Water Market Insights No

· $4.7 Billion 2014 Desalination Market for Pumps, Valves, Filters and Chemicals

If you are exhibiting or attending Filtration 13 and are interested in gas turbine intake filters, coal-fired boiler dust collectors, HVAC or oil and gas filtration, then we would like your input prior to the show and your networking participation during the show.

INDA’s Filtration International Conference and Exposition, is returning to Navy Pier in Chicago, Illinois, from November 12-14, 2013. It will include 130 exhibits many of which will display filtration media. The media is the heart of every filtration application. For the end users and the system suppliers, it will be very important to find the best media for the specific application.

McIlvaine will have a stand at the show. It has selected four application areas and will aid visitors in selecting the stands with the relevant information in each area. It will also facilitate networking among visitors as well as exhibitors.

We need input from exhibitors and visitors as to media options for each of the following applications:

We have listed the exhibitors who we believe are involved in each of these applications in the linked document posted in our Global Decisions Orchard. We have also added some insights as to which media is most applicable. We will be adding to this list up to and through the show.

To offer your comments or interest in networking on these four applications at the show, just respond to this e-mail and indicate this interest.

If you are a utility with questions or a supplier/consultant with answers on solutions for MATS, CCR, ELG, gas turbine air treatment or power plant drives, you will want to participate in a unique new service at Power-Gen. All we need from you is your expression of interest, e-mail and mobile numbers and we will make sure you are included.

With the air toxics, coal combustion residue and wastewater ELGs utilities are faced with difficult decisions. McIlvaine is introducing free decision systems to help make the best choices. One aspect is the creation of route maps from one decision tree to another. These route maps are being utilized at Power-Gen so that utilities can network, visit exhibit stands and attend speeches most efficiently. There are four route maps already underway:

These route maps are being constantly updated. When we receive your input, it will be posted within the day. We will be updating and coordinating up to and through the show.

There is a good panel discussion on this important subject which deals with how the utilities should tackle the upcoming ash and effluent regulations. United Conveyor and Clyde Bergemann are among the exhibitors with hardware solutions. Dennis Fink of CH₂M Hill will be a speaker on the subject and will be available throughout the show through mobile phone and at the CH₂M Hill stand. Bryan Hansen of Burns & McDonnell will be speaking on the FGD wastewater implications and will be available throughout the three days.

There are a number of other consultants listed but without the specific contacts/schedules. We need these. Gordon Maller of URS gave a presentation in one of our webinars on this subject and re-introduced the very promising approach of mixing gypsum, lime and flyash and permanently fixing the waste. If Gordon is going to be on hand or if one of the other URS people can address this option, we should be provided with the appropriate schedule information.

There are a number of speakers from Sargent & Lundy one of whom recently presented on CCR in a McIlvaine webinar. So hopefully there will be someone available to network on the subject.

Look over the route map and, if it is applicable, send us your e-mail, mobile # and schedule. If you are an exhibitor and we missed your involvement, we can rectify it based on your input.

Improving the efficiency power plant drives is one of the best ways to improve profits and reduce pollutants per kWh. The optimum integration of the motor selection with the rest of the drive train is one of the opportunities. There are numerous variable speed, geared and direct combinations which may best fit a conveyor, fan, pump or rotary heat exchanger. Here is your opportunity to tap the wisdom of the system suppliers, consultants and the drive suppliers.

There is really only one applicable speech (direct drives for cooling towers by ABB). However a number of suppliers of motors, inverters and complete drives will be exhibitors.

We have identified thirteen decision trees among fans/compressors, material handling and size reduction. Exhibitors for each are identified. We are still working on a number of decision trees for pumps and will add this to the above linked document in the next few days.

Each of these equipment exhibitors has extensive drive expertise. We are seeking contacts at the stands who can address the drive questions. The same is true of the consultants. In the route map, we have excerpted from a Sargent & Lundy/CPS paper on variable speed drives for sorbent injection.

Through mobile communication we expect to improve the networking. David Jackson of Siemens will be roving and focused on impromptu discussions.

To make sure you are included, send us your area of interest, contact information and schedule during the show.

The selection of intake air filter influences your selection of catalyst. If you use a more efficient filter, you can use a narrower pitch catalyst. This is just one reason to integrate all your decisions about gas turbine air treatment from the inlet weather protector through the exhaust stack.

There some good speeches relative to air intake filters (Camfill Farr and GE) and other components. Alstom is giving a speech on fogging. There are no speeches on catalysts, but there is one on an alternative.

There are many exhibitors offering filters, conditioning, catalysts, SCR, silencers and duct burners. There are likely to be many consultants with knowledge. Last year we organized one good networking event. We met at the Pneumafil booth and a consultant explained how a highly efficient inlet filter is necessary in many areas just to meet the emission limits. If the air entering the intake is dirtier than the quality required in the discharge, then removal is needed. This year we want to expand such conversations.

Check out all the decision stops in this GDPS and let us know where you want to participate.

The MATS decisions loom large on the agenda for most power plants. Decisions on how to reduce mercury, HCl and toxic metals impact decisions relative to soil and water. The potential expense is high enough to generate considerations of plant retirement, so there is a very complicated decision route map.

The good news and bad news is that there are a number of new and potentially cost-effective options for meeting the limits. The bad news is that lots of investigation and analysis is needed to make the right decisions.

There are lots of good speeches and exhibits on the subject at Power-Gen. Sargent & Lundy has a number of presentations. CH₂M Hill is also a presenter. All of these speakers will be there for the full conference and are available.

There are exhibitors representing each of the decision trees. Some have novel solutions. For example, Neumann can recover and reuse the sodium used in DSI.

McIlvaine created a similar route map for the air quality conference a few weeks ago.

By comparing these two route maps you have a good insight into the available technology. Some of the most important decisions hinge on sorbent efficiency. As a result, we would like schedules of the representatives of the lime companies who are roving.

If you would like to network on any of these subjects at Power-Gen, just send us the contact and schedule information. You can just reply to this e-mail or send the information to: rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

$4.7 Billion 2014 Desalination Market for Pumps, Valves, Filters and Chemicals

The market for pumps, valves, filters and chemicals for use in desalination will exceed $4.7 billion in 2014. This is the conclusion reached by the McIlvaine Company in aggregating forecasts in a number of its reports.

Treatment chemical cost averages 0.03 $/m³ of capacity in seawater, reverse osmosis (RO) systems and 0.02/ $/m³ in thermal systems. There is substantial use of scale inhibitors in thermal systems. Acids and antifoams are used in MSF systems. Cleaning chemicals are a substantial investment where RO is employed.

The amount of water being pumped in desalination systems is presently only about one percent of the amount being pumped for all the world’s drinking supplies. On the other hand, the high pressure pumps needed for reverse osmosis are an order of magnitude more expensive than those used for drinking water transport.

Thermal systems require substantial numbers of valves. The high pressure membrane desalination systems require expensive valves to deal with the corrosive conditions as well as the pressures.

Pre-filtration for the reverse osmosis systems and initial purification of water which will be evaporated in thermal systems is accomplished with liquid macrofiltration and cartridges. Automatic backwash filters and sand filters are frequently used. Liquid wastes are dewatered in filter presses.

Cartridges are used to remove particles which are too small to be captured in liquid macrofiltration equipment, but too large and plentiful to be handled by cross-flow membranes. There has been a high replacement frequency on cartridges.

An alternative to liquid macrofiltration is sedimentation. Clarifiers and dissolved air flotation systems are selected for a number of systems. The desalting takes place in either thermal systems where the water is evaporated or by separation with cross-flow membranes. Reverse osmosis (RO) does the final separation. Macro or ultrafilters are often used to pre-filter and protect the RO membranes.

Desalination systems are utilized for industrial purposes as well as for drinking water. Doosan Heavy Industries just received an order to build a desalination plant for the Escondida Mine, the world’s largest copper mine in Chile, at US$130 million.

In order to achieve such large capacity, the plant needs equally large centrifugal pumps taking water directly from the sea and through the various processes in the evaporator. Such applications are:

§ 130 Presenters updated Attendees on the Latest Air Pollution Developments

On Thursday at 10 a.m. Central time, McIlvaine hosts a 90 minute web meeting on important energy and pollution control subjects. Power webinars are free for subscribers to either Power Plant Air Quality Decisions or Utility Tracking System. The cost is $125.00 for non-subscribers. Market Intelligence webinars are free to McIlvaine market report subscribers and are $400.00 for non-subscribers.

DATE	Non-Subscribers Cost	SUBJECT	Webinar Type
November 21, 2013	$125.00	Wet vs Dry ESP	Power
December 5, 2013	$125.00	Update on Gasification Projects and Technology	Power
December 12, 2013	$125.00	Selecting FGD Scrubber Components	Power
December 19, 2013	$125.00	Application of U.S. Mercury Control Technology in Other Countries	Power
January 9, 2014	$125.00	Improving ESP Performance	Power
January 16, 2014	$125.00	Corrosion Issues and Materials for APC Systems	Power
January 23, 2014	$125.00	Co-Firing Sewage Sludge, Biomass and Municipal Waste	Power
January 30, 2014	$125.00	Impact of Ambient Air Quality Rules on Fossil Fueled Boilers and Gas Turbines	Power
February 6, 2014	$125.00	Review of EUEC	Power
February 13, 2014	$125.00	NOx Catalyst Performance on Mercury and SO3	Power
February 20, 2014	$125.00	CFB Technology and Clean Coal (Update on CFB Reactor Technology)	Power
February 27, 2014	$125.00	Dry FGD: Spray Dry vs. CFB vs. DSI	Power
March 6, 2014	$125.00	Update on IGCC (Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle)	Power
March 13, 2014	$125.00	Update on Oxy-Fuel Combustion	Power
March 20, 2014	$125.00	Air Preheaters & Heat Exchangers	Power
March 27, 2014	$125.00	Mercury Control and Removal	Power
April 3, 2014	$125.00	HRSG Design, Operation and Maintenance Considerations	Power
April 10, 2014	$125.00	Measurement and Control Instrumentation for Power Plants	Power
April 17, 2014	$125.00	Measurement and Control of PM2.5	Power
April 24, 2014	$125.00	Status of Carbon-to-Liquid Projects and Technology	Power
May 1, 2014	$125.00	Renewable Energy, Status, Options, Technology Update	Power
May 8, 2014	$125.00	Valves for Power Plant Steam and Cooling Water	Power
May 15, 2014	$125.00	Water Treatment During Gas and Oil Production	Power
May 22, 2014	$125.00	Advances in Coal Blending	Power
May 29, 2014	$125.00	Clean Coal Technologies	Power
June 5, 2014	$125.00	Material Handling in Fossil Fueled Power Plants	Power
June 12, 2014	$125.00	Industrial Boiler MACT - Impact and Control Options	Power
June 19, 2014	$125.00	Multi-emissions Control Technologies	Power
June 26, 2014	$125.00	Next Generation of Coal Combustion Technologies	Power
July 10, 2014	$125.00	Compliance Strategies for PM2.5

Product	2014 Revenue ($ Millions)
Water Treatment Chemicals	700
Pumps	500
Valves	350
Liquid Macrofiltration	90
Cartridges	60
Sedimentation and Centrifugation	50
Cross-flow Membrane Equipment and Replacement Modules	3,000
Total	4,750