Here are some headlines from the Utility E Alert last week:
Nederman China receives Order for Boiler Flue Gas Cleaning Project
Barapukuria Coal-fired Power Plant adds Third Unit
ABB wins Orders worth $300 Million for China Power Projects
China to finance Second Coal-fired Power Plant at Thar Block II
Huaneng Bayanbaolige 1,320 MW proposed Coal-fired Power Plant in Inner Mongolia
Autonomous Region, China
Clean Power Plan is unfolding
This Year 133 Companies will buy 55 Percent of Fabric Filters
Seventeen Power Plant Owners have Purchased 56 Percent of all the World’s FGD
Systems
Carbonxt and United Conveyor Corporation launch Joint Air Quality Control
Offering
Precipitators can compete with Fabric Filters – Hot Topic Hour Thursday
October 22, 2015Upcoming Hot Topic Hours
The Utility E Alert is issued weekly and covers the coal-fired projects,
regulations and other information important to the suppliers. It is $950/yr. but
is included in the $3020 Utility Tracking System which has data on every plant
and project plus networking directories and many other features. 42EI Utility
Tracking System
State by State Forecasts Needed by Suppliers of Flow Control and Treatment
Products and Services
The market for flow control and treatment (N064 Air/Gas/Water/Fluid Treatment
and Control: World Market) will be over $350 billion this year. The market has
been segmented into 80 countries and sub regions. Some of the smaller countries
account for less than 0.1 percent of the total. By contrast, California accounts
for 2 percent of the total. So international suppliers need to segment the U.S.
by region and, in many cases, by State. This is accomplished in a supplemental
report, Analysis & Forecast by Industry & State.
The food segment provides an example. The U.S. flow control and treatment in the
food industry represents more than 22 percent of the world total. Expensive
pumps and valves are needed to meet the sanitary requirements of food
processors. Cross-flow membranes not only provide high purity water and clean
wastewater but are concentrating liquids such as juices and corn syrups. Fabric
filters are used not only for air pollution control but to capture product in
hot gas streams e.g. coffee spray driers.
The U.S. will purchase two hundred and twenty times more food flow control and
treatment products and services than Guatemala this year.
FOOD INDUSTRY(%s) BASE YEAR 2014
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
United States 21.80 22.30 22.82 23.36 23.92 24.50 25.09 25.69
Canada 1.95 1.98 2.02 2.06 2.09 2.13 2.18 2.22
Mexico 2.39 2.49 2.61 2.73 2.87 3.01 3.17 3.35
Argentina 0.98 1.01 1.04 1.07 1.10 1.13 1.17 1.20
Brazil 3.11 3.17 3.23 3.30 3.36 3.43 3.51 3.59
Chile 0.44 0.45 0.47 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.54 0.56
Colombia 0.69 0.72 0.76 0.79 0.83 0.86 0.90 0.94
Ecuador 0.21 0.22 0.23 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.28
Guatemala 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.14
The state analysis segments each industry by state and aggregates it into nine
regions. California represents 10 percent of the U.S. food industry flow control
and treatment market while the Pacific states account for more than 14 percent.
FIGURE I-2B: U.S. Food Industry - Percent of U.S. 2014 Total
STATE 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2029 2021
Alaska 0.32 0.33 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.39 0.40 0.42
California 10.26 10.67 11.10 11.54 12.00 12.48 12.98 13.50
Hawaii 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.28 0.29
Oregon 1.21 1.26 1.31 1.36 1.42 1.47 1.53 1.59
Washington 2.08 2.16 2.25 2.34 2.43 2.53 2.63 2.74
TOTAL Pacific States 14.09 14.65 15.24 15.85 16.48 17.14 17.83 18.54
McIlvaine continues to adjust forecasts based on a number of its own reports
plus U.S. census data such as the number of employees in each facility in each
industry.
NAICS Alabama Food Manufacturing Facilities--- # of employees 25 50 200 300 500
3111 Animal Food Manufacturing 39 20 16 3 0
3112 Grain and Oilseed Milling 8 2 4 2 0
3113 Sugar and Confectionery Product Manufacturing 14 13 1 0 0
3114 Fruit and Vegetable Preserving and Specialty Food Manufacturing 8 6 1 0 1
3115 Dairy Product Manufacturing 8 4 1 3 0
3116 Animal Slaughtering and Processing 79 34 9 16 20
3117 Seafood Product Preparation and Packaging 22 9 9 4 0
3118 Bakeries and Tortilla Manufacturing 74 61 9 4 0
3119 Other Food Manufacturing 26 11 8 6 1
3121 Beverage Manufacturing 43 37 2 4 0
Analysis & Forecast by Industry & State is available as a supplement to
(Air/Gas/Water/Fluid Treatment and Control: World Market) or to any of the other
McIlvaine reports on pumps, valves, filtration, air pollution control, etc.
Customized excel spreadsheets can be provided for specific products e.g.
diaphragm pumps, ball valves, or polymers for water treatment. For more
information contact Bob McIlvaine at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.
Ten Power Generators Will Purchase 50 Percent of the Mercury Reduction Products
and Services In 2016
Mercury reduction is being accomplished by the addition of activated carbon,
bromine or other chemicals. With the new air toxic rules requiring U.S. power
plants to meet levels as low as 3 µg/m3 sales of these chemicals will be
substantial. Worldwide sales for chemicals to reduce mercury will exceed $1
billion. The electricity generator (EG) expenditures will be over $800 million.
Just ten EGs will spend an average of $40 million each and will account for over
40 percent of world purchases. Thirty-two EGs will account for 75 percent of the
purchases by EGs and 60 percent of the total mercury reduction expenditures.
Mercury Reduction Expenditures For Major EGs
# of
Corp # of FGD MW/EG
1000 Total
MW
1000 % of
Total
Installed
Base % of Mercury
Expenditures
Short Term % of
Mercury
Expenditures
Long Term Examples
7 Over 50 575 44 5 44 Big 5 Chinese Corp
10 10-50 150 12 50 12 AEP, TVA, Duke, Enel, EON
15 5-10 105 8 20 8 NRG, Xcel, Tokyo Electric, Chubu Electric
20 3-5 80 6 10 6 AES, EPDC, RWE, CEZ
52 Sub total 910 70 85 70
350 0-3 390 30 15 30 U.S., Europe, China
404 Total 1,300 100 100 100
The U.S. is ahead of other countries in limiting mercury emissions from
electricity from EGs. However, over the next ten years, the Chinese are expected
to ratchet down emission limits to the same level as in the U.S. When this
occurs, just seven corporations will account for 44 percent of the total
purchases.
The concentration of purchasing among just a few corporations dictates a focused
effort. McIlvaine has introduced a program incorporating detailed forecasting of
total potential sales revenue for each major prospect, project and supplier.
This is included in N056 Mercury Air Reduction Market.
For more information contact Bob McIlvaine at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com.
Tidal Energy Moving Forward
Cape Sharp Tidal, in a joint venture between Emera Inc. and OpenHydro, is taking
final steps to deploy 2MW Open-Centre marine hydrokinetic (MHK) ducted turbines
at the Fundy Ocean Research Centre for energy (FORCE) in the Bay of Fundy, Nova
Scotia.
Cape Sharp Tidal said it plans to deploy two turbines to a fully grid-connected
4 MW tidal array at FORCE and begin spinning by the end of 2015. “This project
has potential to be one of the world’s first multi-megawatt arrays of
interconnected tidal turbines, providing energy to more than 1,000 customers in
Nova Scotia“, the company said.
Japan’s New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO) has
selected IHI Corp. and Toshiba Corp. to research and develop an underwater
floating-type ocean current tidal energy turbine system as part of a $501
million effort for sustainable renewable energy.
The system includes power generation devices that each have two counter-rotating
turbines. Each unit is anchored to the sea floor and floats like a kite carried
and driven by the ocean current according to Toshiba.
Wave and tidal projects are among the many types of renewable energy projects
contained in McIlvaine’s Renewable Energy Projects and Update.
http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/Renewable_Energy_Projects_Brochure/renewable_energy_projects_brochure.htm
“Hot Topic Hour” November 12 to Focus on Latest Issues and Innovations in Dry
Scrubbing
The dry scrubbing option is being taken by many operators of power plants,
incinerators, kilns and furnaces. There many issues and innovations which need
to be addressed by decision makers. These will be summarized and discussed in a
90 minute recorded webinar.
One of the decisions is the type of dry scrubber which is best. Originally SDA
was the main option. Now CDS is popular. DSI with the more reactive sorbents has
become an option even when higher efficiency is required. The catalytic filter
with DSI promises one stop shopping. Combinations such as DSI and SDA are also
an option.
The dry scrubber is necessarily part of a multi pollutant removal system which
addresses particulate, acid gases and toxic metals. As a result, the evaluation
of the impact of the dry scrubber on the removal pollutants such as mercury is
important. The changing regulations in the U.S. China and the EU all need to be
addressed.
Solid waste is an issue. Can the sorbent/acid/ash combination be used as
construction materials? What about leaching of toxic metals? The loss of flyash
and gypsum revenues need to be evaluated. The benefits of lower water use and
elimination of wastewater are also important.
There are many process factors. One is the sulfur content of the fuel versus the
required efficiency. Another is the temperature of the air leaving the heat
exchanger and the potential for DSI ahead of the air heater to allow greater
heat recovery.
The discussion will be at a high level. It is hoped that participants avail
themselves of the extensive analyses already in Power Plant Air Quality
Decisions. Some of these analyses are listed in More information
Click here to register
McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours and Recordings
McIlvaine webinars offer the opportunity to view the latest presentations and
join discussions while sitting at your desk. Hot Topic Hours cater to the end
users as well as suppliers while the Market Updates cater to the suppliers and
investors. Since McIlvaine records and provides streaming media access to these
webinars there is a treasure trove of value only a click away. McIlvaine
webinars are free to certain McIlvaine service subscribers. There is a charge
for others. Hot Topic Hours are free to owner/operators. Sponsored webinars
provide insights to particular products and services. They are free. Recordings
can be immediately viewed from the list provided below.
DATE UPCOMING HOT TOPIC HOUR UPCOMING MARKET UPDATES
November 12, 2015 Dry Scrubbing
Expansion of the dry scrubber decision guide for power plants,
incinerators, and other applications involving SDA, CFB and
DSI.
Click here to register
December 3, 2015
NOx Reduction
Decision guide to selection of SCR and SCR systems,
ammonia injection, reagents, catalysts for power plants
refineries, incinerators, chemical plants and other applications.
Click here to register
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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at:
http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php?option=com_rsform&formId=5.
Bob McIlvaine
President
847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com