Oil and Gas Market for Sedimentation and Centrifugation Equipment will be
$400 Million this Year
Sales of clarifiers, dissolved air flotation, hydro-cyclones and centrifuges for
the oil and gas industry will be level in 2016 at $400 million. This makes it a
small segment in the $7.4 billion sedimentation and centrifugation market. The
reduction in drilling activity has a significant impact on sales of this
equipment. There are a few bright spots. For example, with fewer new holes to
act as storage sites for produced water there is more focus on purification and
reuse.
The two largest centrifuge manufacturers participate in this market, but the
lions share of the business is obtained by specialist companies.
Alfa Laval LYNX drilling mud decanter centrifuges are designed specifically to
remove unwanted solids and fine particles from virtually all kinds of used
drilling mud, including those based on water/synthetics and conventional
oil-based drilling fluids.
GEA with sales of 1.3 billion in the fourth quarter 2015 is one of the top two
centrifuge suppliers. However, sales to the oil and gas industry represent only
2 percent of their total revenues. In the oil and gas industry, GEA centrifuges
dewater and desalinate oils of low density and viscosity. They also efficiently
process heavy oils with a specific weight of 14 degrees API and less, which
experience has shown is not the case when treated using conventional static and
electrostatic methods. The low density difference between oil and water can only
be handled by multiplying the g-forces with maximum centrifugal velocities; this
is the advantage of centrifuges.
For the largest droplets, gravity separators without coalescers are frequently
used. Parallel or corrugated plate separators are used for dispersions down to
40 microns. Knitted mesh packing type coalescers are for smaller droplets down
to a few microns. Cartridges are used for droplets in the submicron level. DAF
and centrifuges also find use.
Oil Removal from Produced Water Particle Diameter Removed - Microns
Gravity Clarifier 150
Corrugated Plate Separator 40
Flotation with Flocculants 5
Hydro-cyclone 15
Centrifuge 2
The use of sedimentation equipment is greater for tight gas and for deep ocean.
Globally, shale gas is expected to grow by 5.6 percent percent per year between
2014 and 2035, well in excess of the growth of total gas production. As a
result, the share of shale gas in global gas production more than doubles from
11 percent in 2014 to 24 percent by 2035. This will create an expanding
separation market.
For more information on N005 Sedimentation and Centrifugation World Markets
click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/119-n005
$70 Billion Filter Market in 2016
Filter revenues for mobile, medical, residential/commercial and industrial
applications will exceed $70 billion in 2016. No one company has more than 5
percent of the total market. These are the conclusions reached by the McIlvaine
Company by aggregating data in a number of its reports.
Filtration Revenues for 2016 in Color Coded Size Segments
Mobile Medical Residential Industrial Total Filter Sales
Donaldson
Clarcor
Mann & Hummel
Daikin
Fram
Cummins
Mahle
Pall
Filtration Group
3M
Millipore
Parker Hannifin
Eaton
Pentair
Culligan
Dow
Koch Membranes
CECO
Revenues are displayed in segments representing $ millions: 0 250, 250 700,
700 1400, 1400 and above
The largest market segment is stationary industrial liquid cartridges with a
2016 market of $17 billion. This is followed by the mobile liquid cartridge
market. Mobile air filters, hydraulic and compressed air filters, cross-flow
filtration, liquid macrofiltration, dust collection, HVAC filters, and
coalescing filters are the remaining product segments.
A small but rapidly growing market is filtration of diesel exhaust fluid (DEF).
Urea/water injected into engines freezes at relatively high temperatures. So
filters are needed to prevent frozen particles from reaching the engine.
Not a single company is in the top five in each category. Those in the
residential segment tend not to be in mobile. Most of the companies are U.S.
based.
Donaldson is a major player in mobile and industrial air filtration. Their sales
of liquid filtration products primarily for diesel engines have grown recently
at double-digit rates. The diesel liquid filter sales are presently $500
million. The company is not involved with commercial/residential filtration in a
significant way.
Clarcor sales of engine and other mobile filters are $600 million per year.
Process liquid filter sales are $350 million per year while industrial air
filter sales are $475 million. It is not a player in medical and residential
applications.
Mann & Hummel has made both industrial and mobile acquisitions but its purchase
of Wix with $900 million of revenue in the mobile sector was the largest
purchase.
Daikin sales in 2015 were ₯2 trillion. With the acquisition of Flanders filter
sales are ₯100 billion or $890 million.
Twenty-two percent of Parker Hannifin sales of $11 billion are in filtration and
engineered materials. Its strengths are mobile and industrial.
More details on the filter market are found at:
N064 Air/Gas/Water/Fluid Treatment and Control: World Market
N021 World Fabric Filter and Element Market
N006 Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets
N024 Cartridge Filters: World Market
N020 RO, UF, MF World Market
McIlvaine also provides custom research and complete programs: Detailed
Forecasting of Markets, Prospects and Projects
International Strategy is Critical for Survival in the Flow Control and
Treatment Industries
Whether you sell pumps, valves, filters, fans, compressors, treatment chemicals,
scrubbers or centrifuges you cannot focus on just the U.S., China, or EU market.
Here are some examples of major opportunities elsewhere:
Industry Country
Aquaculture Indonesia
Bauxite Kazakhstan
Cement Turkey
Coal-fired power Vietnam
Coal mining Columbia
Copper Chile
Desalination Israel
Flat Panels South Korea
Gas Extraction Nigeria
Iron Ore Ukraine
LNG Australia
Pharmaceuticals India
Petrochemicals Saudi Arabia
Phosphate Morocco
Pulp/Paper Brazil
Potash Canada
Refineries Algeria
Semiconductors Taiwan
Steel UAE
The U.S. has placed a moratorium on new coal-fired power plants but China will
build far more than the EU or that the U.S. will retire. Vietnam, Indonesia and
Myanmar are building power plants with a combined capacity of 150,000 MW.
China is the largest fish farming country, but Indonesia is also large. The
industry is moving to sophisticated recirculating systems with a big investment
in flow control and treatment equipment.
Australia, a leader in iron ore and coal mining, has become a recent player in
LNG with successful conversion of coal bed methane.
Individual projects can measurably impact the market in a given year. There are
nine large Canadian potash projects underway with a combined capital investment
of over $30 billion. The largest project will require a $4 billion investment.
Algerias state-owned Sonatrach has let a series of contracts to Amec Foster
Wheeler to provide front-end engineering and design (FEED) for three grassroots
refineries that will add a total of 15 million tons/year in refining capacity in
the country. So these few projects represent a significant percentage of the
yearly flow control and treatment revenues for the worldwide industry.
Coal-fired projects in Indonesia could result in an investment of over $100
billion. Vietnam is vacillating on plans which would require a coal-fired power
plant investment of over $200 billion. Delay or cancellation of large projects
can materially affect the revenues of the flow control and treatment suppliers.
Flow control and treatment companies need to pursue the world market. There are
196 countries with more than 50 major industries who purchase flow control and
treatment equipment. Many of these countries are quite small. McIlvaine
forecasts divide the world into 80 purchasing entities which include 72 separate
countries and 8 country groups. The pump forecast example below shows pump sales
in Pakistan will be $216 million in 2021, but sales will only be $22 million in
a group of countries labeled Other Western Europe.
Industrial Pump 2021 Revenues
Country or Entity Revenues
$ Billions
New Zealand 69.51
Nigeria 411.34
Norway 283.79
Other Africa 775.41
Other CIS 198.22
Other East Asia 89.62
Other Eastern Europe 108.45
Other Middle East 825.15
Other South & Central America 462.79
Other West Asia 14.15
Other Western Europe 21.90
Pakistan 216.54
Peru 165.93
Philippines 260.63
Poland 377.89
The countries aggregated in the Other Western Europe category are Andorra, Faroe
Islands, Gibraltar, Greenland, Guernsey, Iceland, Isle of Man, Jersey,
Lichtenstein, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, San Marino and Vatican.
The average for the 80 entities in a $60 billion annual market is 0.75 percent.
While, as individual countries, many in the other category are insignificant,
as a group they are relevant. This is particularly true for the Other Africa
group which accounts for 0.75 percent of the total market and the Other Middle
East group which in the aggregate is bigger than the average.
McIlvaine has created a program to help international flow control and treatment
suppliers maximize the global opportunity. It is described at: Detailed
Forecasting of Markets, Prospects and Projects
Bob McIlvaine is available to answer your questions and can be reached at
847-784-0012 ext. 112 rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.
#1265 March 25, 2016
Table of Contents
COAL US
Emissions Control upgrade finished at Oklahoma Coal-fired Power Plant
COAL WORLD
Tanjung Bin Energy Ultra-Supercritical Coal-fired Power Plant has entered
Commercial Operation on Schedule
Conserving Water at the Medupi Air-cooled Coal-fired Power Plant
Proposed 1,000 MW Coal-fired Power Plant for Venezuela
Gensa, Sochagota SA plans Feasibility Study for 150 MW Unit V for the
Termopaipa Power Station
Expansion Plans announced for 36 MW Choibalsan (Dornod) Power Station by 100
MW in Mongolia
Shivee-Ovoo Power Station proposed near Coal Mine in Mongolia
Chizhou Jiuhua Power Station plans 1,000 MW expansion for Units 3 & 4 in Anhui
Province, China
Plant achieves 3 mg/Nm3 Dust Emissions, 95 Percent DeNOx, and over 97 Percent
SO2 removal
The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects,
regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but
is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every
plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.
McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours (HTH) and Recordings
Explanation Applicable Services Schedule & Registration Sponsored Webinars
McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are
free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are
free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.
Format: 50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The
session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.
Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and
directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best
Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and
services.
Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be
discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The
presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine
multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and
non-subscribers are encouraged.
Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since
1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric
filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on
any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the
issues and options relative to a specific applications. Coal-fired power,
cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.
The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision
system. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of
the session and be prepared with questions and views.
Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be
prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have
continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future
along with a networking directory of suppliers.
Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at
no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance
and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the
slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and
continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.
44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision
services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial
focus on power will find this combination most cost effective.
Applicable Services for Hot Topic Hours**
Pollutant
Industry Fabric Filter
(1ABC) Scrubber
(2ABC) Precipitator
(4ABC) FGD & DeNOx
(3ABC) Air Pollution
Monitoring
(9ABC) Gas
Turbine
Decisions
Mercury
February
11, 2016 Coal X X
WTE X X X
Sewage X X X
Cement X X
Natural Gas*
DeNOx
March 24, 2016 Coal X X
Incineration X X
Steel X X
Cement X X
Diesel*
Gas Turbine X X
Hot Gas
Filtration Coal X X X X
WTE X X X X
Cement X X X X
Steel X X X X
Incineration X X X X
Coal Gas X X X
GT Intake X
FGD and Acid Gas
June 16, 2016 Coal X X
Sewage X X
WTE X X
Cement X X
Steel X X
*Included in custom system
** Many of the decision guides also are displayed in the relevant market
reports. Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC
HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE
Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at
approximately two week intervals. Unforeseen developments could dictate the
insertion of new subjects.
DATE SUBJECT
April 7, 2016
Markets Power Generation Technologies - Future of USC coal in India, Vietnam and
Indonesia; natural gas prices; GHG regulations; nuclear costs; penetration for
wind and solar. Click Here to Register
April 21, 2016
Decisions Hot Gas Filtration - Issue and Option for particulate capture. in coal
fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration. Click Here to Register
June 16, 2016
Decisions FGD and Acid Gas Separation - Issue and options for SO2 and other acid
gas separation from coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration
plants. Click Here to Register
TBA
Markets Desalination - Thermal vs. Membrane; energy recovery, pump, valve,
compressor and chemicals options; power/desalination combinations.
TBA
Markets Oil, Gas, Refining - Supply and demand; impact on flow control and
treatment products; regional impacts e.g. subsea in North Atlantic vs. shale in
the US vs. Oil Sands in Canada.
TBA
Markets Food - Analysis of 12 separate applications within food and beverage
with analysis of valve, pump, compressor, filter, analyzer and chemical options;
impact of new technologies such as forward osmosis.
TBA
Markets Municipal Wastewater - Quality of pumps, valves, filters, and analyzers
in Chinese and Asian plants; new pollutant challenges; water purification for
reuse.
TBA
Markets Mobile Emissions - Reduction in CO, VOCs, and particulate in fuels,
oils, and air used in on and off road vehicles; impact of RDE and failure of NOx
traps and the crisis in Europe created by the focus on diesels.
Click here to Register for the Webinars
Sponsored Webinars allow suppliers to take advantage of all the valuable
information on their power point presentations. Click here for details
Hot Topic Hour Recordings
See and hear recordings of past Hot Topic Hours (Free for subscribers, $95.00
for non-subscribers)
Chronological
Order Now!
Free Sponsored Webinars
Albemarle - Cement MACT
AMC Power
Aquatech
GE - Mercury Capture
Honeywell
NVISTA
Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance Analyzer
Neundorfer
Pavilion
Sick Maihak - Cement MACT
Tekran Instruments - Cement MACT
----------
You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com