Peaks and Valleys in the World FGD Market
The required investment for a 1000 MW FGD system is $200 million.
If the unit must be retrofitted to an existing power plant, the
investment could exceed $300 million, so orders for 10 large systems can make a
$3 billion dollar difference in the market.
The history of the industry includes large peaks and valleys. The peaks come as
one country passes regulations which generate a large short-term market.
There may be an interval until there is another significant regulation somewhere
else.
New FGD system yearly peaks have been over $15 billion and valleys as low as $2
billion. This activity has been tracked for more than 40 years in
FGD Market and Strategies.
McIlvaine analysts have experience dating back to the first commercial FGD
system at Union Electric in 1968.
The future markets for systems will continue to fluctuate.
However, the market for operating and maintenance, including repair, will
continue to increase at a steady rate. Sales of reagents such as lime and
limestone continue to expand at rates well above GDP.
Many of the systems in the U.S. and Europe are more than 30 years old. New
components are required regularly.
Slurry valves and pumps are examples. Due to the corrosive and abrasive
nature of the process, major equipment replacements are also needed.
System suppliers such as B&W have recognized the market opportunity and have
built a substantial aftermarket business.
A large market is developing to upgrade systems to meet tighter limits. The EU,
U.S. and China are all forcing operators to upgrade the efficiency of existing
units.
New technology will also play a big role in the future FGD market. Here
are some of the developments:
·
Two stage HCl and SO2 scrubbing with use of the HCl scrubber to leach
rare earths and metals from the flyash.
·
One stop shopping with catalytic filter and DSI to remove all pollutants at one
point.
·
Activated carbon injection ahead of and in the FGD scrubber to remove mercury,
prevent re-emissions, and ensure that the gypsum is mercury free.
·
Use of chemical fixation instead of gypsum production to lower system costs and
provide encapsulation of toxic metals (eliminates costly wastewater treatment).
·
Continuing penetration of dry scrubbing including circulating dry scrubbers,
spray drier absorbers and direct sorbent injection.
·
Replacement of spray towers with more efficient scrubbing techniques.
All of these developments and the future markets are predicted in
N027 FGD Market
and Strategies.
The projects are tracked in
42EI Utility
Tracking System.
Hundreds of Options Facing Power Plants Purchasing New or UpgradingWet Calcium
FGD Systems
The wet calcium (lime and limestone) process is only one option for removing SO2.
Dry systems, ammonium sulfate, seawater, amine and other processes are
also alternatives. Assuming that the purchaser has decided to purchase a new or
upgrade an existing wet calcium FGD system, he must then make hundreds of
decisions about processes and components. These systems represent up to 15
percent of the entire power plant investment. So it is important that all
options be considered and the best selected.
Power Plant Air Quality Decisions is
a program providing utilities with a continuing and thorough analysis of issues
and options.
The first set of options involves system design. If you select the less
expensive limestone process, you have low operating but high capital cost. If
you opt for lime, the reverse is true. If you need to elevate the
discharge gas temperature to meet local regulations, then you need to consider
gas-to-gas heat exchangers before and after the scrubber. But you should
avoid this expensive and maintenance prone process if you can.
There are a variety of scrubber designs falling into four main categories:
spray tower, tray tower, sump and hybrid. Spray towers require large
quantities of slurry. Tray towers use much smaller pumps but the fan
horsepower is greater. Sump scrubbers are compact but also require more
fan horsepower. A hybrid version is the rod or pipe scrubber which is
being touted by at least one major supplier. A double contact scrubber is
offered by another. The conventional wisdom has been that laminar flow and
optimum droplet dispersion causes the best results. The purchaser should
be cautioned to consider that turbulence rather than laminar flow may provide
the best results.
When spray towers are used, the performance of the nozzles is critical.
Hollow cone or full cone, downflow vs. upflow and other arrangements need to be
analyzed. Mist eliminators are also critical. Escaping mist adds to
emissions and can cause maintenance problems. Design considerations
include:
The selection of materials is critical due to the abrasive and corrosive
environments. The inlet to the scrubber and the scrubber walls has
proved most challenging to materials suppliers. Stainless, alloys,
titanium, FRP, plastic and rubber lining, and non-metallic mineral linings are
all being utilized. One problem is that the corrosive impact is controlled
by the operator. If he recirculates more slurry and bleeds less, the
chloride level can rise to levels which eliminate most material choices.
The temperature is also controlled by the operator. If the pumps fail, the
scrubber can quickly exceed temperatures beyond the FRP limit.
Big recirculating slurry pumps may be required to move hundreds of thousands of
gallons per minute. Many improvements have recently been made to reduce
maintenance and improve efficiency. The purchaser needs to determine which
vendors have made these improvements.
Slurry valves are equally important. Two options are knife gate and butterfly
valves. Both are being used with butterfly valves showing more use in Europe.
The power plant has to decide whether to make wallboard quality gypsum or just a
material for disposal. The gypsum quality is influenced by the oxidation
blower. Both single-stage and multi-stage blowers are available.
Cost, energy consumption and other factors differ.
Recent component improvements are important enough that the purchaser of a new
system should make sure that the system he purchases incorporates them.
Operators who are upgrading systems should also make sure they are aware of
these advances.
For more information on
44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions,
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/other/2-uncategorised/86-44i
WORLD POWER GENERATION PROJECTS
HEADLINES
This includes only projects where there was an update during the month.
There are thousands of projects in the database.
New power generation projects are tracked in two publications. Fossil and
Nuclear Power Generation includes both market forecasts and project data.
World Power Generation Projects has just the project data.
Revision Date: 4/1/15
Project Title |
First Entry Date |
Location |
Startup date |
|
|||
Simhadri III expansion-National
Thermal Power Corp. |
4/1/2015
|
India |
Unknown
|
|
|||
Sorong power plant-Japan
Gasoline Co |
4/1/2015
|
Indonesia
|
Unknown
|
|
|||
Zabrze CHP plant-Fortum |
4/1/2015
|
Poland |
2018 |
|
|||
Mae Moh ultra supercritical
expansion-Electricity Gen Auth
of Thailand |
4/1/2015
|
Thailand
|
2018 |
|
|||
Odessa IGCC power plant-Summit
Power |
4/1/2015
|
TX |
Unknown
|
|
|||
Duyen Hai 2 |
4/1/2015
|
Vietnam
|
2020 |
|
|||
Duyen Hai 1 |
4/1/2015
|
Vietnam
|
2015 |
|
|||
Manuguru power plant-Telangana
State Power Generation |
10/1/2014
|
India |
2017 |
|
|||
Bin Qasim power plant |
7/1/2014
|
Pakistan
|
2018 |
|
|||
Jaworzno ultra supercritical
power plant-Tauron |
7/1/2013
|
Poland |
2019 |
|
|||
Safaga power plant on Red
Sea-Orascom |
1/1/2013
|
Egypt |
Unknown
|
|
|||
Rampal (Friendship. Maitree)
power plant-Power Development
Board/NTPC |
9/1/2010
|
Bangladesh
|
Unknown
|
|
|||
Khargone ultra supercritical
power plant-NTPC |
4/1/2010
|
India |
Unknown
|
|
|||
Batang power plant-PT Adaro
Energy, J-Power, and Itochu |
4/1/2010
|
Indonesia
|
2019 |
|
|||
Duyen Hai 3-3 supercritical
power plant-EVN |
1/1/2009
|
Vietnam
|
2018 |
|
|||
Aqaba Stage 1-Jordan nuclear
power plants |
12/1/2008
|
Jordan |
2021 |
|
|||
Hongyanhe 1-6 nuclear power
plant-CGNPC |
9/1/2007
|
China |
2021 |
|
|||
Kusile supercriticcal power
project-Eskom Project Bravo |
1/1/2007
|
South Africa |
2018 |
|
|||
Sasan supercritical power
plant-Reliance Power |
1/1/2006
|
India |
2015 |
|
|||
Krishnapatnam B supercritic(Sri
Damodaram Sanjeevaiah)-Andhra
Pradesh Power |
|
India |
2015 |
|
|||
Zuma Energy Nigeria power plant
(Itobe |
3/1/2015
|
Nigeria
|
Unknown
|
||||
Cadiz CFB power plant-North
Negros Energy Power |
3/1/2015
|
Philippines
|
2018
|
||||
Cox's Bazar (Matarbari) ultra
supercritica plant-Bangladesh
Power Dev. Board |
5/1/2013
|
Bangladesh
|
2019
|
||||
Kudankulam expansion (3 and 4) |
9/1/2010
|
India
|
2023
|
||||
Bhadreshwar power plant-OPG
Ltd. |
9/1/2010
|
India
|
2015
|
||||
Fangjiashan 1,2 |
7/1/2010
|
China
|
2015
|
||||
Krishnapatnam Phase 1-Thermal
Powertech Corp. India |
5/1/2010
|
India
|
2016
|
||||
Barakah 1-4 nuclear power plant |
6/1/2009
|
United Arab Emirates |
2020
|
||||
Barapukuria expansion (III)-CMC |
3/1/2008
|
Bangladesh
|
Unknown
|
||||
Astravyets in Ostrovetsky
district--Belarus nuclear power
plant |
6/1/2007
|
Belarus
|
2020
|
||||
Alvin W. Vogtle 3,4 nuclear
power plant-Georgia Power,
Oglethorpe Power |
6/1/2007
|
GA
|
2020
|
||||
Tanda supercritical power
plant-NTPC |
8/1/2006
|
India
|
2019
|
||||
Moorburg 1,2-Vattenfall Europe |
5/1/2006
|
Germany
|
2015
|
||||
Margam biomass power plant |
2/1/2015
|
UK
|
2017
|
||||
Kothagudem power plant |
10/1/2014
|
India
|
2018
|
||||
Hub Power Co.power project |
10/1/2014
|
Pakistan
|
2018
|
||||
Tuticorin expansion-Neyveli
Lignite |
12/1/2013
|
India
|
Unknown
|
||||
Dahej power plant-Adani Power |
1/1/2008
|
India
|
Unknown
|
||||
Metsamor-Armenia replacement
nuclear power plant |
10/1/2007
|
Armenia
|
2027
|
||||
Tiroda Phase I and II power
project-Adani Power |
10/1/2007
|
India
|
2016
|
||||
For more information on World Power Generation Projects, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/486-40ai
-------
You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/Free_Newsletter_Registration_Form.htm.
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com