Nine Free Webinars on IIoT and Remote O&M
The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) and remote operation and maintenance
will combine to create a market worth $1.4 trillion in 2030 according to the
latest forecasts in N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M Market Report published
by the McIlvaine company. A series of nine webinars will provide some of the
conclusions from the report. The presentations will be followed by a discussion
period where participants can share their views and ask questions. Each webinar
will be scheduled on a Thursday at 10 a.m. CDT. Participation is free.
Schedule
February 16. IIoT and Remote O&M Markets: Questions to be addressed include: Why
combine IIoT and Remote O&M forecasts? Why will this market grow at 13%/yr.?
What are the major markets segmented by industry, region, and product? What are
the limiting factors to growth? How do suppliers best take advantage of the
opportunity.?
February 23: Gas Turbine, Reciprocating Engine IIoT and Remote O&M. This
industry segment has made the most progress in leveraging IIoT for remote O&M
services. Turbine and component suppliers have remote monitoring centers
operating around the clock. This session will explain why a 2030 forecast of $30
billion is predicted. It will answer the question as to how established
technologies such as remote vibration analysis will be combined with analytics
and decision making relative to all components in the balance of the plant.
March 2: Coal-Fired Power IIoT and Remote O&M: This session will build on nine
hours of webinars recently conducted on optimizing NOx emissions,42 years of
data analysis in Coal-Fired Power Plant Decisions and a previous McIlvaine
report entitled Information Technology in Electricity Generation. It will
discuss the basis for an $80 billion 2030 forecast for coal-fired IIoT and
remote O&M with a focus on the potential for utilities in developing countries
to take advantage of the world’s expertise through services from international
consortia.
March 9: Pump IIoT & Remote O&M. The potential for pump suppliers to add $20
billion of annual revenue and create new market routes for pumps valued at $25
billion will be discussed along with the evolution from vibration and lube oil
monitoring to maximizing efficiency and minimizing maintenance costs. Based on
the research in N019 Pumps World Market the session will discuss the various
routes to market (system suppliers, third party O&M providers, and direct to end
users).
March 16: Industrial Valve IIoT & Remote O&M. The role industrial valves will
play in expanding the market to $1.4 trillion while generating $20 billion in
additional valve revenues and carving new routes for valve sales worth $30
billion will be explained. Insights from N028 Industrial Valves: World Market
will be leveraged to predict the evolution of smart valves, valve inventory
management programs such as being offered by GE, integration with third party
programs and the role for subject matter experts.
March 23: Oil and Gas IIoT and Remote O&M. McIlvaine predicts this market will
grow to $168 billion by 2030. Insights from N049 Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining
Markets and Projects will be used to describe the present disparate programs and
the eventual amalgamation to interactive systems using open platform software.
Safety, security, maintenance, environment, and efficiency will be considered.
The webinar will include uses in the upstream, midstream and downstream segments
of the industry.
March 30: Filtration and Separation IIoT and Remote O&M. The basis for a $350
billion 2030 market will be provided. The broad range of applications as
delineated in many market reports MARKETS will be analyzed. This includes
thousands of applications including ones as diverse as vibration monitoring and
polymer dosage for centrifuges to filter condition monitoring for stationary IC
engines. Clarcor already provides a total filtration solution package which
includes replacing of all filters in a plant as needed. Donaldson offers a
filter program for off road engines.
April 6: Water & Wastewater IIoT and Remote O&M. Municipal water and wastewater
treatment systems are challenged by long pipelines subject to leakage,
corrosion, odors and blockages as well as by maintaining valves and pumps in
remote locations. New wireless technologies are already enthusiastically
embraced. McIlvaine will provide insights based on several of its services: 62EI
North American Municipal Wastewater Treatment Facilities and People Database and
67EI North American Public Water Plants and People as well as on ongoing private
studies on subjects such as aeration compressors. This market is projected to
reach $168 billion in 2030.
April 13: Air Pollution Control. The basis for a $60 billion 2030 IIoT forecast
will be explained. Continuous emissions monitoring systems are now required in
many industries in many countries. Typically minute by minute emissions of each
pollutant are transmitted to owners as well as enforcement agencies. There is a
huge potential to integrate the information from these systems with combustion
and other process optimization systems to operate plants based on both total
economic and environmental cost of ownership. McIlvaine will be providing
insights based on analyses included in N027 FGD Market and Strategies, N035 NOx
Control World Market, N021 World Fabric Filter and Element Market, N018
Electrostatic Precipitator World Market. Remote operation and maintenance of
electrostatic precipitators is well established and successful. This success is
a model for other IIoT initiatives and will therefore be examined in detail.
Subsequent webinars. The following subjects will be included in future IIoT
webinars
• Subjects: cleanrooms, ultrapure water, water & wastewater treatment chemicals
• Industries: chemical, pharmaceutical, mining, semiconductor, pulp & paper,
food
Brief analyses of these opportunities are found at:
• $125 Billion/yr. Power Plant IIoT Instrumentation, Software and Service
Opportunity
• IIoT and the Stainless Steel Industry
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/Decision_Tree/subscriber/Tree/DescriptionTextLinks/SS_world_article_1-19-2017.pdf
• $5 Billion Cleanroom Market will be Increasingly Impacted by IIoT Technologies
• Industrial IoT and Remote Operations and Maintenance Will Generate Revenues In
Excess Of $1.4 Trillion
Recorded Interviews. Periodic recorded webinars with suppliers, consultants and
end users will be linked from this page as well as being displayed in Hot Topic
Hour recordings. Much of the future sensor input will be related to
environmental performance. This in turn is tied to the regulations. Recently we
conducted an interview with Patricia Scroggin of Burns & McDonnell. You can view
it at Meeting the new ELG and CCR requirements- options explained by Patricia
Scroggin (Interview Dated: 1/20/2017).
To register for the webinars, click on: Hot Topic Hour Schedule and Recordings
For details on the report click on: N031 Industrial IOT and Remote O&M
$125 Billion/yr. Power Plant IIoT Instrumentation, Software and Service
Opportunity
World electricity consumption is 25,000 terawatt hours per year. Generation of
this electricity costs $2.5 trillion per year. Machine to machine communication
in combination with remote monitoring and service has the potential to reduce
this cost by 5 percent and create a $125 billion dollar per year opportunity.
This is the latest forecast in a special ongoing analysis included in N031
Industrial IOT and Remote O&M.
The opportunity incorporates, smart instrumentation, component monitoring,
digital data generation at the plant, software programs, remote monitoring,
third party operation and maintenance and a combination of subject matter
experts and data analytics.
Smart Instrumentation
The opportunity is shaped by the ability of sensors to accurately detect the
flow of liquids, gases, air, water and solids. The quality of the flow is also
critical. Continuous emissions monitoring systems measure the air contaminants
such as NOx, SO2 and particulate. New regulations have added the need to measure
mercury in the exhaust gas and selenium in the wastewater. The temperature,
moisture and particulate levels for lubricating fluids used in the rotating
equipment are also important.
The need for accurate injection extends to corrosion and scale inhibitors,
biocides, pH adjusters, polymers for wastewater treatment and many new chemicals
needed for air and water pollution control. These include activated carbon,
lime, limestone, ammonia and urea.
Ambient air and water measurement needs include wind measurement for wind
turbine optimization, ambient air and water measurement in areas surrounding the
plant and many predictive weather measurements for solar and wind operations.
All of these measurements are being enhanced by the development of smart
sensors. Tunable diode lasers allow measurement of O2 at critical points in the
combustion zone. The incorporation of an analysis function within the instrument
itself rather than through the distributed control system has cost advantages
and more importantly shortens response time.
Suppliers of this instrumentation are found in the McIlvaine Air and Water
Monitoring report in many categories and sub categories.
Measurement Categories Examples
Function Analysis, extraction, integration, display, services, consumables,
accessories
Medium Ambient air and water, process liquids and gases, solids, oil, injection
chemicals
Properties Measured Physical, chemical, electrical, other
Measurement Parameters Count, weight, volume, temperature, pressure,
contaminants, viscosity
Operating Principles Chemical, electrochemical, light, opacity
Mode of Use Continuous, hand held, laboratory, process
The opportunity varies widely depending on the fuel source. Coal represents the
largest potential because it is the leading type of generation and has high
needs for measurement.
Instrumentation Market Size by Medium Measured
Fuel Source Weather Water Air Process Liquids Process Gases Solids
Coal S H H M M H
Nuclear S H M H H M
Gas S M H S S S
Solar L S S S S S
Wind L S L S S S
Biomass S S L S S L
Geothermal S M L H H S
Hydro S H S S S S
L= large, M= medium, S= small
Component Monitoring
Condition monitoring of components is well established for lubrication systems
for turbines, compressors, etc. The growth opportunities are in measuring not
only the health but also the operational information of valves, pumps, filters,
separators and other components. Mann + Hummel recognizes this opportunity and
has just invested in a large filtration IIoT research center in Singapore.
Pentair, Flowserve and other pump and valve suppliers are rapidly strengthening
their component monitoring capabilities.
Digital Data Generation at the Plant
GE says that coal-fired power plants could be made approximately 4 percent more
efficient with 2.5 percent improvement in efficiencies coming from turbine and
boiler upgrades, and 1.5 percent coming from software improvements. The analysis
also found that applying all potential upgrades to coal-fired power plants can
remove 900 million metric tons of CO2 (11 percent of total coal power emissions)
- more than the annual CO2 output of the United Kingdom and France combined.
McIlvaine has conducted nine hours of webinars for PacifiCorp with presentations
by GE, Emerson, Siemens and others which pointed the way to large savings with
combustion optimization. The reduction in NOx emissions was particularly
significant.
Software Programs
The software programs include partnerships between power plant system suppliers
and specialized software providers. GE says Predix will enable GE to lead the
next generation of industrial progress, through improved manufacturing processes
and digitally manufactured products, transforming GE into a stronger and more
valuable company. GE believes its digital business will grow GE’s software and
analytics enterprise from $6 billion in 2015 to a top 10 software company by
2020. GE has purchased NEUCO who has developed neural networks to control not
only the operation of the furnace but also components such as soot blowers.
General software participants include large companies such as Intel with its
Wind River subsidiary and specialist companies such as OSIsoft and SoftDEL.
Remote Monitoring
The large gas turbine suppliers have remote monitoring centers which primarily
track the health of rotating parts. This is frequently part of the warrantee
program. However, companies such as MHPS are branching out to monitor more of
the plant’s components. MHPS just opened a remote monitoring center in the
Philippines which is monitoring coal-fired power plants. The service center can
also provide assistance to power plants not built by MHPS. In addition to its
data analysis capabilities, the center can also manage maintenance equipment and
dispatch staff in emergency situations. It will, in addition, serve as a
training hub for technicians. Every year, around 200 individuals will be picked
from both in and outside the company to transfer technical expertise on
maintenance and management.
There is a huge potential for companies such as MHPS and GE to work with other
suppliers and incorporate hundreds of individual remote monitoring programs. For
example, Nalco operates an around the clock monitoring center on water quality.
If companies such as Mann + Hummel can operate filter monitoring centers and, if
all the results are integrated for analysis and action, it will greatly improve
the support for the operators.
There is a big potential for interconnection of facilities in large utility
organizations. McIlvaine has been involved with a program for Berkshire Hathaway
Energy.
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/decisions/28-energy/1185-4s01
Duke Power has developed central systems which can for example monitor all the
pumps at its various stations. However, it is shifting away from the traditional
centralized proprietary systems and evolving to support distributed
intelligence, interoperability and IIoT. Efforts to develop its smart grid have
resulted in the enablement of these concepts through what the industry calls
OpenFMB (Open Field Message Bus).
Third Party Support for Power Plant Operations and Maintenance
Third party operation and maintenance represents the biggest revenue opportunity
for IIoT in the power industry.
GE Energy is one of the world’s largest third party providers of plant Operation
and Maintenance services, currently with more than 16,000 MW at 60 sites in 17
countries under O&M contract. Global resources combined with over 20 years of
O&M experience, enable GE to provide complete plant services across the turbine
island and balance of plant—for both GE and non-GE equipment.
Siemens, MHPS, IHI and other turbine suppliers also offer similar services.
There are a number of companies specializing in O&M including large companies
such as Wood and smaller companies such as Ethos Energy and Proenergy. Uniper
and India Power have formed a joint venture to support operations and
maintenance at Indian power plants.
Data Analytics and Subject Matter Experts
The generation of large amounts of data is not of value unless it is properly
analyzed for action. XLMPR recommends hybrid data analytics marrying the
experience based models with ones based on physics and data. The IIoT greatly
increases the capability for database models but this data needs to be molded by
experience. Subject matter experts are needed to provide the niche expertise in
each of thousands of areas. The pool of recently retired people can be tapped
for their unique combination of knowledge and availability for short
engagements.
The analysis and forecast of IIoT instrumentation, software and service
opportunities in Power Generation is included as a special report in N031
Industrial IOT and Remote O&M.
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some Headlines from the Utility E-Alert
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1306 – January 20, 2017
Table of Contents
COAL – WORLD
• RJM uses CFD and New burners to reduce NOx at Rugeley Power Station in the UK
• AP-Genco starting construction of New 800 MW Unit at Dr. Narla Tata Rao
Thermal Power Station in Andhra Pradesh
• Fortum to supply Second Measure Technology on Two Coal-fired Boilers in Poland
• Linde starts up Six ASUs at Coal-to-liquids Complex in China
• China's Air Pollution crisis shows no sign of ending as Nation fails to lower
Coal use
• BHEL commissions 500 MW Thermal Unit in West Bengal, India
• NTPC Alstom awarded Contract for Upgradation Project of Steam Turbines in
Telangana, India
• Doosan Lentjes announced its Circoclean® Dry FGD Plant passed Performance Test
• All Three Koradi Power Plants will operate without FGD
The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects,
regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but
is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every
plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.
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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5.
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com