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· “Review of the Utility MACT Rule Status and Comments” is
“Hot Topic Hour” on Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2011
· Top Notch Speakers at Air Quality Conference - Arlington, Virginia, October 24, 2011
· Headlines for the September 23, 2011 – Utility E Alert
· $5 Billion Air Monitoring Market in 2012
· Wind Energy Technology Advances
“Review of the Utility MACT Rule Status and Comments” is “Hot Topic” on Oct. 4, 2011
Unless EPA requests and receives an extension from the Federal District Court, the Utility MACT will take effect 90 days after the date of promulgation, presently scheduled for November 16, 2011, giving utilities three to four years (if a utility is granted an extension) to comply. During the public comment period that ended August 4th, many groups weighed in with strong opinions both pro and con.
Utilities and their associations such as the Edison Electric Institute and American Public Power Association predicted dire consequences and urged EPA to delay or at least weaken the rule. Others such as the nuclear power industry and those invested heavily in gas-fired power generation hail the rule as giving the certainty needed to finally make correct investment decisions.
Some say that the MACT will really only impact those Electric Generating Units (EGU’s) over 40 years old that have so far escaped any significant control. Others see a much broader impact leading to many more closures of coal-fired EGU’s that will cost jobs and directly impact manufacturers. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) reported in a letter to the Senate that 81 gigawatts of generating capacity (8 percent of total current generation) is “very likely” or “likely” to be subtracted by 2018 amid coal plant retirements and downgrades. Along with the Cross State Air Pollution (transport) Rule (CSAPR), the Utility MACT is projected to cause nearly 1.4 million job losses and cost the utility industry up to 18 billion dollars a year for the next ten years.
There has also been extensive discussion about errors in the methods that EPA used to establish the emission limits and the approach EPA used. The proposed Utility MACT used what is commonly called the “Franken-MACT” approach whereby the final limits are the best achieved individually for each specific pollutant at any source and not the best achieved at a single source considering all pollutants. The industry claims that this has resulted in final emission limits that no single EGU in existence can meet without extensive additional pollution controls.
The big question now is how EPA will react to all of the comments that have been submitted and what will be in the final rule making.
The following speakers will address the issues related to the impact of the Utility MACT on fossil fueled power plant operators, the current status of the MACT rule making, the worst case scenario of emissions limits and required controls under the MACT. They will also discuss the key issues to be considered when developing a strategy to achieve compliance with the MACT, control technologies and equipment that can be utilized to achieve the expected emissions limits imposed by the MACT and various other strategies that an operator could adopt.
Carl V. Weilert, Principal Process Engineer at Burns & McDonnell
Brian Higgins, Vice-President for Technology at Nalco Mobotec, Inc., will present “Nalco Mobotec's View on the Proposed Utility MACT Rule". He will discuss the proposed Utility MACT Rule, complicating factors, CSAPR coordination and possible changes that may end up in the final rule. Dr. Higgins will also discuss a compliance strategy that takes these issues into consideration.
Kasi Dubbs, Managing Consultant at Trinity Consultants, will summarize the processes and methods that EPA used to set the emission limits for the Utility MACT, with an emphasis on the processes and methods used to establish the MACT floors. The presentation will review the data that serves as the basis for the limits and describe EPA’s analysis of the data. Potential shortcomings in EPA’s data analysis, as identified by a number of stakeholders during the public comment period for the rule making, will be highlighted.
To register for this “Hot Topic Hour” on Tuesday, Oct. 4, 2011 at 10 a.m. CDT, click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/hot_topic_hour_registration.htm.
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Top Notch Speakers at Air Quality Conference - Arlington, Virginia, October 24, 2011
More than 1000 years of air quality experience is represented in the speakers at this biannual conference. They will be exchanging their ideas over various topics which are challenging the industry. Because of the format there will be ample time to engage them in direct conversations. If you need any contacts ahead of time just call us.
Additional Exhibition Information
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Here are the Headlines for the September 23, 2011 – Utility E Alert
UTILITY E-ALERT
#1043 - September 23, 2011
Table of Contents
COAL – US
COAL – WORLD
GAS / OIL - US
GAS / OIL – WORLD
BIOMASS
NUCLEAR
BUSINESS
HOT TOPIC HOUR
For more information on the Utility Environmental Upgrade Tracking System, click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/energy.html#42ei.
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$5 Billion Air Monitoring Market in 2012
The market for products and services to measure ambient and stack air pollutants will exceed $5 billion in 2012. There is another $3.6 billion which will be indirectly generated from these activities resulting in a total market of $8.6 billion. This is the latest forecast in Air Pollution Monitoring and Sampling: World Markets published by the McIlvaine Company.
Category |
Revenues ($ Millions) for 2012 |
CEM systems |
$1,100 |
CEM parts, service, certification |
$1,000 |
Intermittent stack testing |
$1,800 |
Ambient monitoring systems and support |
$1,200 |
Total direct air monitoring |
$5,100 |
Regulatory compliance and permitting |
$1,500 |
Air related process optimization |
$2,000 |
Total direct and indirect air |
$8,600 |
Other Industrial IT |
$126,000 |
Total broader market |
$135,000 |
Sales of new continuous emission monitoring systems and the services, parts and support for these systems will generate revenues of $2.1 billion. The largest purchasers of these systems will be power plants, followed by cement, refining, chemicals, pulp and paper.
Sales of ambient monitoring systems are booming in Asia as the region tries to come to grips with serious pollution problems. Most of the ambient system sales are to governmental organizations, but a number of large industrial plants use a system of ambient fence line monitors.
Emission control increasingly trumps operating cost optimization in the plant automation and control systems. Therefore, incorporation of pollutant analyzers in the total automation systems is becoming critical. Thus air monitoring can be viewed as a small but important segment of industrial information technology. This larger market is $135 billion/yr.
Automation Systems |
$ 90,000 |
Field Devices |
$ 27,000 |
External Interface |
$ 9,000 |
Plant Design |
$ 9,000 |
$135,000 |
For more information on Air Pollution Monitoring and Sampling World Markets, click on: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/air.html#no31.
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Wind Energy Technology Advances
McIlvaine Renewable Energy Update and Projects reports on all facets of the renewable energy field from technology to markets. Just a few of the recent technology developments in the wind industry follow.
With the wind industry moving toward larger wind turbine platforms in the future, GE Global Research, the technology development arm of the General Electric Company, announced it has begun work on the first phase of a 2-year, $3 million project from the U.S. Department of Energy to develop a next generation wind turbine generator that could support large-scale wind applications in the 10-15 MW range. This project is one of many in GE’s wind research portfolio focused on scaling up wind power in the most economically feasible way.
*****
Vestas, announced that it has taken a major step forward in solving a critical wind energy challenge: It has successfully tested a full-scale “stealth” rotor on a turbine, paving the way for wind power plants to be located near many military, airport and other radar systems without interfering in their operations.
The stealth turbine test, which was conducted at a UK customer site with technology partner QinetiQ, is part of an ongoing research collaboration that began in 2006. Preliminary test results, announced at the International Wind and Radar Forum in Ottawa, Canada, showed that a Vestas V90 turbine with stealth rotor achieved a targeted reduction in radar cross-section of approximately 99 percent, or 20 decibels, compared with standard turbines.
*****
The Energy Technologies Institute (ETI) has announced that it will invest £25 million into a state-of-the art, open access, wind turbine drive train test rig seen as crucial for the continued success and further expansion of the UK’s offshore wind industry.
The indoor rig will be sited at Narec in Blyth, Northumberland and will be capable of testing complete drive trains and nacelles up to 15 MW. It should be available for commercial testing from June 2013.
The test rig is capable of providing 15 MW of power, as well as creating the dynamic conditions that wind turbines would expect to see when installed offshore. It will be larger and more complex than anything currently available and will help manufacturers increase the reliability of their new turbines, with the benefit to consumers of reduced energy costs.
The rig has been designed to allow the whole turbine nacelle to be tested, in a purpose built, onshore test facility before being exposed to the challenging offshore conditions. This will help reduce the technical and commercial risks of mass production and deployment.
*****
The Timken Company, Stark State College and the Stark County Port Authority officially broke ground on a Wind Energy Research and Development Center, the first of its kind in America. At the facility, Timken will develop ultra-large bearings and seals on sophisticated equipment that replicates the operating environment of large multi-megawatt wind turbines.
The 18,000-square-foot center will secure 65 jobs directly, while creating a unique research practicum and technical certification program for Stark State College students, offering them critical experience conducting research, developing new designs and testing large wind-turbine bearing systems. It also will provide critical training for current and future technicians across the spectrum of operating services required by today's wind turbine manufacturers and operators.
*****
Sandia is moving its wind energy test facility to a new location near the campus of Texas Tech University in Lubbock.
Sandia, Texas Tech and Group NIRE are pursuing a three-way research agreement under which this facility will operate. The Department of Energy's Wind & Water Power program is funding Sandia's work.
The site will perform primarily experimental work in turbine-to-turbine interactions and will evaluate innovative rotor technologies. It will also investigate such areas as aero-acoustics, aero-elasticity and structural health monitoring using embedded sensor systems.
*****
Vattenfall has been participating in a EU project on challenges to up scaling wind power technology. The project came to an end in March 2011, which resulted in reliability modeling and design criteria of future wind turbines/wind farms and improvements on the grid integration issues.
One of the concrete deliverables that Vattenfall has contributed is a report entitled “Up-scaling trends for electrical design of wind farms”. The main conclusions were that the transmission system on HVDC (high voltage direct current) is the suitable solution for next generation of wind farms that will be placed at long distances from the shore.
For more information on Renewable Energy Projects and Update please visit:
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You can register for our free McIlvaine Newsletters at: http://www.mcilvainecompany.com/brochures/Free_Newsletter_Registration_Form.htm.
Bob McIlvaine
President
847 784 0012 ext 112
rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
www.mcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com
Copyright © 2011 McIlvaine
Company. All Rights Reserved
191 Waukegan Road Suite 208 | Northfield | IL 60093
Ph: 847-784-0012 | Fax; 847-784-0061
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