Industrial Valve Insights
No. 30   July  2014

 

 

 

WELCOME

This bi-weekly Industrial Valve Insights provide excerpts from the McIlvaine Industrial Valves: World Markets. It also provides excerpts from related publications. The market report provides the latest forecasts, market shares and insights relative to technology and opportunities.

 

·       Unconventional Oil and Gas Will Cause Valve Sales to Be $3 Billion Higher In 2015

·       GDP Update Headlines - June 2014

·       Oil & Gas Sales Leads Headlines - June 20, 2014

·       World Municipal Wastewater Projects Monthly Update Headlines – June 2014

·       World Power Generation Projects Headlines – Primary Fuel - Gas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unconventional Oil and Gas Will Cause Valve Sales to Be $3 Billion Higher In 2015

The sale of industrial valves in 2015 will increase to $69 billion worldwide.  Much of the growth will be attributable to unconventional oil and gas.

Category

$ Billions

% Difference

Explanation

Valve sales 2014 w/o inflation

57

 

Based on 2010 dollars

Valve sales 2014  actual revenues

63

10.5

2014 actual revenues  reflecting year over year inflation

Valve sales 2015  with inflation and conventional oil and gas assuming no unconventional

66

4.7

Increase over 2014 assuming the same amount of oil and gas was extracted but by conventional methods. Real growth would have only been 0.7% and inflation 4%

Valve sales in 2015 with the original share for unconventional oil and gas

67

7

Reflects 3% real growth and 4% inflation

Valve sales 2015 with inflation and non conventional oil and gas (new projection)

69

9.5

Increase over 2014 with 5.5% real growth and 4% inflation

 

 

McIlvaine displays hundreds of thousands of revenue forecasts in Industrial Valves: World Market.   All of these figures are displayed in 2010 dollars so that viewers can determine the real industry growth without regard to inflation.  The 2014 forecast is for valve revenues of $57 billion.  When this is adjusted for inflation, sales will be $63 billion in actual dollars.  Until recently, McIlvaine had forecast 2015 sales of $67 billion of which $1 billion was due to unconventional oil and gas.  However, the forecast is being revised to reflect a 9.5 percent increase and valve sales of $69 billion.  This is due to the extensive investment in unconventional oil and gas.  Therefore, unconventional oil and gas will generate revenues of $3 billion in 2015.

One of the main drivers in the revision of the numbers is the huge coal-to-gas and chemicals program underway in China.  This program is already generating larger process equipment plant investments than the shale gas activities in the U.S.   By 2025, with 40 projects in the planning stage, the Chinese coal-to-gas production could reach a level of 40 percent of the entire present U.S. consumption.  The goal is to transport this gas by pipeline from the West and North to the large cities in the East.  This is one of the most important initiatives for reducing air pollution in the large cities.  The clean burning gas will replace coal.  Also the investment in U.S. petrochemical plants which will be using gas as a feedstock will be outstripped by the Chinese investment in coal to petrochemicals.  Another massive program is coal-to-liquid fuels.  High quality motor fuels can be produced from coal using both indirect and direct liquefaction.  China is making massive investments in both technologies.

For more information on Industrial Valves: World Market, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/115-n028.

Top of Form

 

GDP UPDATE HEADLINES

 JUNE 2014

Table of Contents

AMERICAS

 

ASIA

 

EUROPE / AFRICA / MIDDLE EAST

 

 

AMERICAS

 

United States

CEOs have slightly lower expectations for U.S. gross domestic product growth than they did last quarter, according to a new survey.

 

The Business Roundtable survey showed chief executives forecast GDP growth of 2.3% in 2014, down from last quarter's estimate of 2.4% for the year. (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

Columbia 

Colombia’s economy grew at the fastest pace in more than two years in the first quarter, beating all analysts’ forecasts, after a surge in government spending ahead of President Manuel Santos’ re-election. Bond fell on expectations of higher interest rates.

 

Gross domestic product grew 6.4% from the year earlier, the national statistics agency said, compared with 4.9% in the previous three months. Growth was faster than forecast by all 27 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. GDP grew 2.3% from the previous quarter. (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

ASIA

 

China 

Nearly every story about China’s extraordinary growth over the past 30 years asserts two things as a given: 

 

a. China has grown about 10% a year for 30 years, and

b. China’s long-term growth record in unsurpassed in modern history. (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

India 

After two consecutive years of sub-5% growth, the Indian economy is expected to recover and expand 5.2% in the first quarter of this financial year, according to a Dun & Bradstreet report. (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

Japan 

The Japanese government raised its economic growth reading for the first quarter, saying that capital spending was sharply higher than initially thought.

Gross domestic product increased at an annualized rate of 6.7% in the January to March period from the previous quarter, the Cabinet Office said, revising its initial estimate of a 5.9% expansion. The result, adjusted for price changes, marked (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

EUROPE / AFRICA / MIDDLE EAST

 

Dubai 

Dubai’s economy expanded 4.6% year on year in 2013, up from 4.1% in 2012 according to Dubai Statistics Centre (DSC).

 

The DSC report showed that the fastest growing sector in Dubai last year was once again hospitality, which recorded 13% growth, the third consecutive year of double-digit growth in this sector. (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

Ireland 

GDP will grow by 2% this year and 2.4% next year on the back of rising exports and the first increase in consumer spending since the recession began, according to the EY Economic Eye. (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

Nigeria 

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Mr. Godwin Emefiele, has said the recent rebasing of the country's gross domestic product (GDP) will support its quest to be among the top 20 nations by 2020. 

 

According to Emefiele, the exercise which placed the size of the Nigerian economy as first in Africa and 26th in the world would also afford the country a more positive sovereign rating by international rating agencies such as the Standard and Poor's, Fitch Ratings, (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

Russia 

Russia's gross domestic product growth forecast of 0.5% for 2014 may be revised upwards in September due to the slowing pace of a decline in investment, Economy Minister Alexei Ulyukayev said.

 

"For now our official (forecast) for this year is 0.5%, but most likely we will revise it in September, most likely upwards," Ulyukayev told journalists. (The remaining text is not included in this sample.)

 

A complete analysis of GDP and Monthly Updates for individual countries is included as part of Industrial Valves World Markets.

 

 

 

OIL & GAS SALES LEAD HEADLINES

 

June 20, 2014

 

Oil and Gas Project Tracking is available at a discount to Industrial Valves World Markets subscribers.

 

Treatment chemicals are an important addition to most oil and gas processes. Access to details on the worldwide oil and gas projects is provided at a substantial discount to Industrial Valves World Markets report subscribers.

 

(Listed by most current date)

 

 

These sales leads are part of Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining Markets and Projects, and are issued bi-weekly.  As a subscriber to Industrial Valves World Market you receive a 30 percent discount for this service.

For more information on Oil, Gas, Shale and Refining Markets and Projects, click on:  http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/28-energy/471-n049

 

For more information on:  Industrial Valves: World Market, click on:

http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/115-n028

NORTH AMERICAN MUNICIPAL WASTEWATER TREATMENT PLANTS MONTHLY UPDATE HEADLINES

 

 

June 2014

 

This monthly update is devoted to wastewater infrastructure news around the world, outside of the United States and Canada, and is meant to complement McIlvaine's Industrial Valves: World Market,

 

AFRICA

 

 

ASIA

 

 

EUROPE

 

MIDDLE EAST

 

 

For more information on:  Industrial Valves: World Market, click on:

http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/markets/2-uncategorised/115-n028

 

 

 

WORLD POWER GENERATION PROJECTS

 

New power generation projects are tracked in two publications. Fossil and Nuclear Power Generation includes both market forecasts and project data. World Power Generation Projects has just the project data.

 

PRIMARY FUEL:  Gas

 

Startup Date

Location

Fuel Comment

Project Title

 Unknown2013

 India

  

 UNOSUGEN combined cycle-Torrent Power

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Big Hill power plant- Origin Energy

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Playford replacement-Alinta Energy

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Aldoga--Gladstone expansion--TRUenergy

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Arckaringa--Altona Resources cogeneration project

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Blackstone gas turbine power plant-TRUenergy

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Dalton peaking power project-AGL

 Unknown

 Australia

 coal seam methane

 Braemar 4 power plant-Arrow Energy and ERM Power

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Tarrone combined cycle Stage 1-AGL Energy

 Unknown

 Australia

  

 Tallawarra expansion-TRUenergy

 Unknown

 Azerbaijan

  

 Janub power plant-Azerenergi

 Unknown

 Bangladesh

  

 Sirajgong combined cycle

 Unknown

 Bangladesh

  

 Fenchugang combined cycle power plant-Energy Holdings International

 Unknown

 Bangladesh

  

 Bibiyana South power plant-Power Development Board

 Unknown

 Brazil

  

 Energetica Suape II power plant-

Unknown

CA

Redondo Beach replacement-AES

 Unknown

 CA

  

 Oakley combined cycle power project-PG&E

 Unknown

 CA

  

 Victorville 2 hybrid combined cycle power project

 Unknown

 CA

  

 Phoenix 1 and 2 cogen with solar power-Argus

 Unknown

 Canada

  

 Bonnybrook CHP-Enmax

 Unknown

 Canada

  

 Lennox expansion-Ontario Power Authority

 Unknown

 DE

  

 Edgemoor peaking addition-Calpine

 Unknown

 Dominican Republic

  

 Manzanillo power plant-North Energy Central

 Unknown

 Dominican Republic

  

 Odebrecht Energy possible power project

 Unknown

 Ecuador

  

 Machala expansion-Inter RAO

 Unknown

 FL

  

 Gilcrist County power plant-Seminole Electric

 Unknown

 France

  

 Blenod-les-Pont-a-Mousson combined cycle power plant-EDF

 Unknown

 Germany

  

 Wedel CHP replacement-Vattenfall

 Unknown

 Ghana

  

 Domunli power plant

 Unknown

 Hungary

  

 Szabolcs-Szatmar-Bereg county gas-fired power plant-Emfesz

 Unknown

 IL

  

 Northland Power peaking plants

 Unknown

 IL

  

 Garden Prairie peaking Energy Facility-Power Ventures

 Unknown

 IN

  

 St. Joseph Energy Center-Development Partners

 Unknown

 India

  

 Noida combined cycle-Noida Power Co.

 Unknown

 India

  

 Mehsana power project-Gujarat State Electricity Corp.

 Unknown

 India

  

 Pedda Vegi power plant-Pedavegi Power

 Unknown

 India

  

 Raigad combined cycle Power Plant-GAIL India

 Unknown

 India

  

 Rajiv Gandhi combined cycle Stage II-NTPC

 Unknown

 India

  

 Ramgarh combined cycle IV expansion-Rajasthan Rajya Vidyut Utpadan Nigam

 Unknown

 India

  

 Ropar power plant-Punjab State Electricity Board/GAIL

 Unknown

 India

  

 Sagardighi (3,4) expansion (formerly Katwa)-Universal Crescent Power

 Unknown

 India

  

 Surat-Kaneria Group

 Unknown

 India

  

 Tumjur power plant-Power Co. of Karnataka

 Unknown

 India

  

 Faridabad power plant

 Unknown

 India

  

 Thakurli power plant-Railways

 Unknown

 India

  

 Chintavari Palem power plant-Panduranga Energy Systems

 Unknown

 India

  

 Belgaum power plant-Power Co. of Karnataka

 Unknown

 India

  

 Bharuch combined cycle expansion-China Light & Power

 Unknown

 India

 from GAIL pipeline

 Hardiwar power plant-Uttarakhand Jal Vidyut Nigam

 Unknown

 India

  

 Brahmapuram combined cycle--Kerala State Electricity Board

 

 

 

 

New power generation projects are tracked in two publications. Fossil and Nuclear Power Generation includes both market forecasts and project data. World Power Generation Projects has just the project data.

 

 

For more information on World Power Generation Projects, click on: http://home.mcilvainecompany.com/index.php/databases/28-energy/486-40ai

 

 

Bob McIlvaine
President
847 784 0012 ext 112

rmcilvaine@mcilvainecompany.com

www.mcilvainecompany.com