Many Variables Impact the Market for Industrial Pumps
Global, national, technology and regulatory factors are all shaping the future
of the industrial pump industry. The best forecast today may not be the best
forecast tomorrow based on some singular event. A case in point would be the
surprise decision by the U.S. Supreme Court to vacate the Clean Power Plan.
Because China accounts for more than 30 percent of pump purchases, any economic
change in that country will potentially have measureable impact on global market
forecasts. Pumps World Markets is updated continually to take into account new
developments.
At one time extraction of oil from onshore and offshore oil platforms was the
leading sector of the market. This application has seen substantial but
temporary decline. By 2018 this sector will rebound with likely double-digit
growth Markets in municipal wastewater treatment, desalination, pharmaceuticals
and aquaculture are growing nicely.
The market for pumps in desalination has expanded faster than the overall
industry due to the gain in market share for membrane separation as opposed to
thermal desalination. The use of pumps for energy recovery provides another big
boost. The aquaculture market is booming as the technology is replacing wild
fish harvesting.
The biggest opportunity for pump suppliers is a pro-active strategy to boost
after-market sales. In many applications, it is better to buy more expensive
pumps and repair them as needed than to buy inexpensive pumps and replace them
frequently. This necessitates a program to prove the lower total cost of
ownership for this approach. The pump company has to understand the application
as well as the customer does in order to make a convincing case for the more
expensive initial purchase.
For more information on Pumps World Markets, click on:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/component/content/article?id=75
Fossil Fuel-fired Power Plants can be a Positive rather than A Negative
Contributor to Water Quality
Operators of coal-fired power plants and gas turbine combined cycle power plants
can utilize municipal wastewater for cooling and other needs. When they also
eliminate discharges through zero liquid discharge (ZLD) technology they become
positive rather than negative contributors to water quality. Water lost through
evaporation can be greatly reduced by heat extraction from the flue gas before
it reaches the scrubber. This also reduces total CO2/MW and makes the plant
greener in every sense.
The markets and technology for this approach will be discussed in a free webinar
on February 25th at 10 a.m. CST.
The various geographical markets will be analyzed. China is embracing ZLD in its
power plants as well as its coal-to-chemical facilities. Gas turbine combined
cycle power plant developers in the U.S. are selecting ZLD not only in arid
areas but generally to avoid the need to obtain water discharge permits. ZLD is
the preferred option in Saudi Arabia and surrounding countries.
The availability and cost of treated municipal wastewater will be reviewed. In
general, power plants are near enough to municipal treatment plants to make the
use practical.
Technologies to minimize evaporation losses will also be discussed. The
potential is being increased by new developments such as catalytic filtration at
850oF.
China is making the largest investment in ZLD. Huaneng Group, China’s largest
power producer, has constructed a 1.3 GW state-of-the-art ultra-supercritical
coal-fired power plant at the Changxing Power Station in Zhejiang Province.
•The plant uses Oasys’ technology to treat the wastewater from flue gas
desulfurization (FGD).
•The system treats up to 650 cubic meters of wastewater a day. Startup was early
2015. The system uses forward osmosis separation technology.
Aquatech has supplied ZLD systems for a number of power plants and
coal-to-chemicals plants. Enel has purchased several systems from Aquatech for
its Italian coal-fired power plants. Aquatech has a Zero Liquid Discharge (ZLD)
plant in a coal-to-chemicals facility in Inner Mongolia. The ZLD plant
incorporates HERO™ (High Efficiency Reverse Osmosis) and a Thermal Brine
Concentrator. The plant will treat 2400 m3/day of wastewater and reuse 92.5
percent of it, producing 2000 m3/day of process water and 220 m3/day of
distilled water for various end user applications.
China has some ZLD systems using evaporators but is leaning toward the cheaper
route of using flue gas to evaporate liquid in the sludge. The spray drier
approach is being offered by Mitsubishi, URS and other international companies.
The various approaches for evaporation of water from slurries will be analyzed.
One option is a falling film evaporator (inside the brine concentrator vessel)
that is seeded with calcium sulfate to minimize scale formation.
Mechanical vapor recompression (MVR) is the method by which a blower, compressor
or jet ejector is used to compress, and thus, increase the temperature of the
vapor produced. In this way, the vapor can serve as the heating medium for the
ZLD solution being concentrated. The efficiency and feasibility of this process
lies in the efficiency of the blower or compressor and the heat transfer
co-efficient attained in the heat exchanger contacting the condensing vapor and
the boiling ZLD liquid. Several different blower and compressor options will be
reviewed.
The discussion will also include the co-combustion of sewage sludge and the use
of gasified sludges as reburn fuels in coal-fired boilers.
Click Here to Register
A full review of the options for coal-fired power plants is provided in 44I
Power Plant Air Quality Decisions. A full review of options for gas turbines is
part of Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Decisions. Both of these services are
free of charge to power plants and by subscription for others.
Gas Turbine after Market is both Substantial and Concentrated
As the U.S. switches from coal to gas a very large after market is developing
for intake filters, valves, pumps, turbine and HRSG components. McIlvaine
quantifies and tracks all the activity in Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle
Supplier Program.
Of the 440 GW of gas turbine-generated power operating in the U.S. as of the end
of 2015, 170 GW or over one-third is produced by the top ten producers.
Largest Gas-Turbine Power Producers in the U.S.
Based on Capacity as of the end of 2015
Rank Power Producer Gas-Turbine Power Production
Total Capacity (MW) Number of Facilities Total Number of Units
1 Calpine 27,894 63 190
2 Duke Energy 25,061 42 242
3 NextEra Energy 20.735 18 132
4 Southern Co 19,919 30 138
5 NRG Energy 18,946 57 238
6 Dynegy 14,022 23 96
7 TVA 12,201 15 118
8 Berkshire Hathaway 11,812 24 107
9 Engie 10,260 19 57
10 LS Power 9,492 17 70
Note: “Total Number of Units” includes both combustion and steam turbines.
Most of these producers are large, U.S.-based energy companies. However, Engie
(known as GDF Suez until April 2015) is a France-based multinational energy
company and one of the largest independent power producers in the world. In 2011
and 2012, Engie doubled its U.S. power generation capacity through acquisitions.
Berkshire Hathaway is essentially a holding company with an energy division
which includes MidAmerican Energy (acquired in 1999), PacifiCorp (2005) and NV
Energy (2013).
Identifying key decision makers has become particularly difficult over the last
decade due to electricity restructuring in the U.S. The distinction between
regulated and deregulated companies has become blurred. Power plants are bought
and sold frequently as companies and utilities seek to make a profit in the new
market-oriented environment.
McIlvaine has been tracking ownership changes and reports on them regularly
along with identifying every new and existing power plant and project worldwide.
For more information on 59EI Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program
click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/610-59ei.
Utility E-Alert Tracks Billions of Dollars of New Coal-fired Power Plants on a
Weekly Basis
Here are some headlines from the Utility E-Alert.
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1259 – February 12, 2016
Table of Contents
COAL – US
• TVA completes Scrubber installation at Gallatin, TN Power Plant
• B&W awarded $18 Million Contract for Reheater Replacement at Coal-fired Pawnee
Generating Station
• Regulator fines Duke Energy nearly $7 Million for Coal Ash Spill
COAL – WORLD
• ICVL launches Tender for 200 MW Pit-head Power Project in Mozambique
• SSE may close Three Units at Fiddler’s Ferry Coal-fired Power Plant
• Coal-fired Power Station expansion in Jerada, Morocco
• Safi 1,386 MW Coal-fired Power Station under Construction in Cap Ghir Safi,
Morocco
• Dr. Narla Tata Rao 800 MW Power Plant Expansion in Andhra Pradesh, India
• Proposed 552 MW Coal-fired Power Station in Lanao del Norte Province,
Philippines
• Adani's Coal Mine clears Australia Environmental hurdle
The 41F Utility E-Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects,
regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but
is included in the $3020 42EI Utility Tracking System which has data on every
plant and project plus networking directories and many other features.
McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours (HTH) and Recordings
Explanation Applicable Services Schedule & Registration Sponsored Webinars
McIlvaine conducts periodic webinars which are in a discussion format and are
free of charge to all participants. The displayed material and recordings are
free to purchasers of the products and services and by subscription to others.
Format: 50-90 minute recorded discussion using McIlvaine display material. The
session will be free of charge to all participants but registration is required.
Approach: There are two types of webinars. One is focused on Markets and
directed to suppliers. The other is focused on aiding purchasers make the best
Decisions relative to purchases of flow control and treatment equipment and
services.
Markets HTH
The general overviews of the market including size and major variables will be
discussed with heavy emphasis on technology and regulatory drivers. The
presentation will be based on the latest information appearing in McIlvaine
multi-client reports. Questions and views from both subscribers and
non-subscribers are encouraged.
Decisions HTH
McIlvaine has been publishing information systems on pollution control since
1974. Each subject is organized by the pollutant control technology e.g. fabric
filter, scrubber, etc. There are search capabilities to retrieve information on
any application. The newest addition has been slide deck systems displaying the
issues and options relative to a specific applications. Coal-fired power,
cement, steel and waste combustion decision slide decks are continually updated.
The continually updated slide decks are displayed on the applicable decision
system. It is recommended that participants view the slide deck in advance of
the session and be prepared with questions and views.
Value to purchasers and specifiers: Your questions and interests will be
prioritized in the discussion. You will get a monthly newsletter and have
continuing access to the system and multiple ways to interface in the future
along with a networking directory of suppliers.
Value to Suppliers: You have the opportunity to provide data to be considered at
no charge. If you are also a subscriber you will see the summaries in advance
and be able to shed light on issues and options not properly covered in the
slide deck. If you are a subscriber you will receive the monthly newsletter and
continuing yearly access to the system including networking directories.
44I Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC decision
services but not 2ABC. So those with multiple technologies and at least partial
focus on power will find this combination most cost effective.
Applicable Services for Hot Topic Hours**
Pollutant
Industry Fabric Filter
(1ABC) Scrubber
(2ABC) Precipitator
(4ABC) FGD & DeNOx
(3ABC) Air Pollution
Monitoring
(9ABC) Gas
Turbine
Decisions
Mercury
February
11, 2016 Coal X X
WTE X X X
Sewage X X X
Cement X X
Natural Gas*
DeNOx
March 24, 2016 Coal X X
Incineration X X
Steel X X
Cement X X
Diesel*
Gas Turbine X X
Hot Gas
Filtration Coal X X X X
WTE X X X X
Cement X X X X
Steel X X X X
Incineration X X X X
Coal Gas X X X
GT Intake X
FGD and Acid Gas
June 16, 2016 Coal X X
Sewage X X
WTE X X
Cement X X
Steel X X
*Included in custom system
** Many of the decision guides also are displayed in the relevant market
reports. Power Plant Air Quality Decisions includes 1ABC, 3ABC, 4ABC, 9ABC
HOT TOPIC HOUR (HTH) SCHEDULE
Dates for the next 6 meetings are firm; the others will be held in sequence at
approximately two week intervals. Unforeseen developments could dictate the
insertion of new subjects.
DATE SUBJECT
February 25, 2016
Markets Zero Liquid Discharge - Regulatory status in US and ROW; spray drier
vs.. evaporation for Chinese power plants; difference in various system designs;
total cost of ownership; valve, pump, evaporator, centrifuge, instrumentation,
materials and compressor options. Click Here to Register
March 10, 2016
Markets Gas Turbine - Intake filter, SCR, NH3, HRSG, valve, pump,
instrumentation and cooling options (dry vs. wet); treatment chemicals;
challenges with FAC due to extensive cycling. Click Here to Register
March 24, 2016
Decisions NOx Control - Review of the issues and options for NOx control in coal
fired power, cement, steel, and waste to energy plants as well as mobile diesel
vehicles. Click Here to Register
April 7, 2016
Markets Power Generation Technologies - Future of USC coal in India, Vietnam and
Indonesia; natural gas prices; GHG regulations; nuclear costs; penetration for
wind and solar. Click Here to Register
April 21, 2016
Decisions Hot Gas Filtration - Issue and Option for particulate capture. in coal
fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration. Click Here to Register
June 16, 2016
Decisions FGD and Acid Gas Separation - Issue and options for SO2 and other acid
gas separation from coal fired power, cement, steel, and waste incineration
plants. Click Here to Register
TBA
Markets Desalination - Thermal vs. Membrane; energy recovery, pump, valve,
compressor and chemicals options; power/desalination combinations.
TBA
Markets Oil, Gas, Refining - Supply and demand; impact on flow control and
treatment products; regional impacts e.g. subsea in North Atlantic vs. shale in
the US vs. Oil Sands in Canada.
TBA
Markets Food - Analysis of 12 separate applications within food and beverage
with analysis of valve, pump, compressor, filter, analyzer and chemical options;
impact of new technologies such as forward osmosis.
TBA
Markets Municipal Wastewater - Quality of pumps, valves, filters, and analyzers
in Chinese and Asian plants; new pollutant challenges; water purification for
reuse.
TBA
Markets Mobile Emissions - Reduction in CO, VOCs, and particulate in fuels,
oils, and air used in on and off road vehicles; impact of RDE and failure of NOx
traps and the crisis in Europe created by the focus on diesels.
Click here to Register for the Webinars
Sponsored Webinars allow suppliers to take advantage of all the valuable
information on their power point presentations. Click here for details
Hot Topic Hour Recordings
See and hear recordings of past Hot Topic Hours (Free for subscribers, $95.00
for non-subscribers)
• Chronological
Order Now!
Free Sponsored Webinars
• Albemarle - Cement MACT
• AMC Power
• Aquatech
• GE - Mercury Capture
• Honeywell
• NVISTA
• Midwesco - Bagfilter Performance Analyzer
• Neundorfer
• Pavilion
• Sick Maihak - Cement MACT
• Tekran Instruments - Cement MACT
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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
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Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com