Utility E Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal Plants on a Weekly
Basis
Many of the new coal plants in planning or early construction are in Asia. Here
are headlines from the Utility E-Alert last week:
Sri Lanka plans Coal-fired Power Plants in South
Three International Companies submit Tender for Rampal Coal-fired Power
Project
Carbon Offsets Plan could clear the way for Coal-fired Power Plants in British
Columbia
Valmet to supply FGD and Denitrification Installation for CIECH Soda Polska SA
MET awarded Contract for ESP upgrade for a Coal-fired Utility Boiler in
Caribbean
Environmental Clearance granted for imported Coal for 1,980 MW Coal-fired
Ghatampur Power Station in Uttar Pradesh, India
Proposed Shivee-Ovoo Coal-fired Power Plant at Shivee Ovoo Coal Mine in
Mongolia
China Datang planning Two-Unit Ultra-Supercritical Coal-fired Power Plant in
Anhui Province
TBKi supplies Limestone for Indonesian FGD
Shenhua Group planning 2,000 MW Ultra-Supercritical Coal-fired Power Station
for Hefei, China
Two additional Subcritical Coal-fired Units planned for Huaibei Guo'an Power
Station
Daihai-3 1,200 MW Coal-fired Power Plant in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region
Phase V of Expansion of Coal-fired Tuoketuo Power Station planned by Datang
China Datang proposing 2,000 MW Coal-fired Power Plant for Datang Zhungeer
Al-Si-Ti
Emerson wins Order from NTPC for Automation Technologies for Two 800 MW
Supercritical Units
Indonesia is behind other Asian Countries relative to NOx and SOx reduction
China adding 20,000 MW/yr for next 10 Years
Japan to build 40 New Coal-fired Power Plants
We are also tracking air pollution projects such as FGD projects by Doosan in
Vietnam and new regulations in the U.S.
Effluent Guidelines to be released Next Week
Hamon Bookings down in First Half
TECO Energy closes the sale of its TECO Coal Subsidiary
Doosan is a Major APC Supplier in Asia
For more information on this weekly Utility E-Alert which is only $950/yr click
on: 41F Utility E-Alert
Forecasting of Products for Individual States and Individual End Users within
the U.S.
The standard McIlvaine market reports divide the world in 80 regions. The U.S.
market is approximately one quarter of the total. The top 10 countries account
for half the total. The remaining 70 countries and sub regions each average just
0.7 percent of the total. If one divides the U.S. into nine regions, the average
region is 2.8 percent or four times as large as the average of the 70 countries.
Some States such as California have as much as 10 percent of the National market
which converts to 2.5 percent of the world market. So a State such as California
ranks among the top 20 if compared to other countries. It, therefore, makes
sense to forecast the individual State markets for important products.
Purchasers of the McIlvaine multi-client market reports can receive this
additional revenue forecast on an electronic spreadsheet. The level of detail is
shown below:
Alabama - Specific Product XX Revenues 2019 ($ Millions)
Industry Segment XX Product Sales $ millions % of U.S. Basis for Forecast
Criterion for Large User No. of Large Purchasers
Food xxx xx Production More than 500 employees xxxx
Wastewater xxx xx MGD 15 MGD xxx
Coal Fired Power xxx xx MW 500 MW xx
Nuclear Power xxx xx MW 1000 MW x
Refinery xxx xx Bbl/day All 130
Pharmaceutical xxx xx production More than 500 employees xxxx
All industries included in basic market report will be included
Total For State of Alabama
Total for South East (one of 9 regions for the U.S.)
A relatively small number of companies purchase the majority of any product.
McIlvaine is identifying these companies individually. The State forecast
provides the useful total of large users in each industry segment. This forecast
can be supplemented with details on each large user.
For some products it may make sense to forecast revenues for sub categories e.g.
splitting iron and coal from general mining or split among the various food
categories such as:
3111 Animal Food Manufacturing
3112 Grain and Oilseed Milling
3113 Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing
3114 Fruit and Vegetable Preserving and Specialty Food Manufacturing
3115 Dairy Product Manufacturing
3116 Animal Slaughtering and Processing
3117 Seafood Product Preparation and Packaging
3118 Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing
3119 Other Food Manufacturing
3121 Beverage Manufacturing
For more information on State Revenue forecasts contact Bob McIlvaine at
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com 847-784-0012 ext. 112.
Over 70,000 MW of Solid Fuel Fired Generators Slated for 2017
Suppliers are pursuing projects totaling $100 billion for new coal-fired and
biomass boilers slated to start up in 2017. These projects are continually
tracked in World Power Generation Projects. The combustors, steam turbines and
some of the other long delivery items have already been ordered but decisions on
dampers, pumps, valves, nozzles, filters and controls are now being made.
Five of the projects are in Africa, nine are in Europe, two are in South America
but the remainder are in Asia. China has the largest number. Five of the
projects will use biomass as the primary fuel. Four of these are in Europe and
one in India. The 30 non-Chinese Asian projects are shown below:
Fuel Project Name Total Size (MW)
Biomass Vemagiri expansion-GMR, India 768
Coal ACB India Chhattisgarh power plant Kasaipalli, India 900
Coal Barethi power plant-National Thermal Power Corp., India 3960
Coal Chhabra 5,6 power plant-Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Prasaran Nigam, India 1320
Coal Chipoka power plant-Intra Energy Corp., Malawi 120
Coal Enugu-Minaj Holdings Ltd. power project, Nigeria 1000
Coal Exxaro/GDF Suez power plant, South Africa 600
Coal Gadarwara supercritical power plant -NTPC, India 1600
Coal Genting Ltd power Project in Banten province, Indonesia 660
Coal Godda power project-Jindal Steel and Power, India 1320
Coal Jambi province power plant-EGAT/ Intermining and Energy, Thailand 500
Coal Long Phu 1 supercritical power plant-PetroVietnam, Vietnam 1200
Coal Maitum (Kamanga) (Alcantara) CFB power plant-Sarangani Energy, Philippines
210
Coal Mangrol power plant-Gujarat Industries Power Co., India 600
Coal Manjung 4 supercritical expansion-Tenaga Nasional Bhd., Malaysia 1000
Coal Manuguru power plant-Telangana State Power Generation, India 1080
Coal Meja supercritical power plant-NTPC, India 1320
Coal Mong Duong 2-AES, Vietnam 1200
Coal Mota Layja village power plant-Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services,
India 4000
Coal Nabinagar supercritical power plant-NTPC/Bihar State Electricity Board,
India 1980
Coal No. 304 Industrial Estate power plant-National Power Supply power project,
Thailand 540
Coal Pagbilao 3 CFB expansion-Aboitiz Power and TeaM Energy Philippines,
Philippines 400
Coal Pemalang supercritical power plant-PLN, Indonesia 2000
Coal Qadirabad (Sahiwal district) power plant, Pakistan 1320
Coal Sampur-Ceylon Electricity Board/National Thermal Power Corp., Sri Lanka 500
Coal Sinboryeong ultrasupercritical power plant 1,2 -Korea Midland Power, South
Korea 2000
Coal Solapur supercritical power plant-NTPC, India 1320
Coal Subic Bay power plant-Kepco Philippines Corp., Philippines 300
Coal Sundergarh supercritical power plant-Coal India/Mahanadi Coalfields, India
1600
Coal Talin 2 supercritical rebuild-TaiPower, Taiwan 800
Coal Termonorte power project-Produccionj de Energia, Colombia 88
Coal Tuzla 7-Elektroprivreda BiH (EPBiH), Bosnia 450
Coal Van Phong 1 economic zone power plant-Sumitomo/Bach Dang-Hanoi Co., Vietnam
1320
Coal Vodarevu UMPP, India 4000
For more information on 40A World Power Generation Projects, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/486-40ai
68,000 MW of New Gas Turbine Plants will Begin Operation in 2015
Over 100 gas turbine projects totaling more than 68,000 MW are scheduled for
startup in 2016. These projects are all tracked in Gas Turbine Combined Cycle
Supplier Program. 15,000 MW are slated for the U.S. while 53,000 MW are located
in other countries. Most of the U.S. plants will include a steam cycle. All will
require emission control systems with selective catalytic reduction technology.
Some will incorporate zero liquid discharge for the cooling and wastewater.
United States Summary Total for Startup Date:
Fuel Total Size (MW)
Gas 14980
Fuel Project Name Size
Gas Alpine GT - Wolverine Power, MI 400
Gas Brownsville CCGT - Tenaska/Brownsville Public Utilities, TX 800
Gas Brunswick County CCGT - Dominion Virginia Power, VA 1358
Gas Carty CCGT - Portland General Electric, OR 440
Gas FGE Texas I CCGT - FGE, TX 726
Gas George M Sullivan CCGT expansion - Anchorage Municipal Light & Power, AK 120
Gas Glenarm CCGT expansion - Pasadena Water & Power, CA 71
Gas Good Spring 1 CCGT - EmberClear, PA 300
Gas La Luz Energy Center GT - Public Service of New Mexico, NM 88
Gas La Paloma CCGT - Coronado Ventures, TX 700
Gas Liberty CCGT - Panda Power Funds, PA 825
Gas Montana Power Station Unit 3 GT - El Paso Electric, TX 88
Gas Newark Energy Center CCGT - EIF, NJ 625
Gas Oakley CCGT - PG&E, CA 586
Gas Patriot CCGT - Panda Power Funds, PA 829
Gas Pecan Creek Energy Center GT - NTE Energy, TX 270
Gas Pondera King CCGT - Competitive Power Ventures, TX 900
Gas Port Everglades Energy Center CCGT - Florida Power & Light, FL 1277
Gas Rayonier Fibers CHP GT - Chesapeake Utilities, FL 20
Gas Riverton 12 combined cycle conversion - Empire District Electric Co., KS 100
Gas Roans Prairie Peakers - Tenaska, TX 694
Gas Sand Hill 5B CCGT expansion - Austin Energy, TX 222
Gas St. Joseph Energy Center CCGT - Development Partners, IN 1350
Gas Temple II CCGT - Panda Power Funds, TX 791
Gas Toquop CCGT - EWP Renewable, NV 700
Gas Woodbridge Energy Center CCGT - CPV, NJ 700
The U.S. total could increase if one or more of the Eagle Pines turbines becomes
operational. The 3,400 MW Eagle Pines Project will include three natural
gas-fired combined cycle power blocks. Each block will consist of two 321 MW
Alstom GT36 combustion turbines, two heat recovery steam generators and one 502
MW steam turbine. The combustion turbines may employ evaporative cooling and/or
inlet high fogging for power enhancement. Each heat recovery steam generator is
equipped with natural gas-fired duct burners. The construction of the first
power block is planned to begin in the spring of 2016. Construction of the
subsequent two power blocks are planned to begin fall of 2016 and winter of
2017.
For more information on Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program, click
on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/610-59ei
$2.7 Billion Market for Catalyst for Stationary NOx and CO Control
This year power plants, gas turbine, stationary engine and incinerator operators
will spend $2.7 billion for NOx and CO catalyst. This is the latest forecast in
the McIlvaine publication NOx Control World Market. www.mcilvainecompany.com.
2015 NOx and CO Catalyst Revenues
Category $ Millions
SCR Catalyst 1,700
NSCR Catalyst 500
Oxidation Catalyst 500
Total 2,700
The market for catalyst for coal-fired boilers will fall over the next two years
and then regain and surpass the present level. The reason is that China is just
completing a retrofit program to install SCR on 400,000 MW of existing
coal-fired capacity. Catalyst is only replaced every five years. The surge in
orders raised the market to an unsustainable level.
SCR and oxidation catalyst sales for gas turbines will grow substantially. The
biggest market will be the U.S. Europe is considering regulations which would
require SCR on gas turbines. However, the rule is only under discussion and firm
emission limits are not yet set.
Selective non-catalytic and hybrid systems are finding markets in cement,
chemical and the oil and gas industry. Catalyst cleaning is a $500 million
market and includes physical cleaning, chemical cleaning and renovation with new
precious metals.
The NOx control system market is in excess of $18 billion/yr. It is dominated by
boiler companies such as B&W, Doosan and Mitsubishi. Longking and other Chinese
suppliers are also major suppliers. The Chinese suppliers have benefited from
the very large retrofit market. They are now adjusting to the smaller market
associated with the new generation plants.
Lots of new coal-fired boilers are under planning and construction in India,
Indonesia and Vietnam but most will not utilize highly efficient NOx control.
Low NOx burners will suffice to reach the required limits.
Forecasts for ammonia injection systems, urea, aqueous ammonia, anhydrous
ammonia, diverters, high temperature catalysts and continuous emissions monitors
are also included in the NOx Control World Market
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/104-n035
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Bob McIlvaine, President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com