Power Plant Valve Market Shifting to Asia
A number of factors are causing major shifts in power plant valve purchases.
These changes are being continually evaluated in N028 Industrial Valves: World
Market.
The market for valves in the power industry is being shaped by:
• Increasing need for energy in developing countries
• Changes in fuel availability and price
• Regulations which impact the valve expenditures per unit of electricity
capacity
• Changes in the mix of generation technologies
Developing countries are moving ahead with coal-fired power plants. The U.S. is
building a number of gas turbine-fired power plants while Europe is relying on
growth in renewable energy. So the result of this activity is a regional shift
in valve markets.
Regulations are impacting valve expenditures. Limits on water discharges are
generating markets for zero liquid discharge (ZLD) systems. Concentrated
wastewater is processed in evaporators. Steam is regenerated with compressors,
so a number of high performance valves are needed.
Limits on SO2 emissions are creating large markets for knife gate valves used
with lime and gypsum slurry transport.
The long term market outlook is most impacted by the trend toward generation
technologies which needed lower investments in valves. Nuclear power plants need
a greater valve investment than any alternative. They require as much ultrapure
water for steam generation as do coal-fired power plants. They outstrip
alternatives relative to combustion valve requirements due to highly critical
control of the nuclear reaction process. Substantial investment in valves is
also required for water intakes, cooling water and wastewater treatment. The
fact that nuclear power is being phased out in some countries reduces the valve
potential in those countries.
The valve investment per MW has been compared for each power generation
technology and for each type of fluid being controlled. This ranges from
lubrication valves where flows are measured in fractions of a liter per hour to
large valves in scrubber recycle systems in coal-fired power plants where the
individual valve must handle 50,000 gpm and where one system may need eight of
these valves.
Selection of valves for water intakes and cooling is essentially the same
regardless of the generation type. However, the nuclear sites need special
safety protection.
Similar valves are used in the steam cycles of coal, nuclear, CCGT and biomass
power plants. The difference is that gas turbine power plants generate only 40
percent of the power with steam.
Depending on the generator selection, the valve expenditure can vary by 400 to
1. With the trend toward renewables in Europe the power plant valve market in
this region will shrink. On the other hand, the Asian predilection for coal will
result in good growth in this region over the next decade. For more information
on N028 Industrial Valves: World Market, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/115-n028
Flow Control and Treatment Mining Market Tops $13 Billion in 2017
The mining industry will spend $13 billion for flow control and treatment
equipment and services in 2017. The forecast appearing in N064
Air/Gas/Water/Fluid Treatment and Control: World Market includes the following
fluids: air, water, gas, oil, slurries and other. Movement of gases and air with
fans and compressors is a big segment. Three billion dollars will be spent for
pumps and valves.
The air and water monitoring expenditures can be further segmented based on how
the equipment is used. Online continuous measurement makes up the bulk of the
expenditures.
The mining market is characterized by very large projects which are few in
number but comprise a significant portion of the market. So the market is
volatile. Presently there are a number of large potash projects in Saskatchewan,
Canada which represent a potential sale of flow control and treatment equipment
of close to $1 billion or over 7 percent of the entire annual market. A very
large copper mining project in Ecuador will significantly impact the total
market.
The U.S. represents only 6 percent of the mining potential for the largest
segments which include iron ore, coal, bauxite, copper and phosphate. China on
the other hand represents 23 percent of the total based on domestic production.
When you consider that China is a major investor in the rest of the Americas
which will account for 19 percent of the production and Africa with 13 percent
of the production, its influence on mining flow control and treatment is
considerable.
China and the Americas will account for over 33 percent of the bauxite
production in 2017.
China will account for nearly 42 percent of coal production in 2017.
Central and South America will produce 43 percent of the copper in 2017.
Twenty-five percent of the iron ore will be produced in the Americas in 2017.
China and Africa will account for 69 percent of 2017 phosphate production.
For more information on specific mining markets click on:
N021 World Fabric Filter and Element Market
N008 Scrubber/Adsorber/Biofilter World Markets
N028 Industrial Valves: World Market
N019 Pumps World Market
N006 Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets
N005 Sedimentation and Centrifugation World Markets
N020 RO, UF, MF World Market
N031 Air and Water Monitoring: World Market
The Flow Control Future Belongs to International Companies with Holistic and
Proactive Development, Supply and Sales Programs
The $350 billion flow control and treatment market is undergoing a steady change
caused by:
• Growth disparity between regions
• Expansion of international companies in the high growth regions
There have been many acquisitions in recent years as international companies
seek to adjust to these changes. However, acquisitions are only part of the
adaptation process. Some international companies are very successful in their
expansion efforts. Others are not doing as well. The differences can be
attributed to six factors.
1a Holistic product development 1b Proactive product development
2a Holistic supply 2b Proactive supply
3a Holistic sales 3b Proactive sales
Product development is much more important in flow control and treatment than in
some other industries where the pace of change is slow. A holistic program takes
into account the range of opportunities whereas a myopic program is the victim
of an existing culture e.g., IBM and personal computers. W.L. Gore has developed
unique products in retail clothing as well as flow control and treatment where
it supplies pump packings, liquid filtration bags, gas turbine filters, dust
collector bags, NOx and VOC removal technologies and most recently a novel
device for mercury removal. The company shows the holistic strength by the
breadth of industries and products. It has demonstrated its proactive strength
by unique approaches which take an industry in a different direction.
Companies without strong product development programs complain that the Chinese
are stealing their designs. Thermo Fisher, with a strong development program,
has built its main air pollution research center in China.
Supply includes manufacturing, purchasing, engineering and service.
International flow control companies have been investing in manufacturing
facilities in Asia. Filtration media companies have been generally successful in
setting up plants in China. The biggest opportunity lies in a holistic approach
which combines manufacturing with service. Pentair, for example, has worked on a
repair business based on expensive valves which can be repaired rather than
replaced. This initiative combines the holistic manufacturing/repair combination
plus the proactive concept to take the industry in a new direction.
The potential for remote monitoring, service and then maintenance support can be
realized with holistic and proactive approaches. This potential is highest in
developing countries moving to high tech production e.g., pharmaceuticals in
India, semiconductors in China and ultrasupercritical coal-fired power plants in
Vietnam.
Most international companies are failing to take the proper holistic approach to
sales. Divisions are not sharing intelligence or collaborating. Management has
initiated top down approaches to take advantage of synergies but efforts have
often been unsuccessful. There is considerable potential for multi-company
initiatives. Various governments are helping. The Italian government has a
strong initiative to promote industrial valve exports. The Industrial Valve
Summit held last year in Bergamo, Italy was an effective promotional aid to the
Italian valve manufacturing industry.
The McIlvaine Company is focused on helping international companies with all six
of the important factors for international success. In addition, McIlvaine is
creating unique tools which can be shared by suppliers and end users around the
world. They include:
• Decision guides with classification of options for each industry.
• Cross pollination among industries: McIlvaine conducted a cross industry
pollination webinar on mercury removal for sewage sludge incinerators,
coal-fired boilers, cement plants, waste-to-energy plants and natural gas
pipelines. New developments applied to natural gas pipelines may be applicable
to the other industries. Decision guides on NOx, hot gas filtration and acid gas
removal in multiple industries will be discussed in a series of webinars in
March and April.
• White papers and analyses on products focused on the total cost of ownership.
• Identification of all supplier and end user parent companies by a corporate
identification number with spelling in Chinese and English.
• Supplier programs including many market reports and databases along with KOC
Sales Strategy, 4 Lane Knowledge Bridge, and Detailed Forecasting of Markets,
Prospects and Projects.
For more information click on: N064 Air/Gas/Water/Fluid Treatment and Control:
World Market
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1260 – February 19, 2016
Table of Contents
COAL – WORLD
• Egypt earmarks Coal Power for greater Contribution
• Atimonan power station 1200-MW Coal-fired Power Plant proposed in Quezon
Province, the Philippines
• Expansion proposed for Coal-fired Batangas Power Station at Batangas Bay, the
Philippines
• Thermal Powertech signs PPA with Telangana
• BHEL commissions 270 MW Coal-based Power Project in Punjab, India
• Proposed Sulcis 350 MW Coal-fired Power Plant for Sardinia, Italy including
CCS
The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects,
regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but
is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every
plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.
McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours (HTH) and Recordings
Explanation Applicable Services Schedule & Registration Sponsored Webinars
McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are
free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are
free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.
Format: 50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The
session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.
Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and
directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best
Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and
services.
Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be
discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The
presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine
multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and
non-subscribers are encouraged.
Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since
1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric
filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on
any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the
issues and options relative to a specific applications. Coal-fired power,
cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.
The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision
system. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of
the session and be prepared with questions and views.
Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be
prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have
continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future
along with a networking directory of suppliers.
Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at
no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance
and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the
slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and
continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.
44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision
services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial
focus on power will find this combination most cost effective.
Applicable Services for Hot Topic Hours**
Pollutant
Industry Fabric Filter
(1ABC) Scrubber
(2ABC) Precipitator
(4ABC) FGD & DeNOx
(3ABC) Air Pollution
Monitoring
(9ABC) Gas
Turbine
Decisions
Mercury
February
11, 2016 Coal X X
WTE X X X
Sewage X X X
Cement X X
Natural Gas*
DeNOx
March 24, 2016 Coal X X
Incineration X X
Steel X X
Cement X X
Diesel*
Gas Turbine X X
Hot Gas
Filtration Coal X X X X
WTE X X X X
Cement X X X X
Steel X X X X
Incineration X X X X
Coal Gas X X X
GT Intake X
FGD and Acid Gas
June 16, 2016 Coal X X
Sewage X X
WTE X X
Cement X X
Steel X X
*Included in custom system
** Many of the decision guides also are displayed in the relevant market
reports. Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC
HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE
Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at
approximately two week intervals. Unforeseen developments could dictate the
insertion of new subjects.
DATE SUBJECT
February 25, 2016
Markets Zero Liquid Discharge - Regulatory status in US and ROW; spray drier
vs.. evaporation for Chinese power plants; difference in various system designs;
total cost of ownership; valve, pump, evaporator, centrifuge, instrumentation,
materials and compressor options. Click Here to Register
March 10, 2016
Markets Gas Turbine - Intake filter, SCR, NH3, HRSG, valve, pump,
instrumentation and cooling options (dry vs. wet); treatment chemicals;
challenges with FAC due to extensive cycling. Click Here to Register
March 24, 2016
Decisions NOx Control - Review of the issues and options for NOx control in coal
fired power, cement, steel, and waste to energy plants as well as mobile diesel
vehicles. Click Here to Register
April 7, 2016
Markets Power Generation Technologies - Future of USC coal in India, Vietnam and
Indonesia; natural gas prices; GHG regulations; nuclear costs; penetration for
wind and solar. Click Here to Register
April 21, 2016
Decisions Hot Gas Filtration - Issue and Option for particulate capture. in coal
fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration. Click Here to Register
June 16, 2016
Decisions FGD and Acid Gas Separation - Issue and options for SO2 and other acid
gas separation from coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration
plants. Click Here to Register
TBA
Markets Desalination - Thermal vs. Membrane; energy recovery, pump, valve,
compressor and chemicals options; power/desalination combinations.
TBA
Markets Oil, Gas, Refining - Supply and demand; impact on flow control and
treatment products; regional impacts e.g. subsea in North Atlantic vs. shale in
the US vs. Oil Sands in Canada.
TBA
Markets Food - Analysis of 12 separate applications within food and beverage
with analysis of valve, pump, compressor, filter, analyzer and chemical options;
impact of new technologies such as forward osmosis.
TBA
Markets Municipal Wastewater - Quality of pumps, valves, filters, and analyzers
in Chinese and Asian plants; new pollutant challenges; water purification for
reuse.
TBA
Markets Mobile Emissions - Reduction in CO, VOCs, and particulate in fuels,
oils, and air used in on and off road vehicles; impact of RDE and failure of NOx
traps and the crisis in Europe created by the focus on diesels.
Click here to Register for the Webinars
Sponsored Webinars allow suppliers to take advantage of all the valuable
information on their power point presentations. Click here for details
Hot Topic Hour Recordings
See and hear recordings of past Hot Topic Hours (Free for subscribers, $95.00
for non-subscribers)
• Chronological
Order Now!
Free Sponsored Webinars
• Albemarle - Cement MACT
• AMC Power
• Aquatech
• GE - Mercury Capture
• Honeywell
• NVISTA
• Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance Analyzer
• Neundorfer
• Pavilion
• Sick Maihak - Cement MACT
• Tekran Instruments - Cement MACT
You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com