McIlvaine Hot Topic Hour Registration
On Thursday at 10:00 a.m. Central time, McIlvaine hosts a 90 minute web meeting
on important energy and pollution control subjects. Power webinars are free for
subscribers to either Power Plant Air Quality Decisions or Utility Environmental
Upgrade Tracking System. The cost is $125.00 for non-subscribers.
Market Intelligence webinars are free to McIlvaine market report.
2012
DATE SUBJECT
September 27 Coal-fired Boiler Optimization – Part 1 Power
October 11 Coal-fired Boiler Optimization – Part 2 Power
October 18 Air Preheaters & Heat Exchangers Power
October 25 Instrumentation for air, gas, water, liquids (forecasts, market
shares, growth segments). Market Intelligence
November 1 Cooling Towers and Cooling Water Issues Power
November 8 FGD Scrubber Components Power
November 15 Dampers and Expansion Joints for Coal-fired and Gas Turbine Power
Plants Power
November 29 Catalyst Selection for NOx and Other Gases Power
December 6 Boiler Feed and Cooling Water Treatment Power
December 13 Co-firing Sewage Sludge, Biomass and Municipal Waste Power
2013
January 10 Update on Oxy-fuel Combustion Power
January 17 Production of Fertilizer and Sulfuric Acid at Coal-fired Power Plants
Power
January 24 Gypsum Dewatering Power
January 31 Filter media (forecasts and market drivers for media used in air,
gas, liquid, fluid applications, both mobile and stationary). Market
Intelligence
February 7 Valves for Power Plants, Boilers and Water Treatment Facilities Power
To register for the Hot Topic Hour, click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/hot_topic_hour_registration.htm.
Here are the Headlines for the September 28, 2012 – Utility E-Alert
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1094 – September 28, 2012
Table of Contents
COAL – US
“Stop the War on Coal Act” passes House
PSO files Environmental Compliance Plan with OCC
COAL – WORLD
1,075 MW Kozienice Expansion (Poland) will have Babcock-Hitachi FGD
2x250 MW Barauni (India) Expansion has Coal Linkage
Alstom to supply Steam Turbines to 2x600 MW Dongbu Green Power in Korea
SAIL-NTPC-NMDC will build Power Plant in Madhya Pradesh, India
GAS/OIL / US
San Diego rejects Rezoning Plan for 100 MW Quail Brush
GAS/OIL WORLD
METKA is adding Alstom Combined Cycle Equipment at Samra in Jordan
Planned Oakville 900 MW Natural Gas-fired Power Plant to be relocated to
Lennox, Ontario, Canada
Cogeneration Power Project in Mexico to use Foster Wheeler HRSG Equipment
NB Power to retire Dalhousie
BIOMASS
RWE seeks to extend Life of Biomass-converted Tilbury in the UK
NUCLEAR
EDF to start Public Hearings for Sizewell Nuclear Power Plant in the UK
MidAmerican selects Fremont or Muscatine Counties as Possible Sites for a
Nuclear Power Plant in Iowa.
UniStar asking NRC for clarification on Calvert Cliffs Rejection
BUSINESS
GE to supply Gas Turbines to Japan, Saudi Arabia and Cherokee 4 in US
China Will Buy More NOx Catalyst Than the Rest of the World Combined
HOT TOPIC HOUR
“Coal-fired Boiler Optimization” Hot Topic on September 27, 2012
Upcoming Hot Topic Hours
For more information on the Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System, click
on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#42ei.
World Needs to Efficiently Utilize Its Finite Coal Reserves
The world’s supply of fossil energy is finite and must be utilized in the most
economically and environmentally beneficial manner. This dictates construction
of coal-fired power plants where enhanced oil recovery (EOR) provides a use for
CO2. In parallel gas which would otherwise be used for power generation in the
EOR areas is converted to LNG and liquids and used in other regions. Also in
parallel large energy consuming industries expand in EOR areas such as the U.S.
and Middle East/Africa. This is the conclusion reached by the McIlvaine Company
in its report, Fossil & Nuclear Power Generation: World Analysis & Forecast,
click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#n043.
Coal is one of the world’s most valuable energy resources. Over the next century
it will all be consumed along with the remaining gas and oil. In the twenty
second century, fossil fuels will not be available and we will have to solely
depend on nuclear, solar, wind, biomass and other renewable resources. In the
meantime, we need to utilize the fossil resources most appropriately. Each of
the fossil fuel resources has unique uses and advantages. Here are the
advantages of coal:
• Coal is the lowest cost fuel for power generation.
• Coal is the cheapest source of CO2 for enhanced oil recovery
• Clean Coal technology can deliver any cleanliness needed.
• A coal-fired boiler with 20 percent biomass and 80 percent coal with 90
percent CO2 capture is a net reducer of greenhouse gases
The potential to utilize coal most efficiently would result in:
• Multi trillion dollar increase in recovered oil
• Greater gas utilization for residential heating and chemicals production
• Extend the date at which biomass becomes the only source for plastics and
organic chemicals
The plan to make this happen must be global and take into account all the
long-range environmental and economic consequences. There are a number of facts
which are often overlooked but are important to the initiative:
• The economic life of a coal-fired power plant need only be twenty-five years
• Enhanced oil recovery makes coal-fired generation green and economically
attractive
• The cost to transport coal long distances by ship is less than to transport it
short distances by rail
• Large energy consumers such as aluminum smelters will be built where energy
costs are the lowest
• Energy complexes greatly increase energy efficiency and make use of the heat
otherwise wasted in the visual steam plume from the cooling tower
• Gas can be economically transferred long distances if converted to LNG or
liquids
• Greenhouse gases are a global problem and require a global solution
Background
It has been estimated that there are over 847 billion tons of proven coal
reserves worldwide. This means that there is enough coal to last us around 118
years at current rates of production according to the World Coal Association. In
contrast, proven oil and gas reserves are equivalent to around 46 and 59 years
at current production levels.
The coal demand in Asian countries is soaring. McIlvaine projects 2700 GW of
coal-fired capacity in the world in 2017. This could rise at 3%/yr to 3970 GW by
2030. At this rate, the world only has a eighty year supply of coal Advanced
Resources International estimates that there is the potential through enhanced
oil recovery to create an additional 500 to 1000 billion barrels of oil and to
store 320 billion metric tons of CO2 at the same time.. This storage would
accommodate 4300 GW of coal-fired capacity for forty years.
The U.S. could store 34 billion tons of CO2. Canada and Mexico could utilize and
store another 9 billion tons. This is enough to sequester all the coal-fired
power CO2 generation for 25 years.
The biggest potential (125,000 billion tons) is in the Middle East and North
Africa. The Asia –Pacific region would have a need for only 8 billion tons of
CO2.
Proven Reserves of Oil, Coal and Gas
(Figures from World Coal Association)
World Energy Council estimates of proved recoverable reserves (hard coal and
lignite) at end-2008 (Billion Metric Tons) such as the U.S. and Middle
East/Africa.
Region Recoverable Reserves Share of Recoverable Reserves
US and Canada 243.9 28.3%
Russian Federation 157.0 18.2%
China 114.5 13.3%
Europe (incl. Turkey) 110.4 12.8%
Australia 76.4 8.9%
India 60.6 7.0%
Kazakhstan 33.6 3.9%
South Africa 30.2 3.5%
All Other 34.3 4.0%
World Total 860.9 100%
For more information on: Fossil & Nuclear Power Generation: World Analysis &
Forecast, click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#n043.
Desalination is a Growth Market for Flow Control and Filtration
The 2013 market for flow control and filtration equipment and consumables for
desalination will exceed $5.7 billion according to the latest aggregated
forecasts in McIlvaine market reports.
2013 Market for Flow Control and Filtration Equipment and Consumables in
Desalination
Product Capital Revenues
($ millions) Consumables and Replacement
Cross-flow Membrane Systems and Modules 1,900 1,000
Cartridges 110
Macrofilters and Media 200 100
Pumps 600 300
Valves 300 100
Instrumentation 250 100
Sedimentation/Centrifugation Equipment 90 20
Treatment Chemicals 700
Total 3,340 2,430
The major market has been the Middle East but other areas of the world are
finding that desalination is a viable alternative. The most recent example is in
San Diego where Poseidon Resources has landed a contract to build a 50 million
gallon/day desalination plant. This will be the largest in the western
hemisphere.
The amount of water being pumped in desalination systems is presently only about
one percent of the amount being pumped for all the world’s drinking supplies. On
the other hand, the high pressure pumps needed for reverse osmosis are an order
of magnitude more expensive than those used for drinking water transport.
Prefiltration for the reverse osmosis systems and initial purification of water
which will be evaporated in thermal systems is accomplished with liquid
macrofiltration and cartridges. Automatic back wash filters and sand filters are
frequently used. Liquid wastes are dewatered in filter presses.
Cartridges are used to remove particles which are too small to be captured in
liquid macrofiltration equipment, but too large and plentiful to be handled by
cross-flow membranes. There has been a high replacement frequency on cartridges.
An alternative to liquid macrofiltration is sedimentation. Clarifiers and
dissolved air flotation systems are selected for a number of systems. The
desalting takes place in either thermal systems where the water is evaporated or
by separation with cross-flow membranes. Reverse osmosis (RO) does the final
separation. Macro or ultrafilters are often used to pre-filter and protect the
RO membranes.
For more information, click on: Cartridge Filters: World Market:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com//brochures/water.html#nO24
Industrial Valves: World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n028
Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n006
Pumps World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#N019
RO, UF, MF World Market:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#no20
Sedimentation/Centrifugation World Markets:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n005
Water and Wastewater Treatment Chemicals: World Market
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#NO26
Air & Water Pollution Monitoring World Markets:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=106extsup1.asp
East Asia Liquid Macrofiltration Market to Exceed $2.6 Billion in 2013
The market for filtration equipment and media to remove particles larger than
one micron from liquids will exceed $6.6 billion in 2013. East Asia will account
for 39 percent of the total. This is the conclusion reached in Liquid Filtration
and Media World Market published by the McIlvaine Company.
(www.mcilvainecompany.com)
Liquid Filtration Revenues ($ Millions)
World Region 2013
Africa 246
CIS 188
East Asia 2,620
Eastern Europe 182
Middle East 217
NAFTA 1,204
South & Central America 484
West Asia 540
Western Europe 956
Total 6,637
This category of filtration includes sand filters, bag filters, belt filter
presses, gravity belt filters and recessed chamber filter presses. It also
includes the rapidly growing automatic backwash filter segment. Macro filtration
equipment is extensively used in municipal wastewater and drinking water plants.
Eastern Asia has a very large program to provide drinking water and sewage
treatment for its citizens.
These types of filters are also utilized in pulp and paper, chemical, refining,
power, mining, iron and steel and other industries. The growth of these
industries in East Asia is higher than elsewhere in the world.
There are thousands of suppliers of the filtration equipment. International
suppliers are penetrating the East Asian market, but there is also a strong and
growing domestic manufacturing capability. There is more international
participation in media such as filter cloths, belts and bags. International
media suppliers have built plants in China and other Asian countries and are
using these facilities to support regional activities. Chinese media suppliers
are also becoming exporters.
North America is benefiting from a surge in industrial investment and the
continuing expansion of municipal facilities. The mining industry is providing
growth in the South and Central America region.
For more information on: Liquid Filtration and Media World Market: click on:
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/water.html#n006.
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Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
Copyright © 2012 McIlvaine Company. All Rights Reserved
191 Waukegan Road Suite 208 | Northfield | IL 60093
Ph: 847-784-0012 | Fax: 847-784-0061
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