Mcilvaine Insights

 

No. 152   January 5, 2021


Betty Tessien

·       Holistic Plan to Battle COVID Now

·       Valve Market Research for the Low Hanging and High Fruit

·       The Pandemic is Like a Football Game Where the Head Covering is a Life and Death Decision

 

Holistic Plan to Battle COVID Now

Office buildings, schools, gyms, and other facilities can be immediately reopened with the right holistic COVID game plan.

Companies such as Johnson Controls, Daikin, Mann + Hummel along with many others have the weapons to fight a full-scale battle against COVID. The challenge is to use all the weapons with a holistic approach.  Presently the strategy is more like one used by Iran against Iraq. Just keep sacrificing ill equipped soldiers until the war is won despite the costs. Here are the weapons available.

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Every military manual advises that people win wars. Providing people with inefficient cloth masks when they could be wearing TE 90 masks is comparable to swords vs M6 rifles.  If everyone is wearing a TE 90 mask then only 1% of the virus is transmitted.

Room air purifiers and HVAC systems have to be designed around mask quality and practice. If one is eating or drinking the mask is not protective. To avoid the necessity of wearing masks all day the individual can be less restricted when in an area with few intruders, laminar air flow and efficient filters.

The concept can be likened to a pharmaceutical cleanroom with different levels of particle removal.  Here are the U.S. and ISO ratings.

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The wearing of masks would be a function of the measured rating in the area.  McIlvaine has recorded presentations on ways to measure and control air quality in each area. Particles and CO2 are good parameters. The number of people in an area can also be continuously monitored.

In a pharmaceutical cleanroom there will be ISO 3 biological safety cabinet in an ISO 7 space.  This space may also contain ISO 5 isolators. The building would be maintained at ISO 9 or better and might have several ISO 7 areas each of which contains more efficient sub space.

In an office building the lobby could be maintained at ISO 9 with everyone wearing TE-90 masks 100% of the time. The elevator can be kept at ISO 5 but with everyone wearing TE 90 masks due to the close quarter contact with new people.

The upper floors could be maintained at ISO 9 but with some space meeting ISO 7 and others meeting ISO 5. Mask wearing would be a function of the actual continuously monitored CO2, particulate, and number of people.

Lunchroom eating areas and special conference rooms would be maintained at ISO 5 and masks could be removed while eating or drinking or making a presentation.

Daily developments on all the weapons to fight COVID are available in the McIlvaine Coronavirus Technology Solutions. http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/air/82ai-coronavirus-market-intelligence

 A free service relating to masks is available  To register and receive multiple alerts per week Click here. To start using CATER Mask Decisions: Click here

Details on programs to pursue these market opportunities can be provided by Bob McIlvaine 847 226 2391 or rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

 

Valve Market Research for the Low Hanging and High Fruit

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In a series of webinars hosted by Bob McIlvaine and McIlvaine specialists the participants can view some of the 80,000 forecasts, hundreds of process analyses, market shares for 300 companies and discuss trends and opportunities. 

The McIlvaine Company can provide unique insights based on 46 years of analysis of all flow control products for the range of processes. Fast growing niches are identified e.g.

  • Smart valve opportunities including adding actuators
  • Butterfly valves for closed biopharmaceutical systems
  • Knife gate valves for new Indian FGD systems
  • Valves in processes to replace ash ponds
  • Valves for CO2 sequestration processes
  • Shale fracturing with CO2
  • Impact of large Chinese valve purchasers such as Sinopec

Market shares and product comparisons can be provided as per the following examples  http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/silobusters/high-performance-valves-and-iiot

The webinars can be conducted with or without access to Valves: World Markets http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/water-and-flow/n028-industrial-valves-world-market

For more information on the webinar series contact Bob McIlvaine at rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com  847 226 2391

 

The Pandemic is Like a Football Game Where the Head Covering is a Life and Death Decision

Most of the regulations now require wearing of masks. But this is like saying every football player must wear a head covering. The difference is that the risk of death is much greater by wearing a less protective mask than it is a less protective helmet.  It is therefore of highest importance to wear an efficient tight fitting mask.

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ASTM is taking a big first step by preparing to create standards based on 20% and 50% efficiency. These proposed standards communicate the important parameters and the methods by which the level of protection is achieved. This work and the ASTM 50 rating can be used for what might be called the ASTM 50 plus rating.  One of the plus ratings would be CATER 95.  It would use all the tools and protocols set up by ASTM but be able to demonstrate not only the high efficiency but also the tight fit with various face sizes.

CDC could provide information on reliable fit testing procedures for public masks. They can include use of the same qualitative and quantitative fit testing technologies required for industrial and medical use.  But they would also provide advice on frequency of testing and generic testing by mask size.

CATER mask suppliers with five different mask sizes are in a better position to provide low leakage masks than are suppliers with just two sizes. At one level suppliers should provide leakage results through detailed testing of each different size mask when applied to appropriate face sizes. This should include talking, walking, bending etc.  (Practical Performance Tests on sample test subjects).

Most masks are worn in such a manner that air leakage is as much as 40% of the total exhaled. The biggest challenge will be to create a system which keeps leakage below 10%. If both emitter and recipient have leakage limited to 10 % the net virus transmission is only 1%.  Rating of net efficiency (capture efficiency less leakage) will be useful. There are CATER 95 masks with 95% efficiency and an average of 4% leakage for a net efficiency of 91%.

The concept of CATER 95 bubbles is being proposed. If everyone entering this bubble has a CATER 95 or better mask then the school, fitness center, or office building in the bubble could operate normally. 

It is proposed that fit testing for the public be accomplished by one of the following

  • Existing industrial fit testing services with mobile vans or on-site measurement capabilities
  • New groups of fit testers such as physical therapists at fitness centers
  • Retail stores who can sell masks and provide fitness testing and advice
  • Schools and large institutions
  • Local fit testing centers (could be the fitness center or retail store)

It is further proposed that there be limitation of entry to the bubble based on some sort of proof (if only visual) that the individual is wearing a properly fitted CATER 95 mask.

In the Alert yesterday we provided details on the fitness centers and how they could reopen and even generate extra revenue from fit testing. We are forecasting that CATER Mask sales will be greater than gym shoes, hoodies, or for that matter any other clothing item. 

So, the department store with a shoe section to help customers obtain the right shoes could generate more revenues by helping people choose the right mask.

Consulting services on taking advantage of this potential are available. Bob McIlvaine can answer your questions at 847 226 2391 or rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com