World Cleanroom Space will Increase by 6 Million Square Feet this Year
By 2014 there will be 131 million ft2 of cleanroom space in use across the world. This will be an increase of five percent over 2013. This is the latest forecast in Cleanrooms World Markets published by the McIlvaine Company.
(www.mcilvainecompany.com ).
Cleanroom Space in Use
(Million ft2)
World Region 2013 2014
Africa 1 1
CIS 2 2
East Asia 57 60
Eastern Europe 1 2
Middle East 3 3
NAFTA 32 33
South & Central America 3 3
West Asia 3 4
Western Europe 23 23
Total 125 131
This is net space in operation and reflects the retirements of older plants. The semiconductor industry generally builds new plants rather than renovating existing ones. This is due to contamination concerns.
Asia has surpassed the other regions due to its dominance in flat panel displays, hard disk drives, storage, and photovoltaics. China, Taiwan and South Korea are leading investors in semiconductor chip plants.
The semiconductor industry is the largest user of cleanrooms worldwide. The amount of cleanroom space is now at near record highs. Semiconductor sales for 2012 reached $291.6 billion, the industry’s third-highest yearly total ever, but a decrease of 2.7 percent from the record total of $299.5 billion set in 2011.
Some segments are in decline but are offset by growth in others; facing competition from tablets, smart phones, solid state drives (SSD), and global hard disk drives (HDD). Market revenue in 2013 will decline more than 10 percent this year. Revenue is set to drop to $32 billion in 2013.
The pharmaceutical industry continues to show steady growth. Much of the new growth is taking place outside the U.S. and Europe. The pharmaceutical industry in Russia has been witnessing a double-digit growth rate recently. According to the new regulations that will be enforced in Russia from 2014, it will be imperative for the pharmaceutical companies to pursue GMP-compliant production procedures.
Over the last decade the solar industry has had the highest percentage growth. Photovoltaic Module shipments in 2013 are forecast to exceed 34,000 MW, up 10 percent over 2012.
For more information on World Cleanroom Markets, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=73
Chinese Pump Revenues to Exceed $8 Billion in 2014
Industrial pump purchases in China will rise from $7.4 billion this year to over $8 billion in 2014 for an increase of eight percent. This is the latest forecast in Pumps World Markets published by the McIlvaine Company (www.mcilvainecompany.com).
Chinese Pump Revenues
($ Millions)
Industry 2013 2014
Chemical 467 510
Electronics 20 20
Flood Control 104 114
Food 175 191
Metals 156 170
Mining 574 626
Oil and Gas 98 108
Other Industries 539 589
Pharmaceutical 41 47
Power 1,102 1,160
Pulp & Paper 205 226
Refinery 116 128
Stone 838 913
Wastewater 1,529 1,586
Water 1,486 1,644
Total 7,450 8,032
Municipal water and wastewater will be the leading application segments. China is rapidly building its water infrastructure. It is also adding secondary treatment capacity to treat wastewater.
Power is the next largest category and will account for pump revenues in excess of $1.1 billion. China is building more coal-fired power plants each year than any other country. It is also retrofitting scrubbers to capture SO2. These scrubbers require large pumps.
The stone and cement industry is also a big segment. China produces more than 50 percent of the worlds cement. The mining industry is also a big purchaser. China is the world’s leading coal producer. Because of lack of rail infrastructure more of this coal is conveyed in slurries to the power plants than in other countries.
China is moving forward in the oil and gas sector. It is a leader in direct liquefaction of coal. This process requires a substantial investment in pumps.
For more information on Pumps World Markets click on http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=75
Flue Gas Desulfurization Revenues Will Range between $3 Billion and $8 Billion/Yr
Over the Next Three Years
Over the next three years revenues for new flue gas desulfurization (FGD) systems (not including repairs) will rise and fall over a range of $3 billion to $8 billion per year. The reason for the substantial fluctuation is the size of individual orders, the definition of the cost, scope, and chronology. These new forecasts appear in FGD World Markets published by the McIlvaine Company (www.mcilvainecompany.com)
Minimum FGD Orders
($ Millions)
Continent 2013 2014 2015
Africa 89 15 15
America 220 1,122 581
Asia 2,128 2,101 2,075
Europe 659 777 767
Total 3,096 4,015 3,438
The above forecast is based on orders and not actual booked revenues. It assumes a four year delay from order to startup for FGD systems for new units. It assumes three years for retrofits. The revenue per MW is as low as $70/kw for new FGD systems in China, which represents typical vendor scope in China. Since two-thirds of the market (in MW) is for new coal-fired power plants in China, this low value makes a big difference in the estimate of market size.
The present forecasts also assume a slowdown in orders for new Chinese power plants in the next three years, but this forecast is subject to change as plans become more firm. In China the turnaround on a new coal-fired power plant is as little as two years.
By contrast the average retrofit project in the U.S. costs $300-400/kw. This includes lots of cost borne directly by the utility and also costs of new fans and other components which are typically included by the utilities in estimating their project costs.
The year 2014 will be a bigger year in the Americas segment due to the new U.S. Utility MATS rule. This requires compliance with hydrogen chloride emission limits. The FGD scrubbers remove both SO2 and HCl. There are some new FGD systems in Latin America. Chile is installing a number of dry FGD systems.
In Europe there are some new coal-fired power plants and replacement of existing old FGD systems. There is little activity in Africa.
Asia is the big market. It will account for 50 to 70 percent of the total over the three year period. China will be the largest Asian purchaser. It is installing FGD with all the new coal-fired power plants. Also there are retrofit projects driven by tougher SO2 limits. The Japanese market may rebound due to an initiative to rely on coal to a greater extent.
India offers considerable long range potential. To date there have been a few seawater scrubbers installed on power plants, but most have no SO2 removal devices. Tougher regulations are anticipated, so FGD companies are positioning themselves to pursue this market. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is partnering with BHEL to pursue this opportunity. Other international suppliers such as Alstom are also active.
For more information on FGD World Markets, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=48#n027
Here are the Headlines for the April 5, 2013 – Utility E-Alert
UTILITY E-ALERT
COAL – US
 EPA finalizes Emission Limits for Mercury at New Power Plants
 Dominion to Retrofit Dry Scrubber at Brayton Point 3, Retire State Line
 TVA to begin FGD, SCR Retrofit at Gallatin
 EPA can try to Halt Retrofits, in Some Cases, before Completion
 EPA wants Supreme Court to review CSAPR denial
 Two Elk 320 MW Coal-fired Power Plant Granted another Delay
 NV Energy plans to eliminate Coal-fired Power by 2025
 Midwest Generation to Delay SO2 Emissions Controls for Two Years
COAL – WORLD
 NTPC to invite Fresh Bids for 1600 MW Darlipalli Power Project in Odisha, India
 L&T wins EPC Contract for Chhabra Power Plant in Rajasthan, India
 450 MW Power Plant in Gobi Desert to supply Power to Oyu Tolgoi Copper and Gold Mine
 TRF to deliver Coal Handling System to 1,980 MW Nabinagar in Bihar, India
 Poland’s PGE advised to quit 2x900 MW Opole Project
 Japanese Panel calls for Easing Rules on Approval of New Coal-fired Power Plants
 India Regulator allows Adani to raise Power Tariffs
 Central Java 614 MW Coal-fired Power Plant to be backed by Loan from China
 NTPC to shift Odisha Project to Gadarwara in Madhya Pradesh, India
COMBUSTION TECHNOLOGIES/BOILER EFFICIENCY
 Enel Selects ABB Control System to Improve Efficiency and Environmental Performance at Coal-fired Plant in Italy
 Jiangsu Huadian Jurong Power chooses Metso’s Automation for its Two 1,000 MW Units in China
GAS/OIL - US
 New Financing Details on 825 MW Moxie Energy Project in Pennsylvania
 Siemens and Bechtel to build 758 Temple Natural Gas-fired Power Plant Expansion
GAS/OIL – WORLD
 Jamaica looking at New Power Proposals
 NamPower starts Prequalification Process for EPC Contract for Kudu Power Project in Namibia
 200 MW Combined Cycle Power Plant needed in Malta
GASIFICATION
 Southern’s Ratcliffe IGCC Power Plant will not seek DOE Loan Help
NUCLEAR
 India and Russia signed Agreement for Construction of Kudankulam 3 and 4
 Mitsubishi and Areva could build 4,500 MW Sinop in Turkey
 South Africa plans for Nuclear Power
BUSINESS
 Fuel Tech has Air Pollution Control Orders totaling $4.3 Million
 E.ON boost Stake in Brazil’s MPX to 36 Percent; At Least Six Joint Power Projects Planned
 300 MW Shahjibazar Combined Cycle Project approved in Bangladesh
 MHI signs FGD License Deal with BHEL
 Thousands of Projects Worth Hundreds of $ Billions in Booming Oil and Gas Industry
 Mining Air Pollution Control Purchases to Exceed $2 Billion This Year
 Air & Water Pollution Monitoring World Markets Headlines for March 2013
 Industrial Boiler Update April 2013
HOT TOPIC HOUR
 Industrial Boiler MACT Impact and Control Options – Part 2
 “Mercury Measurement and Control – Part 2” is Hot Topic Hour on April 11, 2013 at 10 a.m.
 Upcoming Hot Topic Hours
For more information on the Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=72

McIlvaine Hot Topic Hour Registration
On Thursday at 10:00 a.m. Central time, McIlvaine hosts a 90 minute web meeting on important energy and pollution control subjects. Power webinars are free for subscribers to either Power Plant Air Quality Decisions or Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System. The cost is $125.00 for non-subscribers. Market Intelligence webinars are free to McIlvaine market report subscribers and are $400.00 for non-subscribers.
2013
DATE SUBJECT
April 18 Mercury Measurement and Control – Part 3 Power
April 25 Control Technologies for Fine Particulate Matter Power
May 2 Flyash Pond and Wastewater Treatment Issues Power
May 9 Clean Coal Technologies Power
May 16 Power Plant Automation and Control Power
May 23 Cooling Towers Power
May 30 Air Pollution Control Markets (geographic trends, regulatory developments, competition, technology developments) Market Intelligence
June 6 Report from Power-Gen Europe (update on regulations, speaker and exhibitor highlights) Power
June 13 Monitoring and Optimizing Fuel Feed, Metering and Combustion in Boilers Power
June 20 Dry Sorbent Injection and Material Handling for APC Power
June 27 Power Generation Forecast for Nuclear, Fossil and Renewables Market Intelligence
July 11 New Developments in Power Plant Air Pollution Control Power
July 18 Measurement and Control of HCl Power
July 25 GHG Compliance Strategies, Reduction Technologies and Measurement Power
August 1 Update on Coal Ash and CCP Issues and Standards Power
August 8 Improving Power Plant Efficiency and Power Generation Power
August 15 Control and Treatment Technology for FGD Wastewater Power
August 22 Status of Carbon Capture and Storage Programs and Technology Power
August 29 Pumps for Power Plant Cooling Water and Water Treatment Applications Power
Sept. 5 Fabric Selection for Particulate Control
Power
Sept. 19 Air Pollution Control for Gas Turbines Power
Sept. 26 Multi-Pollutant Control Technology
Power
To register for the Hot Topic Hour, click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/hot_topic_hour_registration.htm.
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Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com

191 Waukegan Road Suite 208 | Northfield | IL 60093
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