NOx Control World Market 

 

2020 FORECAST

 

The forecasts by query provide revenues for SCR through 2010. However, McIlvaine has also compiled an approximate forecast through 2010. World SCR installations in coal-fired power plants will total 318,000 MW in 2010 but will rise to over 1,000,000 MW in 2020. This means that over 70,000 MW of new systems will be required each year

 

China has now joined the more developed countries with a program to reduce NOx. The forecast includes 150,000 MW of SCR in China by 2020. But with a projected 753,000 MW of coal-fired boilers operating in that year NOx emissions will still be considerably higher than they are today.

 

Uncontrolled NOx varies greatly depending on the boiler type and operation. However, for estimating purposes we have determined the averages as 20 tons/MW for uncontrolled boilers and 2 tons/MW for controlled units.

 

We have ignored SNCR in the analysis due to its predicted minor effect on NOx emissions worldwide.

 

Ozone has both health and other environmental concerns. However, it will not get the attention in less developed countries that will be given to SO2 and particulate.

Thus total NOx will only decrease from 26 million tons in 2005 to 25 million tons in 2010.

 

Country forecasts are displayed below by year in the following chart:

NOx 2020

COUNTRY

In Operation (MW)

Existing with SCR (MW)

Controlled Tons @ 2 tons/MW (tons)

Uncontrolled (MW)

Uncontrolled tons @ 20 tons/MW (tons)

NOx Total (tons)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

United States

400,000

360,000

720,000

40,000

960,000

1,680,000

Canada

25,000

22,500

45,000

2,500

60,000

105,000

Mexico

8,769

0

0

8,769

210,444

210,444

TOTAL NAFTA

433,769

382,500

765,000

51,269

1,230,444

1,995,444

Argentina

780

0

0

780

18,720

18,720