WELCOME
Weekly selected highlights in flow control, treatment and combustion from the
many McIlvaine publications.
• U.S. Based Companies will make Twenty-five Percent of the Valve Purchasing
Decisions in the New IIoT Environment
• Refinery Webinar and Decisions System
• Shale Oil and Gas Webinar on February 7 will cover IIoT and Combust, Flow and
Treat Markets
• Pump Report Continually Updated
U.S. Based Companies will make Twenty-five Percent of the Valve Purchasing
Decisions in the New IIoT Environment
The infiltration of IIoT and remote O&M into the valve industry will profoundly
impact the purchasing approach of plant owners. The 550 largest valve operators
are increasingly making decisions for all their plants at the corporate offices.
Traditional business strategy has started with forecasts of valve purchases by
geographic region. This was logical because most valve decisions were made at
the plant level. In the new environment decisions will be made at a central
location which has access to valve performance data at all the plants. As a
consequence, valve company sales efforts will need to be aligned with the
corporate office locations.
The U.S. has lost importance as the dominant operator of processes utilizing
valves. The large U.S. operators have been making most of their recent
investments in countries where demand is increasing. These companies have become
increasingly international. Now with remote monitoring and data analytics these
companies can make better informed valve decisions for each plant from the
corporate office.
This is good news for the valve salesmen assigned to the U.S. The reason is that
25 percent of the 550 largest valve purchasers are based in the U.S. On the
average their purchases are larger than operators based in other countries. So,
the role of the U.S. sales force will become increasingly important.
Valve Purchases 2018 $ millions by U.S. based Companies
Company Role Industry Purchases
AbbVie Operator Pharma 36
ADM Operator Food 15
AECOM EPC Total 175
AEP Operator Power 93
Amgen Operator Pharma 32
The rapid development of IIoT is being analyzed in N031 Industrial IOT and
Remote O&M
The forecasts for the 550 purchasers are included in N028 Industrial Valves:
World Market
The five-step program to navigate the IIoT sea change is discussed.
Refinery Webinar and Decisions System
McIlvaine conducted a webinar on the market for combust, flow, and treat
equipment and services in refineries last week.
A small number of companies make the decisions relative to combust, flow and
treat purchases for refineries. The refinery IIoT and Remote O&M market will
rise from $18 billion in 2018 to more than $36 billion by 2024.
Companies building new refineries are well aware of the benefits of using IIoT
through pervasive sensing applications. A typical modern facility will thus have
about 50,000 inputs and outputs to and from control and monitoring systems, with
all connections made through plant intranets, which replaces the Internet in
these IIoT applications. But an older refinery will typically have closer to
20,000 inputs and outputs, with the 30,000 shortfall the root cause of much
inefficiency, operational issues and safety incidents. So, the IIoT potential at
existing plants is bigger than for new plants.
McIlvaine tracks all refinery projects daily. There are relatively few refining
companies. Many of them also own chemical plants and or extract gas and oil. A
marketing program for refining combust, flow, and treat products and services
was discussed.
Recorded 41 Minute webinar on January 10, 2018 View YouTube Recording: https://youtu.be/N0CgrGcfMAU
The webinar also covered the markets of individual components by the major
purchasers using the following sample.
Refinery Purchases 2018 - $ millions
Total lukoil Aramco SK Repsol Exxon
% 1.27 2.53 0.85 1.15 5.87
Pumps 3200 41 81 27 37 188
Valves 8485 108 215 72 98 498
Treatment Chemicals 3100 39 78 26 36 182
Filtration/ Separation 5400 69 137 46 62 317
Sub Total 20185 257 511 171 233 1185
Guide 5877 75 149 50 68 345
Control 12,400 157 314 105 143 728
Measure 5600 71 142 48 64 329
Sub Total 23877 303 605 203 275 1402
Total 44,062 560 1116 374 508 2587
A refinery Decisions System can now be accessed free of charge for the next
three months. One decision guide will cover air pollution control for catalytic
cracking and consider new technologies such as catalytic filters for recovery of
more catalyst fines and NOx removal. Fence line monitoring and the new
requirements for benzene monitoring nationally and 15 pollutants in California
is another subject.
You can contact Bob McIlvaine rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany,com to sign up for the
three month free access.
Shale Oil and Gas Webinar on February 7 will cover IIoT and Combust, Flow and
Treat Markets
Unlike conventional extraction shale oil and gas involves large numbers of small
wells with very complex extraction processes. This combination makes IIoT and
Remote O&M very cost effective. There are also many more combust, flow and treat
products and services required. McIlvaine tracks all the oil and gas activity on
a daily basis. N049 Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining Markets and Projects Remote
monitoring of pumps and valves is very important due to the high pressures and
abrasive environment in which these components must operate. The cost of shale
and gas extraction has been falling due to process and component innovation.
Greater use of IIoT and Remote O&M will make this technology even more
competitive. This webinar will provide an extension of the March oil and gas
webinar which can be viewed at https://youtu.be/o7kJSXixFHs
The total oil market is growing. OPEC now sees demand reaching 102.3 million
barrels a day in 2022, up from 95.4 million barrels a day in 2016.
The United States will meet much of the demand increasing its oil output by 3.8
million barrels a day through 2022, OPEC says. That will be equal to about 75
percent of all supply growth outside the 14-member OPEC, which provides about
one-third of the world's crude. Much of that growth will come from U.S. shale.
U.S. shale oil production could exceed 9 million barrels per day by 2025. Capex
is likely to grow at 25%/yr. The US shale oil market is in recovery. WTI has
rebounded from its February 2016 low of $30/bbl, and reached $70/barrel last
week.
Those prices have driven shale oil rig counts to over 500 rigs-more than 2.5
times the April 2016 bottom of 193. Several factors enable operators to continue
producing in this lower-price environment:
1. high-grading, since ~50% of sub-basins have uneconomic average break evens at
these prices;
2. a 5-day reduction in average drilling days since 2014; and,
3. an average Initial production (IP) improvement of 33% since 2014.
To register for the webinar click on Free Market Webinars
Pump Report Continually Updated
Subscribers to the McIlvaine pump report just received forecasts for the pump
expenditures for the top 550 purchasers. In addition to updates to the
networking directory and forecasts there is a monthly news update. Here are the
headlines for the December issue
Pumps World Markets Update - Table of Contents - December 2017
Acquisition
Iron Pump Buys Ellehammer
New Facilities
Maag Opens Two New Plants in China
Grundfos Opens New Manufacturing Plant in India
Gruppo Aturio Adds Testing Facilities
Finance
Clyde Union Reduced Work Force in UK after Losses
People
Xylem UK Managing Director Appointed New President of BPMA
SPX Flow Announces New Sales Manager for Johnson Marine in Americas
Projects
Hazelton Pump Used in South Africa Midstream Facility
Tsurumi Skimmer Pumps Supplied to Paris Metro
New Watson Marlow Pump at Minnesota Water Treatment Plant
Amarinth Pumps Delivers Vertical Pumps to Abu Dhabi Wastewater Plant
Watson Marlow Bredel Pumps Installed in Brazilian Copper Mines
Weir Completes Valve and Pumps Restoration in Coal to Biomass Conversion
Alfa Laval Wins Framo Pumping Order for North Sea Oil Platform
KSB Pumps to Be Installed in Egyptian Power Plants
Ebara Delivers Pumps to Vietnamese Filtration Plant
HMS Group Supplying Pumping Units for Indian Nuclear Power Plant
New Products
EnviroGear Extends E Series Internal Gear Pumps with 4 and 6 Inch Pumps
Selwood Introduces New Environmentally Friendly Solids Handling Pump
GEA Rolls Out Super Slider Pump for Manure
Xylem Goulds Introduces New Vortex Pump
Kamat Builds New Quintuplex Pump
For more information on the pump report click on N019 Pumps World Market