WELCOME
Weekly selected highlights in flow control, treatment and combustion from the
many McIlvaine publications.
• Brief Insights
• Advanced Forecasting Maximizes Profitable Growth in the Combust, Flow and
Treat (CFT) Markets
• Shale Boom is Boosting IIoT Revenues
• Market Webinars
Brief Insights
In the following article we define WOM as Wisdom based Obtainable Market. This
greatly expands the Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) and will also impact
market shares. Wisdom comes from the interconnection of knowledge and people.
All our many services complement one another and provide a platform for wisdom
to flourish.
Our February 28th webinar is on offshore oil and gas WOM opportunities. It is
important not only to those pursuing this market but for anyone interested in
remote monitoring and control. The challenge of operating valves, pumps and
other flow and treat products in the deep ocean is leading to cutting edge
technologies which will be useful in many applications.
Some of the WOM wisdom comes from decision systems. We are presently examining
all the options for improving aeration efficiency in municipal wastewater
treatment. You can obtain a free three-month access to this system. So just
communicate your interest and we will provide access.
Advanced Forecasting Maximizes Profitable Growth in the Combust, Flow and Treat
(CFT) Markets
The avalanche of digital information now engulfing us can either bury us or be
utilized to maximize profits through "Advanced Forecasting". Market research has
in the past been used not as a guide but as an indicator to opportunities.
"Advanced Forecasting" makes use of this digital information avalanche to guide
capital investments as well as set up promotional budgets and sales quotas.
Markets can be divided into four categories including the three traditional ones
and a new one created by the sea change in the business environment.
• TAM or Total Available Market is the total market demand for a product or
service.
• SAM or Serviceable Available Market is the segment of the TAM targeted by your
products and services which is within your geographical or asset reach.
• SOM or Serviceable Obtainable Market is the portion of SAM that you can
capture.
• WOM or Wisdom-based obtainable market is the bigger opportunity created by a
sea change in the route to market
Most typical $4,000 reports are based on top-down research and provide only
"Possible TAM". Top-down means that the report is based on interviews, annual
reports and broad indicators. However, annual reports and interviews tend to
reflect the conclusions from the top down reports. This creates an illusionary
consensus. The volatility of the stock market is in part based on peaks caused
by illusionary consensus and valleys caused by reality.
Many companies which understand the importance not only of SAM but SOM spend
orders of magnitude more for custom market research than for a multi-client
report. These large contracts allow very capable individuals to interview the
most knowledgeable people and to spend lots of time sifting through the
avalanche of data. They also have the funding to acquire multiple top down
reports. The problem is that the results are likely to be greatly impacted by
the illusionary consensus.
For a much more insightful analysis of SOM you need a bottoms up approach. Such
an approach could cost millions of dollars. Fortunately, for many CFT subjects
Mcilvaine has made this investment reflected in continuously updated reports
compiled over the last 44 years.
Some of these reports are in the form of databases with specific project details
and purchasing forecasts for the 1000 customers who buy most CFT. These bottoms
up reports are then used in the multi-client market reports to provide bottoms
up market forecasting.
This SAM effort leads the way to cost effective SOM forecasts. These analyses
for very specific products in each industry in each territory can include
several million specific forecast cells. In the case of a new product launch it
may be desirable to provide even further segmentation. One example would be
forecasts for ball valves for gas pipelines segmented by valve size, geography,
large purchasers, trunnion vs floating and side entry vs top entry.
WOM expands Advanced Forecasting to include revenues based on supplemental IIoT
products and services and revenues for expanded markets and increased margin in
existing markets.
Reliable bottoms up SOM forecasts can contribute greatly to increasing profits
through best allocation of capital, personnel, R&D and sales promotion. WOM
forecasting will provide even greater rewards.
Mcilvaine can provide cost effective and reliable SOM and WOM forecasts.
More details are available from Bob McIlvaine at 847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
The bottoms up approach includes multi-client market reports listed at
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets
It includes databases listed at
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases
There is a five step WOM program to leverage Advanced Forecasting explained at
www.mcilvainecompany.com
Shale Boom is Boosting IIoT Revenues
The booming U.S shale market is a major contributor to the increasing revenues
for IIoT products and services. Guide revenues which include process management
and subject matter expertise will grow at 10 percent per year during the next 5
years to reach $3.36 billion by 2022. Revenues for control and measurement will
be rising at 7 percent per year.
McIlvaine conducted a webinar on February 7 with two slide decks. This webinar
was recorded, and the recording is available free of charge. The actual slide
decks are only available to subscribers to the McIlvaine IIoT and Remote O&M
report. Here is the table of contents to the webinar.
Shale Slide Deck One: Markets, Processes, Players
MARKETS
Introductory Note
Shale Oil Markets
Oil Price Trends
Oil Price Factors
Gas Supply and Demand
U.S. as Net Exporter
Shale Gas Market Overview Map
Shale Gas Market Overview Reserves
Shale Gas Market Observations
Shale Gas Market Asia
Shale Gas Market Factors
Shale Oil and Gas Reserves by Country
Compressor, Valve and Pump Opportunities Graph
PROCESSES
Shale Gas Extraction, Processing, Transportation Diagram
Shale Gas Reserves by Basin
Crude Oil Pipelines
Shell Ethane Cracker Project
Shell Ethane Cracker Process Diagram
Natural Gas Processing Well Head to Customer Diagram
Tank Vapor Recovery System Diagram
LNG Liquefaction Process
Compressor Station Equipment and Process Flow Diagram
SHALE OIL AND GAS PRODUCERS
Top 10 Producers
Largest Shale-Focused Companies
Shale Slide Deck Two: Combust, Flow, and Treat Options Related to IIoT
PROCESS MANAGEMENTT
Accenture Uber for the Field
WiPro Integrated Agility
Rejuvenated Shale Industry Will Leverage Digital
Shell has Worldwide Enterprise Agreement with OSIsoft
OSIsoft Penetration of the Oil and Gas Industry
Infosys Centers of Excellence
Futura optimizes Fracking Truck Performance
MONITORING AND CONTROL
If Gas Leakage Exceeds 3% Methane Emissions are Greater than with Coal
Hydraulic Actuator Position Feedback for Control and Shut Off Valves- Balluff
Danfoss Components in Fracking Operations
Valve Applications in Emergency Shut Down in Shale Operations - Emerson
Solar Powered Rotork Actuator replaces Bleed Gas in Shale Produced Gas System
Butterfly Valves are a Cost-Effective choice for Shale Fugitive Emissions
Bentek Pump Controls
Emerson Asset Management and Predictive Measurement
Emerson Instruments in Shale
Emerson provides Solution for Emergency Shutdown with Gas Containing H2S
Pump and Truck Suppliers
New Approach to Reduce Frac Sand Costs with Sand Pods
Gardner Denver offers Five Different Pump Models
EPIX is Weir, Rolls Royce Joint Venture
U.S. IIoT Opportunities in Oil and Gas
To view the free recording click on https://youtu.be/UxZCfMhBJ7k
For more information on the IIoT & Remote O&M report click on N031 Industrial
IOT and Remote O&M
Market Webinars
The following webinars are free to anyone. The power points are only available
to subscribers of the relevant market reports. Each webinar discusses market
size and identifies the largest companies who are responsible for more than 50
percent of the purchases. The impact of IIoT & Remote O&M in creating a new
route to market for combust, flow and treat products is analysed.
DATE HOT TOPIC HOUR SCHEDULE
February 28, 2018
Offshore Oil and Gas Extraction Offshore and particularly deep subsea extraction
involves challenges not found elsewhere. The need for remote O&M is absolute in
deep subsea applications. Evolving technology is critical to reducing costs. The
McIlvaine Choke Valve Decision Guide and Oil and Gas Gate Valves Greater than
5000 psi Decision Guide are examples of the contribution of IIoW (wisdom) to
IIoT. Subsea IIoT includes a network of smart, wireless sensors and devices
configured to provide actionable operational intelligence such as performance,
performance, condition and diagnostic information. McIlvaine tracks offshore
projects on a daily basis. This resource is used in a marketing plan focused on
the large offshore operators.
March 28, 2018 Municipal Wastewater Markets and Decisions This will be a follow
up and expansion of the discussion of the Water and Wastewater IIoT webinar of
April 6, 2017. You can view the table of contents and listen to the previous
recording from the links below this will include market forecasts for municipal
wastewater combust, flow and treat products and services but also cover the
municipal wastewater decisions system with specific emphasis on aeration blower
options. Markets for pumps, valves, chemicals, filters and instruments impacted
by IIoT will also be covered.
April 25, 2018 Coal Fired Power IIoT and Remote O&M An update of the webinar
conducted on March 2, 2017 will provide the latest S.E. Asia projects along with
conclusions being reached in Coal fired boiler Decisions and specifically dry
scrubber options. It will also cover the markets for systems and components and
the impact of IIoT.
May 23, 2018 Gas Turbine, Reciprocating Engine IIoT and Remote O&M An update of
the webinar conducted on February 2, 2017 will cover the markets and projects
for gas turbine and reciprocating engine systems and components worldwide. The
impact of IIoT and the booming third party remote monitoring and O&M will be
analyzed. There will also be coverage of Gas Turbine Decisions and challenging
issues such as desuperheater reliability and maintenance.
Click here to Register for the Webinars