Gas Turbine, Reciprocating Engine IIoT and Remote O&M Webinar on Thursday,
February 23
Join us on Thursday to discuss IIoT and Remote O&M for gas turbines and
reciprocating engines. We believe that IIoT empowered by IIoW will accelerate
progress. The IIoW is the Industrial Internet of Wisdom. Background information
such as linked below is an example of the McIlvaine contribution to IIoW.
Gas Turbine, Reciprocating Engine IIoT and Remote O&M
This industry segment has made the most progress in leveraging IIoT for remote
O&M services. Turbine and component suppliers have remote monitoring centers
operating around the clock. This session will explain why a 2030 forecast of $30
billion is predicted. It will answer the question as to how established
technologies such as remote vibration analysis will be combined with analytics
and decision making relative to all components in the balance of the plant.
Background InterwebviewsT - Kiewit
Click here to Register for the Webinars
The IIoT and Remote O&M market will grow from $155 billion last year to $1.4
Trillion in 2030
N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M continually forecasts the IIoT opportunity
through 2030 and provides analyses to help suppliers make and adjust their plans
to address this very important opportunity. The detailed coverage of individual
industries, products, services, technology and regions provides the specificity
needed for planning purposes. Mcilvaine consultants can also provide custom
insights to fill in any gaps. For more information click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/106-n031
IIoT and Remote O&M Webinar February 16 analyzed the Route to Market
The webinar yesterday covered the entire market for IIoT whereas the session on
March 2 will only focus on coal-fired power plants. One of the participants
yesterday was with ADA-ES. She has decades of experience with mercury removal
and measurement. The company also has DSI system design and operation
experience. How can a company with this mix of products and services benefit in
the rapidly growing IIoT market?
There are two options: leading or following. Leading would require major changes
in the organization but following could be very rewarding with minimum
investment. Let's take an example where MHPS would be the leader and ADA-ES
would be a partner. MHPS operates a remote monitoring center in the Philippines.
This location was chosen because of the number of English speakers who could be
employed. Initially the effort is focused on turbines and other rotating
equipment.
The next step beyond monitoring the steam turbine in a coal-fired power plant in
South Korea would also be expanding the monitoring in a cloud-based system to
take into account data from all the other products and processes. This data
would also be monitored by individual suppliers. Thermo, ADA-ES and MHPS would
be viewing the CEMS data. The water quality data would be analyzed in a Nalco
remote monitoring center in the U.S. which, by the way, is already operating
24/7. The lubrication filter health data would be analyzed from the Parker
Hannifin center in the U.S. The cloud-based program supplied by OptiSoft,
Genpact, Accenture or others would also analyze the fan vibration monitoring
data with support from the Howden remote control center in Scotland. The remote
Cormetech catalyst monitoring center would be monitoring mercury oxidation
activity of the installed catalyst. Additional sensors would allow precise
determination of activated carbon consumption and the system would compare
samples on mercury in the coal from the plant laboratory using the Thermo
analyzer to determine the raw mercury quantities in the combustion gas prior to
ACI injection. Mercury analyzers downstream of the ACI would determine ACI
effectiveness.
ADA-ES would secure a contract to provide regularly scheduled review of the
operations to determine if additional efficiencies could be obtained as a result
of data analysis. Furthermore, there would be an ADA-ES expert available 24/7 in
case of an emergency level problem. ADA-ES would use the knowledge it gains from
the operation of many systems and many types of virgin and impregnated carbons
to provide additional guidance for its clients. In a small way it could
duplicate the GE gas turbine modus operandi that uses data from 40,000 turbines
to help solve new problems as they occur. ADA-ES would also have the revenue
base to pursue new mercury removal options.
In this Alert we are reporting on successful use of ionic liquids. Could this be
an improvement? In fact, McIlvaine was hired by Petronas to find a better
mercury removal method for natural gas extraction. No good alternative was
discovered. Petronas then invested in research and found that ionic liquid
impregnated pellets were quite superior to activated carbon. Clariant has now
made these commercially available.
The discussion yesterday did not involve valves or pumps, however, there will be
a separate webinar on these subjects. There are many valve companies providing
remote monitoring. Emerson and Flowserve are examples. There is the opportunity
to improve valve design as a result of lessons learned in comprehensive
monitoring. Honeywell UOP was a participant yesterday. No one is more
knowledgeable about refining and gas processing. Last year we embarked on a
quest to find the best molecular sieve switching valves. The UOP experts
confessed that they were a year or two behind on developments such as hard
coatings which could make a big difference in valve selection.
Our conclusion is that you need the expertise of the valve and hard coatings
experts and that you cannot just rely on the process experts. This same analogy
holds true for boiler systems supplied by B&W, MHPS, or Doosan. Progress on
component development needs to come from the suppliers, but they need to know
more about the processes. So valve companies who minute-by- minute are seeing
valve performance data from ultra-supercritical, sub-critical, biomass-fired,
pet coke-fired, and 40 percent ash coal-fired power plants are going to gain
this process knowledge.
The theme of the webinar yesterday was that success is going to be 1 x IIoT + 2
x IIoW. IIoW is the acronym McIlvaine coined to represent the Industrial
Internet of Wisdom. IIoW dictates interconnection of individuals within each
plant in a utility system as well as interconnecting with all the suppliers.
McIlvaine created a beta site 4S01 Berkshire Hathaway Energy Supplier and
Utility Connect. The goal would be to create sites for the 100 largest utilities
in the world. This would account for the majority of the world's generation. We
have demonstrated that organizing all the permit and product information on each
boiler creates a fast track to IIoW.
Another component is interconnection of individuals in supplier organizations.
This includes disparate product divisions, geographies and job functions. The
webinar yesterday used the BHE example as to how all these different supplier
segments can organize around each major customer.
We will be conducting the IIoT Gas Turbine webinar next week and on March 2 the
webinar on Coal-fired Boilers. We look forward to your participation.
Many Different Types of Companies have Major Opportunities in IIoT and Remote
O&M
Much of the webinar was focused on discussing the opportunities for specific
companies. Many of the companies for which there was expanded discussion were
participants in the webinar. End users such as BHE are beneficiaries; product
suppliers have a big potential. Process suppliers such as UOP and MHPS have
immediate opportunities. Some companies such as Berendsen have opportunities in
their own and customer operations (both the company and the customers operate
cleanrooms). The following table focuses on the potential collaboration
opportunities among divisions within each company.
Company Involvement
ABB DCS, drives , inverters, substations, motors but also remote monitoring
solutions such as Goliat offshore platform
*+ADA ES Specialized consultant in air pollution mercury control and monitoring
who can provide 24-7 advice for remote monitoring centers by MHPS , GE and
others
Accenture (Genpact would be similar) Offers consulting but also cloud-based
platforms and outsourcing programs
*Berendsen Can utilize IIoT and Remote O&M for its eleven cleanroom laundries
and also monitor environmental quality and provide digitized supply management
for wipes, clothing, etc.
*Berkshire Hathaway Providing detailed information on hundreds of BHE plants
including installed components, and permits. All the IIoW documents needed to
empower IIoT described at4S01 Berkshire Hathaway Energy Supplier and Utility
Connect
*Braden Monitor gas turbine inlet filters, incorporate urea supply management
from Yara, as well as provide digitized supply management for air inlet and
emission consumables
*Colfax Remote monitoring and O&M for compressors, fans, fluid drives heat
exchangers, lubrication pumps, and process pumps
*Emerson Integrated IIoT platform, Valve & Pump Connected Service, combustion
optimization, Aberdeen remote oil platform monitoring, new Tyco valve
opportunities, Rosemount and other instrumentation
Evoqua Wide range of water treatment equipment and worldwide service
Flowserve Has the pumps, valves, Wisdom and IIoT, collaboration with Honeywell
*Freudenberg FIT Digital process management, also monitor air filters,
wastewater, lubricants, seals, and digitized supply program to include wipes,
mops, and disinfectants
Grundfos Major pump supplier with strong focus on smart pumps at IIoT
*Honeywell Full IIoT software programs plus refining niche experts, sensors,
controls, thermal treatment systems, supply management of consumables including
gloves
*IDEX Smart pumps, flow monitoring hardware, valves and opportunity to use IIoT
to improve collaboration among many niche companies
Kurita Already has remote monitoring and can supply the treatment chemicals
*M&C Tech Digitized supply program for all the consumables needed with
extractive gas analyzers
MHPS Has remote monitoring center in the Philippines and the power generation
equipment, pumps, and many other components
Mann & Hummel Has an IIoT research center in Singapore and is a major filter
supplier
*OSI Soft Open data infrastructure for wind turbines, oil and gas, chemicals,
and water utilities
*Parker Hannifin Remote condition monitoring, hybrid actuators, pumps, valves,
fittings, Thermal controls with remote monitoring, Clarcor GT inlet filters and
Clarcor total solutions for digitized supply management of all filters
*Rexnord IIoT smart gears, Ethernet/IP connectivity, real time advice,
translation of data into Alerts and recommendations, bearings, valves,
mechanical seals
'Schneider Electric Has lots of hardware and software but can integrate Invensys
for Wisdom
Xylem Has treat, transport, and test. So it has the hardware and instruments
plus Wisdom in the water sector
Progress will be One-Third IIoT and Two-Thirds IIoW
The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) has already accelerated the increase in
GDP and is predicted to add more than $10 trillion to world GDP by 2030. All
this will be made possible by the proliferation of cost effective sensors and
wireless transmission. Digital process management will utilize this data to
better operate industrial processes.
The focus is on changing the way we gather and utilize numbers, but not on how
we change the way we gather and utilize thoughts. However, IIoT progress will be
much faster if we adopt the Industrial Internet of Wisdom (IIoW). It can be
argued that IIoW improvements will be twice as important as IIoT improvements.
IIoW improvements such as Google are providing digital access to information but
not necessarily maximizing the ability to move from data to information to
knowledge to wisdom.
IIoT creates instantaneous opportunities. IIoW needs to adapt to achieve the
IIoT potential. Some aspects of IIoW date back thousands of years. Tri-annual
exhibitions at European crossroads are organized on thousand year old
traditions. Peer reviewed papers need to be submitted months before publication.
These traditions must change to take advantage of instant opportunities.
Data Analytics is the IIoT mantra for creating wisdom from knowledge. There is
lots of room for improvement in the IIoW version of data analytics. Innovations
in one industry are ignored in others. Individuals in different divisions of a
company often are more competitive than collaborative. How many gatherings
provide true debate of issues? Why is 5 to 10% of the world's niche expertise
lost through retirement every year
The potential for changing IIoW to take advantage of digital tools and IIoT is
so large that you can argue that the formula for progress is 1 x IIoT + 2 x IIoW.
So a dollar spent on improving IIoW will be twice as valuable as one spent on
improving IIoT. But there are many more dollars being spent on IIoT improvement
than on IIoW, so large resources should be devoted to improving IIoW.
McIlvaine is pursuing this need by offering clients a combination of its
Industrial IoT and Remote O&M service with its other product and industry
focused services. Each week McIlvaine is conducting a free webinar to probe the
potential in one industry or product. This schedule is shown at Industrial
Internet of Things (IIoT) N031 Industrial IoT and Remote O&M. (Formerly Air and
Water Monitoring) click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article/28-energy/675-hot-topic-hour-info#weekly
Summaries of IIoW empowered IIoT for specific products and technologies are
provided at:
Ultrapure Water Market bolstered by IIoT will exceed $12 billion in 2026
$22 Billion Sedimentation and Centrifugation Market will take many Potential
Purchasing Routes
IIoT and NOx Control: The Opportunity and the Challenge
IIoT and Thermal Gas Treatment: The Opportunity and the Challenge
$5 Billion Cleanroom Market will be Increasingly Impacted by IIoT Technologies
Industrial IoT and Remote Operations and Maintenance Will Generate Revenues In
Excess Of $1.4 Trillion
Gas Turbine Opportunities for Valve Companies Shaped by IIoT
IIoT is Creating New Market Paths to the $1 Billion Gas Turbine Plant Pump
Repair, Replace and Service Market
IIoT is Creating New Market Paths to the $100 Billion Gas Turbine Repair,
Replace and Service Market
IIoT is Creating New Market Paths to the $400 Million Gas Turbine and
Reciprocating Engine Liquid Cartridge Replace and Service Market
IIoT is Creating New Market Paths to the $700 Million Gas Turbine and
Reciprocating Engine Air Filter Repair, Replace and Service Market
Remote Support is a $1.6 Billion Potential Business for Precipitator Product and
Service Companies
Role of Power Plant Consulting Firms in IIoT and Remote O&M
Power plant engineering and consulting firms have both a big potential IIoT
opportunity but also the threat of a radically different environment which would
reduce revenues.
The success or failure may depend on the IIoW contribution. IIoW is the
Industrial Internet of Wisdom which will likely empower IIoT. But it is a cycle.
The invaluable information generated by the IIoT systems should lead to new
procedures and new technologies chronicled by IIoW which will lead to new IIoT
generated insights and then to even newer and better technologies.
Positive Aspects of IIoT & Remote O&M empowered by IIoW for consulting
companies:
• Substantial revenues directly associated with IIoT and Remote O&M
• Promotional value of niche expertise leading to larger contracts
• Ability for U.S. or European based firms to leverage skills around the world
Negative Aspects of IIoT and Remote O&M empowered by IIoT for consulting
companies:
• IIoT will generate more potential knowledge than can be handled by the
traditional consulting company
• There will need to be hundreds of thousands of specialized niche experts who
provide much of the insight
• Consulting firms tend to employ only people who generate billable hours and if
necessary will hire experts for modest input
• In an IIoW empowered IIoT world the consultant may lose his knowledge edge to
new kinds of organizations who most efficiently utilize the niche experts
If you are going to improve operations at a power plant you can hire a
consulting engineering firm to analyze the existing operations and recommend
changes. They can then create a set of specifications and evaluate bids. The
firm can then oversee the installation and can provide follow on services.
Many of the world's largest power plant consulting firms are U.S. based. They
include broad based consultants such as AECOM, Bechtel, Black & Veatch, Burns &
McDonnell, Kiewit and Sargent & Lundy. They also include focused firms such as,
MPR and Trinity Consultants. A number of European utilities have formed
consulting groups. Laborelec. Steag and Uniper are examples.
Design firms often compete with EPC contractors. In Asia, the typical approach
is to invite turnkey bids from EPC firms. In the U.S., the most common approach
is creation of specifications for a project by an A/E firm who then overseas
bids from the EPC firms or from sub-system bidders.
Most of the large firms have operations and maintenance services. Many have
embraced IIoT and some have acquired software companies to enable them to
compete with large management consulting firms such as Accenture and Genpact.
The large consulting companies are an important source of the niche expertise
needed to advance the power industry. A utility would look to the consultant to
evaluate technology options and create bid specifications based on knowledge
assumed to be superior to that available within the utility and unavailable in
an unbiased way from the technology suppliers.
Specific Examples
Kiewit: has substantial consulting activities to supplement its engineering and
construction businesses. McIlvaine has conducted webinars with Kiewit air and
water experts. There are links to some of these presentations in the promotional
material for the Gas Turbine IIoT Webinar on the McIlvaine Home Page. Here is an
example of how Kiewit niche expertise would work.
Brad Buecher was a chemist at a power plant before joining Kiewit. He is a world
expert on water chemistry for power plant steam cycles. Here is a scenario as to
how his services could be utilized:
• MHPS has a remote monitoring center in the Philippines and oversees gas
turbine operations at plants in Asia. Let's assume that they expand from just
monitoring rotating parts to the full balance of plant monitoring.
• Hach monitors water quality parameters.
• Nalco monitors water treatment chemical use.
• Flowserve monitors valve and pump conditions
• All this data flows through the MHPS center and is available to Brad in the
U.S. He then uses his knowledge of flow accelerated corrosion and water
chemistry to provide periodic advice as part of a yearly contract. He is also
available in an emergency.
Kiewit has electrical, instrumentation and telecommunication activities in many
industries e.g. common platform for artificial lift pumps at the Peregrino oil
field. The Kiewit subsidiary INEIGHT has IIoT services focused on power plant
constructors but could expand into services for the power plants themselves.
AECOM: McIlvaine has been conducting webinars for BHE on NOx removal. AECOM has
been supporting BHE with analysis of options and has suggested using technology
successfully employed in the refining industry for NOx oxidation ahead of the
scrubber. A novel hybrid reductant may also be employed for front end SNCR. If
these combinations are successful, the AECOM project manager has the potential
to take this knowledge to the many plants in Asia who are struggling with new
NOx limits.
AECOM has complete IIoT programs for leak detection including visibility across
the operating asset fleet, automatic alerts, and IT integration with security
safety, and environmental regulations.
MPR: has CFD analyses which will help plants removing SO2 with direct sorbent
injection. The program is designed to make trouble shooting much more cost
effective. MPR has developed expertise in wind turbine drive train technology
and could be providing remote services to wind power generators around the
world.
Black & Veatch: tells clients that optimization is the next step after
digitization and involves human action with all that data. Further B&V says that
asset management is not about managing assets but creating value.
Trinity Consultants: has unique expertise in analyzing the local and state
environmental regulations and permitting which apply to a given power plant.
McIlvaine has set up a beta IIoT site including all the plants operated by BHE.
4S01 Berkshire Hathaway Energy Supplier and Utility Connect
There are a number of relevant air and water permits and rulings which are
applicable to each plant. Enough of these were posted in the BHE site to
determine that:
• A continuous posting of permits, rulings, case histories, and component
information on each plant could be cost effective.
• The present practice where power plants use the local consultant to analyze
the local situation and then a variety of other consultants to aggregate and
utilize the data leaves much to be desired.
• A system wide approach to information gathering for each plant will facilitate
IIoW empowered IIoT.
• Trinity Consultants would be in a position to aggregate and interpret the
regulatory data for each U.S. power plant.
Laborelec (ENGIE) is leveraging the knowledge of the Belgian electricity
industry to offer both laboratory services and consulting. It is providing
condition monitoring for turbines in the Middle East. It provided water
chemistry solutions for an Asian power plant with problems. It analyzed air
inlet filter operations at 40 U.S. plants for one operator. This group is
showing the niche expertise to take this from the one-on-one level to the one on
industry level.
The consultant role in IIoT and Remote O&M as well as IIoW empowerment is
evolving. You can track this evolution in N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M
Free Webinars on IIoT and Remote O&M
The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) and remote operation and maintenance
will combine to create a market worth $1.4 trillion in 2030 according to the
latest forecasts in N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M Market Report published
by the McIlvaine Company. A series of nine webinars will provide some of the
conclusions from the report. The presentations will be followed by a discussion
period where participants can share their views and ask questions. Each webinar
will be scheduled on a Thursday at 10:00 a.m. CDT. Participation is free.
Schedule
February 23: Gas Turbine, Reciprocating Engine IIoT and Remote O&M. This
industry segment has made the most progress in leveraging IIoT for remote O&M
services. Turbine and component suppliers have remote monitoring centers
operating around the clock. This session will explain why a 2030 forecast of $30
billion is predicted. It will answer the question as to how established
technologies such as remote vibration analysis will be combined with analytics
and decision making relative to all components in the balance of the plant.
March 2: Coal-Fired Power IIoT and Remote O&M: This session will build on nine
hours of webinars recently conducted on optimizing NOx emissions, 42 years of
data analysis in Coal-fired Power Plant Decisions and a previous McIlvaine
report entitled Information Technology in Electricity Generation. It will
discuss the basis for an $80 billion 2030 forecast for coal-fired IIoT and
remote O&M with a focus on the potential for utilities in developing countries
to take advantage of the world's expertise through services from international
consortia.
March 9: Pump IIoT & Remote O&M. The potential for pump suppliers to add $20
billion of annual revenue and create new market routes for pumps valued at $25
billion will be discussed along with the evolution from vibration and lube oil
monitoring to maximizing efficiency and minimizing maintenance costs. Based on
the research in N019 Pumps World Market the session will discuss the various
routes to market (system suppliers, third party O&M providers, and direct to end
users).
March 16: Industrial Valve IIoT & Remote O&M. The role industrial valves will
play in expanding the market to $1.4 trillion while generating $20 billion in
additional valve revenues and carving new routes for valve sales worth $30
billion will be explained. Insights from N028 Industrial Valves: World Market
will be leveraged to predict the evolution of smart valves, valve inventory
management programs such as being offered by GE, integration with third party
programs and the role for subject matter experts.
March 23: Oil and Gas IIoT and Remote O&M. McIlvaine predicts this market will
grow to $168 billion by 2030. Insights from N049 Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining
Markets and Projects will be used to describe the present disparate programs and
the eventual amalgamation to interactive systems using open platform software.
Safety, security, maintenance, environment, and efficiency will be considered.
The webinar will include uses in the upstream, midstream and downstream segments
of the industry.
March 30: Filtration and Separation IIoT and Remote O&M. The basis for a $350
billion 2030 market will be provided. The broad range of applications as
delineated in many market reports "MARKETS" will be analyzed. This includes
thousands of applications including ones as diverse as vibration monitoring and
polymer dosage for centrifuges to filter condition monitoring for stationary IC
engines. Clarcor already provides a total filtration solution package which
includes replacing of all filters in a plant as needed. Donaldson offers a
filter program for off road engines.
April 6: Water & Wastewater IIoT and Remote O&M. Municipal water and wastewater
treatment systems are challenged by long pipelines subject to leakage,
corrosion, odors and blockages as well as by maintaining valves and pumps in
remote locations. New wireless technologies are already enthusiastically
embraced. McIlvaine will provide insights based on several of its services: 62EI
North American Municipal Wastewater Treatment Facilities and People Database and
67EI North American Public Water Plants and People as well as on ongoing private
studies on subjects such as aeration compressors. This market is projected to
reach $168 billion in 2030.
April 13: Air Pollution Control. The basis for a $60 billion 2030 IIoT forecast
will be explained. Continuous emissions monitoring systems are now required in
many industries in many countries. Typically minute by minute emissions of each
pollutant are transmitted to owners as well as enforcement agencies. There is a
huge potential to integrate the information from these systems with combustion
and other process optimization systems to operate plants based on both total
economic and environmental cost of ownership. McIlvaine will be providing
insights based on included in N027 FGD Market and Strategies, N035 NOx Control
World Market, N021 World Fabric Filter and Element Market, N018 Electrostatic
Precipitator World Market. Remote operation and maintenance of electrostatic
precipitators is well established and successful. This success is a model for
other IIoT initiatives and will therefore be examined in detail.
Subsequent webinars. The following subjects will be included in future IIoT
webinars:
• Subjects: cleanrooms, ultrapure water, water & wastewater treatment chemicals
• Industries: chemical, pharmaceutical, mining, semiconductor, pulp & paper,
food
Brief analyses of these opportunities are found at:
• $125 Billion/yr. Power Plant IIoT Instrumentation, Software and Service
Opportunity
• IIoT and the Stainless Steel Industry
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/Decision_Tree/subscriber/Tree/DescriptionTextLinks/SS_world_article_1-19-2017.pdf
• $5 Billion Cleanroom Market will be Increasingly Impacted by IIoT Technologies
• Industrial IoT and Remote Operations and Maintenance Will Generate Revenues In
Excess Of $1.4 Trillion
Recorded Interviews. Periodic recorded webinars with suppliers, consultants and
end users will be linked from this page as well as being displayed in Hot Topic
Hour recordings. Much of the future sensor input will be related to
environmental performance. This in turn is tied to the regulations. Recently we
conducted an interview with Patricia Scroggin of Burns & McDonnell. You can view
it at Meeting the new ELG and CCR requirements- options explained by Patricia
Scroggin (Interview Dated: 1/20/2017).
To register for the webinars, click on: Hot Topic Hour Schedule and Recordings
Detailed Forecasting of Markets, Prospects and Projects
Look into the future to improve your sales efforts.
Weekly IIoT Webinars
Free weekly discussion of IIot and Remote O&M
InterwebvewsT
Cost effective recorded presentations
Bob Mcilvaine
President
Mcilvaine Company
Ph: 847-784-0012 ext. 112
www.mcilvainecompany.com