable information on their power point presentations. Click here for details

Hot Topic Hour Recordings
See and hear recordings of past   Hot Topic Hours (Free for subscribers, $95.00 for non-subscribers)

·        Chronological

Order Now!

Free Sponsored Webinars

·        Albemarle - Cement MACT

·        AMC Power

·        Aquatech

·        GE -   Mercury Capture

·        Honeywell

·        NVISTA

·        Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance Analyzer

·        Neundorfer

·        Pavilion

·        Sick Maihak - Cement MACT

·        Tekran Instruments - Cement   MACT

----------

You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5

 

Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com