FGD Upgrades Will Assure a $5 Billion Annual Market
Revenues for FGD suppliers will average about $5 billion per year over the next
five years. This will be split between upgrades of existing systems and new
systems. This is the latest forecast in McIlvaine FGD Market and Strategies. (www.mcilvainecompany.com)
Traditionally, most of the market has been for new systems. The maturity of the
market is established with the even split between new systems and upgrades by
2020.
FGD Supplier Revenues ($ Billions)
Segment 2015 2020
New Systems 4 2
Upgrades 2 2
The major markets for new FGD are now in Asia. More than 70 percent of the new
FGD orders in 2015 will be placed for Chinese power plants.
There is a large market developing to upgrade existing FGD systems. The biggest
upgrade market will be China. The government has identified 100,000 MW of FGD
which must be upgraded. Adding an extra spray section will be one of the upgrade
measures.
This forecast does not include consumables such as lime and limestone.
Expenditures for these consumables have risen steadily and will continue to do
so at a rate of approximately 5 percent per year until 2020. After 2020,
consumables expenditure growth will slow as the number of new coal-fired power
plants built each year will be reduced and there will be increasing retirements
of coal-fired power plants in Europe and the U.S.
This forecast is based on the assumption that a greenhouse gas reduction program
is implemented. There are mixed signals regarding the future of this program.
The U.S. has proposed a carbon trading program for coal-fired power plants which
will result in retirement of nearly 50,000 MW of coal-fired capacity (20% of the
existing fleet). Australia has just repealed its carbon tax citing the high cost
and lack of perceived benefits.
This forecast is also based on the continued success of the program to extract
gas from shale. As long as gas prices remain at around $4-5/MMBtu, gas will be
the preferred fuel for new power plants. The U.S. is likely to generate all the
gas it needs internally and will be able to export some quantity. China has
launched a big program to produce gas from coal. This gas will be transported
across the country and will fuel gas turbine plants in Eastern cities.
The Chinese gas-to-coal program will have the effect of reducing the longer
range traditional FGD market. However, a very large air pollution market will be
created to capture the H2S and particulate caused by the coal gasification
process.
For more information on FGD Market and Strategies, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/107-n027
FGD and DeNOx
NEWSLETTER
July 2014
No. 435
Table of Contents
HOT TOPICS
Webinar on May 1 Concludes that Hot Gas Filtration is a Great Solution for Old
Power Plants But EPRI Says Not So Fast
REGULATORY
U.S. Supreme Court Denies OG&E's Regional Haze Petition
94 MATS Extensions Now Possible
Supreme Court Upholds EPAs Authority to Regulate Smog from Coal-fired Power
Plants
MARKETS
Where Money Can Be Made in Greenhouse Gas Reduction
U.S. Air Pollution Control Companies Can Adjust to the Shrinking Coal Market
URS Awarded Contract to Install Mercury Control Technology at the Cayuga
Operating Companys Unit 2, in Lansing, New York
Class Action Lawsuit Against Advanced Emissions Solutions, Inc.
B&W Acquires International Industrial Products and Services Firm MEGTEC
Update on GEs Offer for Alstom Energy Business
Fuel Tech Acquires Two Air Pollution Control Technology Companies
Portuguese Power Plant Avoids SO3 Excesses with High Temperature SCR Operation
The FGD & DeNOx Newsletter is included in two services. For more information,
click on:
FGD Market and Strategies, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/107-n027
FGD & DeNOx Kowledge System: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/air.html#online.
WORLD POWER GENERATION PROJECTS
This includes only projects where there was an update during the month. There
are thousands of projects in the database.
This includes only projects where there was an update during the month. There
are thousands of projects in the database.
Revision Date: July 1, 2014
Project Title First Entry Date Location Startup date
Bin Qasim power plant 7/1/2014 Pakistan 2018
Jaworzno power plant-Tauron 7/1/2013 Poland 2019
Thar II power plant-Karachi Electric Supply/Sindh Engro Coal Mining 5/1/2013
Pakistan 2019
Mariveles expansion-GN Power 3/1/2013 Philippines 2018
CHP5 Ulaanbaatar CFB power plant 7/1/2012 Mongolia 2018
Nam Dinh 1 CFB power plant--Vinacomin 1/1/2010 Vietnam 2020
Yamunanagar (Panipat) supercritical addition-Haryana Power Generation 11/1/2009
India Unknown
Barakah 1-4 nuclear power plant 6/1/2009 United Arab Emirates 2020
Masinloc 2-AES Philippines 9/1/2007 Philippines 2018
Chhattisgarh (Lara) 1,2 ultra mega power project-NTPC 1/1/2005 India 2016
Holcomb (Garden City)(Sand Sage)supercritical power plant-Sunflower Electric
11/1/2001 KS Unknown
Pagbilao 3 CFB expansion-Aboitiz Power and TeaM Energy Philippines
11/1/2000 Philippines 2017
New power generation projects are tracked in two publications. Fossil and
Nuclear Power Generation includes both market forecasts and project data. World
Power Generation Projects has just the project data.
For more information on World Power Generation Projects, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/486-40ai
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Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com