Special $600 Discount for McIlvaine Readers to Attend EUEC 2016: Feb. 3-5 in San Diego, CA

McIlvaine readers can register online at www.euec.com by December 15^th at the $600 discounted “VIP” rate to attend EUEC 2016:  USA’s Largest Energy Utility Environment Conference to be held February 3 to 5, 2016 in San Diego, California. The 19^th annual conference will host 2,000 delegates, 400 speakers and 200 exhibits. The VIP rate is $795 a savings of $600 from the onsite cost of $1,395. Please register online at www.euec.com and select registration type “VIP” and use the code “McIlvaine”.

Annual Investment in New Coal-fired Power Plants Will be $200 Billion

Despite the movement away from coal in developed countries, the heavy investment in new coal-fired power generation by developing countries is creating an annual $170 billion market with some peaks of close to $200 billion over the next five years.  India, Vietnam and Indonesia will be the leading purchasers.  However, there will be some investment in the developed countries who are reducing the total CO₂ footprint from coal.  The route they are taking is to build new highly efficient coal-fired power plants to replace the high CO₂ emitting existing power plants.  Japan is a prime example. Dozens of new coal-fired power plants are underway in Japan.

China is slowing down its investment in new coal-fired power plants but will continue to be a leading purchaser.  Coal-fired power is the key to the smog reduction program. The electric power provided by these power plants is used in commercial and residential buildings as a substitute for solid fuels burned on site which are presently creating much of the smog.  The large coal-fired power plants built recently in China are more efficient than the average U.S. coal-fired power plant and have all the pollution control equipment.

Most of the new coal-fired boilers will be of the ultra supercritical design.  This requires high temperatures and pressures.  International suppliers of pumps, valves, piping and treatment chemicals benefit from the performance demands and the need to rely on experienced suppliers. These boiler systems will be furnished by suppliers from China, Japan and the U.S. as well as some of the Eastern European countries.  Due to the new World Bank limits on funding coal-fired power plants, the international plant suppliers will be a more important funding source.

Highly efficient particulate control equipment will be utilized on all the new systems.  Many will also have SO₂ and NO_x removal devices. The requirements for mercury reduction have spread beyond the U.S. borders. China also has set emission standards for mercury.  Its Near Zero Emissions (NZE) policy is as stringent as any policy around the world.

Pulverized coal firing will be most common with circulating fluid bed combustors being used for some fuels where size reduction is challenging. Ball mills and other size reduction equipment is typically furnished by the boiler system supplier.

There are some promising technologies such as oxy-combustion which could achieve relatively low cost CO₂ sequestration.  In fact, a boiler firing 20 percent biomass and 80 percent coal with CO₂ sequestration would be greener than wind or solar.  Because there are not any emission to the air and the biomass is renewable, there would be a net decrease in greenhouse gases for every MW produced.

Due to the lack of water in many developing countries, dry cooling will be considered as an alternative to wet or hybrid cooling. However, in warmer climates, dry cooling is not efficient.  Wastewater reuse is also a high priority not only in arid areas but in all countries.  The reason is the increasing concern about water pollution. With zero liquid discharge and use of municipal wastewater as a water source, a power plant is reducing water pollution with every megawatt produced,

More information on the coal-fired power plant market is found at: N043 Fossil and Nuclear Power Generation: World Analysis and Forecast. 

Weekly tracking of activities at each coal-fired power plant around the world except China is found at: 42EI Utility Tracking System.

Tracking of Chinese power plant additions and upgrades is found at: 42EIC Chinese Utility Plans

Air pollution control activity is analyzed at:

N027 FGD Market and Strategies 

N021 World Fabric Filter and Element Market

N031 Air and Water Monitoring: World Market

N018 Electrostatic Precipitator World Market

Water related activity is analyzed in: 

N029 Ultrapure Water: World Market

N005 Sedimentation and Centrifugation World Markets 

N006 Liquid Filtration and Media World Markets

N020 RO, UF, MF World Market

N024 Cartridge Filters: World Market

Gas Turbine Intake Filter Sales To Exceed $1 Billion By 2021

Sales of gas turbine intake filters will double over the next six years according to the McIlvaine Company. The high rate of revenue growth will be a function of not only robust unit growth but double-digit growth in the revenue per unit. 

Gas turbine power generation is increasingly attractive due to the low price of natural gas, the environmental restrictions on coal-fired power and the ability for system suppliers to deliver new plants within 24 months.  The latest high performance turbines provide improved efficiency and lower CO₂ emissions per unit of energy produced.  However, the rotating equipment is subject to substantial corrosion and erosion from small particles.

As a result, the industry is moving from lower cost filters to those with HEPA efficiency.  These filters often cost twice that of the lower efficiency filters and have somewhat shorter lives. This additional cost is more than offset by lower part replacement and less frequent washing.  The specific climactic conditions vary from the arctic to the desert and from relatively clean air to air contaminated by hydrocarbons and fine particulate or salt water spray in the case of turbines on offshore rigs and coastal locations.

There are multiple approaches used to remove the air contaminants.  In general they can be divided into static and pulsed filter systems.  In static filter systems, there is a pre filter which captures most of the dust. It is low in cost and frequently replaced.  The downstream high efficiency filter has a long life time due to the lower dust concentration to which it is exposed.  There is a significant quantity of microglass media used in the high efficiency filters.

The pulsed filter approach provides filtration of coarse and fine particles in one device. The filter surface is periodically cleaned with a reverse pulse of air.  Membrane filter media is commonly used with this approach.

The replacement filter market is larger than the new filter market. 

NAFTA is the largest regional market with 34 percent of the gas turbine installed base.  Western Europe is the next largest segment but plants are shutting down there because of the high cost of gas in the region.

McIlvaine offers a customized program for suppliers which include detailed forecasts as well as information on all the existing and new opportunities.  For more information on this program click on:  59EI Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle Supplier Program.

McIlvaine Hot Topic Hours and Recordings

McIlvaine webinars offer the opportunity to view the latest presentations and join discussions while sitting at your desk. Hot Topic Hours cater to the end users as well as suppliers while the Market Updates cater to the suppliers and investors.  Since McIlvaine records and provides streaming media access to these webinars there is a treasure trove of value only a click away. McIlvaine webinars are free to certain McIlvaine service subscribers. There is a charge for others.  Hot Topic Hours are free to owner/operators.  Sponsored webinars provide insights to particular products and services.  They are free. 

Hot Topic Hour Schedule and Recordings

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Bob McIlvaine

President
847-784-0012 ext. 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvainecompany.com