Asia Will Be the Largest Purchaser of Gas Turbine–Combined Power Plants This
Year
In 2016 more than 73,000 MW of gas turbine power generators will start
operation. Forty-five percent of the total will be in Asia.
Gas Turbine
Starts (MW) |
|
Continent |
2016 |
Total |
73,465
|
Africa |
5,684
|
America |
20,885
|
Asia |
33,411
|
Europe |
13,485
|
The lower cost of natural gas is having an impact on the Asian market. LNG
imports will provide the needed fuel for future growth. The U.S. market is
robust due to both low gas prices and environmental deterrents to coal-fired
generation.
A steady growth rate in capacity is anticipated despite competition from
renewable sources such as wind and solar. The differential cost between
gas turbine based electricity and that from wind and solar has widened with
plunging oil and gas prices.
The forecasts through 2021 are available in two services provided by McIlvaine.
Gas Turbine Combined Cycle Capacity 2016-2021
is an excel spreadsheet with the megawatts of capacity in 80 countries and sub
regions. The spreadsheet also contains totals for regions and continents
so that larger geographical trends can be analyzed. The price is
$900. To order contact:
editor@mcilvainecompany.com.
This forecast is updated quarterly and included in a very comprehensive program
59EI Gas
Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program.
Purchasers of the spreadsheet can later
deduct this price if they then purchase 59EI.
Preparing Decision Slide Decks for the Mercury Hot Topic Hour (HTH) February 11
Our Decisions HTH on Mercury, DeNOx and Hot Gas Filtration will be
based on decision slide decks which will be continually updated prior to and
subsequent to the webinar. End users and subscribers have free access to
the online slide decks. It is all explained at
Hot
Topic Hour Schedule and Recordings.
The Mercury HTH will focus on questions from end users as well as discussions
about the merits of various approaches. One of the biggest contributions
will be to provide cross pollination between industries. The sewage sludge
incinerator plants in the U.S. and the waste-to-energy plants in Europe have
some cutting edge technologies which need to be evaluated for use in other
industries.
Here is the McIlvaine view of the status and potential of the technologies for
the various industries:
|
Coal-fired Power |
Waste to Energy |
Sewage Sludge Incineration |
Cement |
Natural Gas |
Non- Ferrous |
Activated carbon injection |
EH PM |
EH PM |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EM PM |
Activated carbon pellets |
EL PM |
EM PL |
EM PM |
|
EH PH |
|
Scrubber chemicals |
EM PH |
EL PM |
EL PM |
EL PM |
EL PL |
EH PH |
Gore module |
EL PH |
EL PH |
EM PH |
EL PM |
EL PU |
EL PH |
Metal sorbent |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EM PM |
EH PM |
Molecular sieve |
EL |
PL |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EH PH |
EL PL |
Ionic liquid |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EL PL |
EL PM |
EL PH |
EL PL |
E = experience P = potential
H = high M = medium L= low U = unknown
Technologies such as the Gore module and ionic liquids are relatively new
developments. In addition there are complimentary options such as adding
calcium bromide with the fuel and the impact of SCR which oxidizes mercury.
Six Decision slide decks will be accessed during the conference. Each
application has technology which may prove valuable for one or more of the other
applications. For example, the ionic liquids are a new approach being used
in natural gas mercury removal. The pilot systems show advantages over carbon
pellets. Sewage sludge incinerators use carbon pellets. Should they
be considering ionic liquids?
Sewage sludge incinerator operators have selected absorber modules instead
of carbon pellets for more than a dozen installations. Coal-fired power
plants are also using absorber modules as one of the approaches. Sharing
of information on both applications will be beneficial.
Non-ferrous smelters are using metal filters but are also using scrubbers with
unique liquids. The Boliden-Norzink process involves the following three steps.
First, mercury scrubbing occurs in the reaction tower. The reaction tower is a
counter-current absorber tower made of fiber glass reinforced polypropylene
plastic. In the reaction tower, the HgCl2 solution is sprayed evenly in the
packing area and reacts with mercury in the flue gas. The second step involves
the production of the calomel mercurous chloride (Hg2Cl2), which is suspended in
solution. Some of the Hg2Cl2 is also sent to chloride process. During the
final step, the Hg2Cl2 is oxidized by Cl2 in the stirring tank.
The extensive use of chlorine in solution has been implemented in waste
incineration in Europe. Many waste-to-energy plants have multi stage scrubbers
with the first stage being used to make salable 30 percent hydrochloric acid.
What happens to the mercury in this first stage scrubber? Is the knowledge
gained by the non-ferrous industry of use to WTE operators?
The potential use of the WTE acid loop by the power industry is transformative.
The coal-fired power plant would become a chemicals complex with production of
rare earths, precious metals, hydrochloric acid, gypsum or sulfur and flyash.
The WTE experience plus the Chinese and U.S. initiatives for extraction of rare
earths from flyash can lead the way to the power/chemicals complex.
Each of the six decision slide decks will be revised until February 10.
McIlvaine will be at EUEC next week where many of the suppliers of mercury
removal products will be exhibiting or speaking. McIlvaine has a stand.
Also you can meet with Bob McIlvaine by contacting him in advance at mobile #847
226 2391.
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1256 – January 22, 2016
Table of Contents
COAL – WORLD
§
Proposed Cadiz City 300 MW Coal-fired Power Station
§
Coal-fired Power Station under development in Davao Occidental Province,
Philippines
§
Nam Dinh Thermal Power Plant Pact signed in Ha Noi
§
Krishnapatnam Power to build Thermal Power Projects worth Rs. 16,680 Crore in
Andhra Pradesh
§
China to further cut Coal Capacity
The
41F
Utility E-Alert
is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects, regulations and other
information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but is included in the
$3020
42EI
Utility Tracking System
which has data on every plant and project plus networking directories and
many other features.
McIlvaine
Hot Topic Hours (HTH) and Recordings
Explanation
Applicable
Services
Schedule
& Registration
Sponsored
Webinars
McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are
free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are
free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.
Format: 50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material.
The session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is
required.
Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and
directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best
Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and
services.
Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be
discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The
presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine
multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and
non-subscribers are encouraged.
Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since
1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric
filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on
any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems
displaying the issues and options relative to a specific applications.
Coal-fired power, cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are
continually updated.
The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision
system. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance
of the session and be prepared with questions and views.
Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be
prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have
continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future
along with a networking directory of suppliers.
Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be
considered at no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries
in advance and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered
in the slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly
newsletter and continuing yearly access to the system including networking
directories.
44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions
includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision services but not 2ABC. So those with
multiple technologies and at least partial focus on power will find this
combination most cost effective.
Applicable Services for Hot
Topic Hours** |
|||||||
Pollutant |
Industry |
Fabric Filter
(1ABC) |
Scrubber
(2ABC) |
Precipitator
(4ABC) |
FGD & DeNOx
(3ABC) |
Air Pollution
(9ABC) |
Gas |
Mercury
February |
Coal |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
WTE |
X |
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Sewage |
|
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Cement |
X |
|
|
|
X |
|
|
Natural Gas* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DeNOx
March 24, 2016 |
Coal |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
Incineration |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
|
Steel |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
|
Cement |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
|
Diesel* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gas Turbine |
|
|
|
X |
|
X |
Hot Gas |
Coal |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
WTE |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Cement |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Steel |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Incineration |
X |
X |
X |
|
X |
|
|
Coal Gas |
X |
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
GT Intake |
|
|
|
|
|
X |
|
FGD and Acid Gas
June 16, 2016 |
Coal |
|
|
|
X |
X |
|
Sewage |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
WTE |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Cement |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
|
Steel |
|
X |
|
|
X |
|
*Included in custom system |
HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE
Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at
approximately two week intervals. Unforeseen developments could dictate
the insertion of new subjects.
DATE |
SUBJECT |
February 11, 2016
Decisions |
Mercury
-
Review of the issues and options
for mercury removal for sewage
sludge incinerators, cement,
coal fired power, and
waste-to-energy plants.
Click
Here to Register |
February 25, 2016
Markets |
Zero Liquid Discharge
-
Regulatory status in US and ROW;
spray drier vs.. evaporation for
Chinese power plants; difference
in various system designs; total
cost of ownership; valve,
pump, evaporator, centrifuge,
instrumentation, materials and
compressor options.
Click Here to Register |
March 10, 2016
Markets |
Gas Turbine
-
Intake filter, SCR, NH3, HRSG,
valve, pump, instrumentation and
cooling options (dry vs. wet);
treatment chemicals; challenges
with FAC due to extensive
cycling.
Click Here to Register |
March 24, 2016
Decisions |
NOx Control
- Review
of the issues and options for
NOx control in coal fired power,
cement, steel, and waste to
energy plants as well as mobile
diesel vehicles.
Click Here to Register |
April 7, 2016
Markets |
Power Generation Technologies
-
Future of USC coal in India,
Vietnam and Indonesia;
natural gas prices; GHG
regulations; nuclear costs;
penetration for wind and solar.
Click Here to Register |
April 21, 2016
Decisions |
Hot Gas Filtration
-
Issue and Option for particulate
capture. in coal fired power,
cement, steel, and waste
incineration. Click
Here to Register |
June
16, 2016
Decisions |
FGD and Acid Gas Separation
- Issue
and options for SO2 and other
acid gas separation from coal
fired power, cement, steel, and
waste incineration plants.
Click
Here to Register |
TBA
Markets |
Desalination
-
Thermal vs. Membrane; energy
recovery, pump, valve,
compressor and chemicals
options; power/desalination
combinations. |
TBA
Markets |
Oil, Gas, Refining
-
Supply and demand; impact on
flow control and treatment
products; regional impacts
e.g. subsea in North Atlantic
vs. shale in the US vs. Oil
Sands in Canada. |
TBA
Markets |
Food
- Analysis
of 12 separate
applications within food and
beverage with analysis of valve,
pump, compressor, filter,
analyzer and chemical options;
impact of new technologies such
as forward osmosis. |
TBA
Markets |
Municipal Wastewater
-
Quality of pumps, valves,
filters, and analyzers in
Chinese and Asian plants; new
pollutant challenges; water
purification for reuse. |
TBA
Markets |
Mobile Emissions -
Reduction in CO, VOCs, and
particulate in fuels, oils, and
air used in on and off road
vehicles; impact of RDE
and failure of NOx
traps and the crisis in Europe
created by the focus on diesels. |
Click here to Register for the Webinars
___________________________________________________________________________
Sponsored Webinars
allow suppliers to take
advantage of all the valuable
information on their power point
presentations. Click
here for details |
Free Sponsored Webinars
·
Albemarle
- Cement MACT
·
Aquatech
·
NVISTA
·
Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance
Analyzer
·
Pavilion
·
Sick Maihak
- Cement MACT
·
Tekran Instruments
- Cement MACT |
----------
You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5.
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com